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College football consensus, week 5

The board as it was published on September 27, 2026, before week 5’s games. It is frozen: every rating, source and column is exactly what readers saw that week, including sources that have since left the board.

ArchiveThis is a past week. The current consensus is rebuilt every week.

College football · FBS · 2026 season · week 5

Consensus, all 138 FBS teams, as published

5 of 5 sources scoring, across 3 pillars
week 5 · built 2026-09-27

			Results · 26.7%			Betting markets · 42.8%		Analytics models · 30.6%
#	Team	Rating	vs Expected26.7%Sep 27	W-LshownSep 27	ATSshownSep 27	Lines32.1%Sep 27	Futures10.7%Sep 27	Models30.6%undated	FPI7.6%Sep 27	Sagarin7.6%Sep 26	SP+7.6%Sep 27	DRatings7.6%Sep 27	Results vs market
1	Georgia4-0	+19.5pts	51	4-0	4-0	1	2	1	1	5	1	2	+50
2	LSU3-1	+17.9pts	7	3-1	2-2	7	7	9	8	8	10	9	0
3	Notre Dame4-0	+16.6pts	91	4-0	3-1	2	4	3	2	2	3	6	+89
4	Miami4-0	+16.6pts	39	4-0	3-1	4	5	6	5	7	5	5	+34
5	Texas4-0	+16.2pts	77	4-0	1-3	3	3	5	4	4	7	3	+74
6	Ohio State3-1	+15.8pts	88	3-1	3-1	5	1	2	3	1	2	4	+84
7	Alabama4-0	+15.0pts	25	4-0	3-1	9	T9	8	6	9	6	10	+17
8	Florida4-0	+12.9pts	34	4-0	3-1	14	8	11	10	10	12	16	+24
9	Mississippi State4-0	+12.7pts	3	4-0	4-0	27	15	23	20	24	18	36	-19
10	Utah4-0	+12.0pts	16	4-0	4-0	29	16	12	12	19	9	12	-8
11	UCLA4-0	+12.0pts	6	4-0	4-0	24	T25	25	32	21	24	27	-19
12	Oregon3-1	+10.8pts	101	3-1	2-2	13	T9	7	9	3	8	7	+89
13	Indiana4-0	+10.7pts	131	4-0	0-4	6	6	4	7	6	4	1	+125
14	Tennessee3-1	+10.0pts	92	3-1	2-2	11	13	13	11	12	14	19	+81
15	Pittsburgh4-0	+9.3pts	11	4-0	3-1	39	32	24	22	27	20	33	-26
16	BYU3-0	+9.1pts	66	3-0	3-0	19	T17	15	17	25	17	17	+48
17	Penn State3-1	+9.0pts	85	3-1	2-2	16	T17	16	15	20	15	23	+69
18	Kansas State3-1	+9.0pts	38	3-1	2-2	17	T34	31	34	39	23	25	+19
19	Nebraska4-0	+8.6pts	18	4-0	3-1	45	T34	18	14	23	16	30	-23
20	Virginia3-1	+8.3pts	31	3-1	3-1	30	33	28	26	32	21	29	0
21	SMU3-1	+8.1pts	50	3-1	1-2-1	25	T25	26	37	37	26	13	+24
22	Iowa4-0	+7.8pts	46	4-0	3-1	41	19	17	25	18	19	11	+11
23	USC4-1	+7.5pts	120	4-1	1-4	12	14	14	18	15	13	15	+107
24	Oklahoma2-2	+7.4pts	118	2-2	1-3	8	22	20	21	14	27	21	+109
25	Virginia Tech4-0	+6.7pts	60	4-0	3-1	20	T28	36	38	44	28	42	+40
26	Duke4-0	+6.6pts	8	4-0	4-0	60	T40	34	30	43	34	41	-48
27	Michigan3-1	+6.5pts	98	3-1	2-2	23	21	19	23	17	22	18	+77
28	James Madison4-0	+6.5pts	10	4-0	4-0	47	T40	43	49	62	36	28	-37
29	Houston3-1	+6.2pts	65	3-1	2-2	31	24	33	27	33	30	39	+36
30	Northwestern2-1	+6.2pts	13	2-1	3-0	50	T51	37	28	34	50	43	-36
31	Ole Miss3-1	+6.2pts	117	3-1	1-3	18	11	21	19	13	32	26	+100
32	Louisville2-2	+6.2pts	76	2-2	3-1	26	T28	29	31	28	37	22	+48
33	Kentucky3-1	+6.1pts	32	3-1	3-1	36	T40	35	36	29	44	37	-6
34	Texas A&M2-2	+5.4pts	129	2-2	2-2	10	20	22	16	11	39	24	+115
35	Auburn3-1	+5.4pts	102	3-1	1-3	22	T30	27	24	22	31	31	+79
36	Wisconsin3-1	+5.1pts	54	3-1	2-2	33	T51	40	41	26	51	46	+18
37	New Mexico3-1	+4.9pts	14	3-1	4-0	53	T51	52	53	64	46	40	-40
38	Boise State3-1	+4.8pts	40	3-1	3-1	43	T37	45	29	50	47	47	-2
39	Oklahoma State3-1	+4.5pts	23	3-1	3-1	64	T30	44	43	40	35	56	-29
40	Texas Tech4-0	+4.4pts	138	4-0	1-3	15	12	10	13	16	11	8	+123
41	North Texas2-2	+4.3pts	4	2-2	3-1	78	—	70	64	76	91	54	-74
42	South Carolina2-2	+4.0pts	78	2-2	1-3	35	T40	39	33	30	49	52	+44
43	Cincinnati4-0	+3.9pts	42	4-0	3-1	44	T47	49	42	56	38	59	-2
44	Arizona State2-1	+3.8pts	49	2-1	2-1	42	36	55	57	45	61	58	+10
45	Baylor3-1	+3.4pts	63	3-1	3-1	40	T47	47	39	46	43	53	+20
46	Oregon State2-2	+3.2pts	2	2-2	4-0	109	T64	67	67	72	65	68	-100
47	North Dakota State4-0	+3.2pts	89	4-0	2-2	21	T40	62	69	73	45	73	+62
48	Toledo3-1	+3.1pts	12	3-1	2-1-1	71	T64	68	62	75	68	72	-60
49	TCU2-2	+2.8pts	79	2-2	2-2	37	T40	48	47	47	42	49	+39
50	Wake Forest3-1	+2.6pts	33	3-1	2-2	73	39	53	48	52	57	44	-27
51	Missouri3-1	+2.5pts	124	3-1	1-3	32	23	30	35	31	25	32	+94
52	Syracuse1-2	+2.5pts	17	1-2	1-2	67	T64	74	63	63	74	87	-51
53	Arizona3-1	+2.4pts	113	3-1	0-4	28	T37	42	50	51	33	34	+80
54	Minnesota3-1	+1.8pts	61	3-1	3-1	57	T40	54	61	41	52	55	+8
55	Iowa State2-2	+1.5pts	37	2-2	2-2	79	T51	58	55	54	58	57	-37
56	NC State2-2	+1.5pts	62	2-2	1-3	49	T60	56	58	48	59	51	+11
57	Louisiana3-1	+1.1pts	9	3-1	3-0-1	101	T64	82	82	88	80	88	-89
58	Vanderbilt3-1	+1.0pts	104	3-1	2-2	46	T47	41	51	42	48	20	+59
59	Maryland2-2	+0.9pts	74	2-2	2-2	38	T90	66	74	67	56	79	+28
60	UCF3-1	+0.8pts	72	3-1	3-1	58	T60	50	46	49	40	62	+11
61	Michigan State2-2	+0.8pts	47	2-2	2-1-1	74	T78	59	56	57	67	66	-30
62	Texas State2-2	+0.7pts	41	2-2	2-2	76	T64	72	75	71	76	65	-34
63	North Carolina2-1	+0.3pts	83	2-1	1-2	51	T51	60	52	60	60	78	+33
64	Army2-1	+0.1pts	68	2-1	1-1-1	54	T64	73	79	74	72	64	+11
65	Liberty3-1	-0.0pts	55	3-1	2-2	77	T64	76	77	83	62	76	-21
66	Kansas1-2	-0.2pts	69	1-2	1-2	61	T51	71	70	61	66	83	+7
67	Clemson3-1	-0.2pts	112	3-1	2-2	48	T47	46	40	38	54	48	+64
68	App State3-1	-0.3pts	15	3-1	3-1	100	T81	93	90	97	89	100	-85
69	Fresno State3-1	-0.4pts	75	3-1	3-1	56	T64	75	72	80	70	74	+17
70	Memphis3-1	-0.5pts	73	3-1	2-2	66	T51	69	65	78	63	75	+8
71	Washington3-1	-0.6pts	137	3-1	0-4	34	T25	32	54	36	29	14	+105
72	Arkansas2-2	-1.2pts	90	2-2	1-3	63	T81	61	60	58	71	61	+20
73	Illinois2-2	-1.3pts	106	2-2	2-2	72	T93	38	44	35	41	38	+26
74	Temple1-3	-1.4pts	27	1-3	3-0-1	96	—	96	88	93	92	103	-72
75	Georgia State3-1	-1.9pts	5	3-1	4-0	129	T93	104	99	99	111	107	-117
76	Florida Atlantic3-1	-2.0pts	57	3-1	3-1	90	T81	97	102	96	87	93	-34
77	UTSA3-1	-2.1pts	97	3-1	3-1	81	T64	63	68	68	73	50	+18
78	UConn2-2	-2.3pts	22	2-2	2-2	110	—	95	97	94	85	97	-88
79	UNLV2-2	-2.3pts	103	2-2	2-2	55	T81	78	81	89	78	60	+40
80	Florida International2-2	-2.4pts	35	2-2	2-2	84	—	113	116	122	99	113	-48
81	Massachusetts4-0	-2.4pts	30	4-0	3-1	91	T78	116	103	124	93	132	-57
82	Air Force2-1	-2.5pts	64	2-1	1-2	93	T81	89	89	100	84	85	-29
83	West Virginia3-1	-2.6pts	110	3-1	2-2	75	T51	64	59	55	64	82	+43
84	South Florida4-0	-2.9pts	122	4-0	2-2	65	T51	57	73	79	55	35	+58
85	Western Michigan2-2	-3.1pts	87	2-2	2-2	88	—	83	80	81	96	81	-2
86	Sam Houston1-3	-3.1pts	1	1-3	3-1	123	—	123	117	115	117	135	-124
87	Purdue1-3	-3.3pts	96	1-3	1-3	82	T93	85	83	65	94	95	+12
88	Florida State2-2	-3.5pts	133	2-2	1-2-1	52	T60	51	45	53	53	45	+78
89	Colorado2-2	-3.5pts	109	2-2	1-3	70	T64	81	71	70	82	104	+38
90	Washington State1-3	-3.5pts	86	1-3	3-1	92	—	91	98	84	106	77	-6
91	Stanford2-2	-3.5pts	84	2-2	2-2	99	T64	84	92	77	102	67	-12
92	East Carolina2-2	-3.6pts	105	2-2	1-3	80	T90	79	85	92	79	63	+24
93	Colorado State2-2	-3.6pts	19	2-2	3-1	121	—	94	93	91	97	94	-104
94	Rutgers1-3	-3.9pts	95	1-3	2-2	89	T81	92	84	69	75	121	+5
95	Louisiana Tech1-2	-4.0pts	21	1-2	3-0	119	—	100	94	90	108	108	-99
96	Georgia Tech1-3	-4.0pts	127	1-3	0-4	62	T60	65	66	59	69	70	+61
97	San José State2-2	-4.0pts	26	2-2	2-2	97	T90	125	121	117	120	134	-69
98	Georgia Southern1-3	-4.1pts	20	1-3	3-1	118	—	103	100	102	103	110	-99
99	Tulane2-2	-4.4pts	114	2-2	1-3	87	T64	80	78	82	98	69	+32
100	Navy1-2	-4.4pts	119	1-2	0-3	68	T64	86	96	98	86	71	+50
101	Tulsa3-1	-4.5pts	108	3-1	2-2	85	T81	88	87	87	83	99	+23
102	South Alabama2-2	-4.6pts	45	2-2	2-2	111	—	108	107	103	121	98	-66
103	Boston College2-2	-4.8pts	111	2-2	2-2	83	T93	87	86	85	90	96	+23
104	California2-2	-5.3pts	130	2-2	1-3	69	T78	77	76	66	81	86	+57
105	Miami (OH)2-2	-5.5pts	99	2-2	3-1	104	T81	98	101	95	88	102	-4
106	UAB2-2	-5.5pts	24	2-2	2-1-1	115	—	119	122	118	118	117	-91
107	Jacksonville State3-2	-5.8pts	59	3-2	3-2	116	—	101	105	104	77	111	-57
108	Nevada1-3	-5.9pts	36	1-3	2-2	124	—	107	104	113	95	109	-90
109	Ohio2-2	-6.0pts	94	2-2	2-2	98	—	109	111	110	109	105	-7
110	Delaware2-2	-6.1pts	82	2-2	3-1	107	—	111	108	106	110	116	-26
111	Coastal Carolina1-3	-6.3pts	80	1-3	2-2	102	—	114	114	112	112	115	-25
112	Rice1-3	-6.5pts	43	1-3	2-2	114	—	121	123	120	119	122	-71
113	Troy2-2	-6.6pts	67	2-2	1-3	127	T64	105	106	105	104	106	-50
114	Arkansas State2-2	-6.7pts	100	2-2	1-3	108	—	106	109	107	107	101	-9
115	Kennesaw State1-3	-6.7pts	53	1-3	3-1	117	—	115	113	109	113	124	-65
116	Utah State1-3	-7.0pts	58	1-3	2-2	128	—	99	95	101	105	90	-71
117	New Mexico State1-3	-7.1pts	29	1-3	2-2	120	—	126	125	126	126	130	-92
118	San Diego State1-3	-7.2pts	136	1-3	0-4	59	—	90	91	86	100	84	+77
119	Hawai'i1-3	-7.4pts	125	1-3	1-3	86	—	110	112	114	114	92	+39
120	Western Kentucky1-3	-7.6pts	107	1-3	2-2	94	—	120	119	111	123	128	+13
121	Old Dominion1-3	-8.5pts	132	1-3	0-4	95	—	102	110	108	101	80	+35
122	Missouri State1-3	-8.6pts	28	1-3	2-2	131	—	122	118	119	125	126	-103
123	Kent State2-2	-8.7pts	48	2-2	2-2	122	—	132	135	132	130	114	-76
124	Southern Miss1-3	-9.6pts	44	1-3	2-2	133	—	124	115	125	128	129	-89
125	Wyoming2-2	-10.2pts	126	2-2	1-3	103	—	118	126	123	116	112	+20
126	Central Michigan2-2	-10.2pts	115	2-2	1-3	113	—	117	127	121	129	91	+2
127	Middle Tennessee2-2	-10.3pts	56	2-2	3-1	132	—	127	124	127	122	133	-76
128	Marshall3-1	-11.1pts	135	3-1	1-3	106	T81	112	120	116	115	89	+31
129	Eastern Michigan2-3	-11.2pts	121	2-3	2-3	112	—	128	131	128	127	118	+9
130	Akron1-3	-11.6pts	81	1-3	2-2	130	—	131	132	129	132	123	-49
131	Northern Illinois0-4	-12.4pts	52	0-4	1-3	137	—	129	128	130	133	119	-85
132	Buffalo2-2	-12.6pts	134	2-2	0-4	105	—	130	130	134	124	125	+27
133	UTEP1-3	-13.1pts	71	1-3	1-3	134	—	134	133	131	134	131	-63
134	Sacramento State1-4	-13.2pts	93	1-4	2-3	126	—	137	138	138	131	138	-35
135	Ball State1-3	-13.8pts	116	1-3	1-3	125	—	135	136	136	135	127	-11
136	Charlotte0-4	-13.8pts	70	0-4	2-2	135	—	136	129	135	137	137	-65
137	Bowling Green0-4	-17.5pts	123	0-4	1-3	138	—	133	134	133	136	120	-15
138	UL Monroe0-4	-18.4pts	128	0-4	1-3	136	—	138	137	137	138	136	-8

Results 26.7%Betting markets 42.8%Analytics models 30.6%

1Georgia · 4-0+19.5pts
~~vs Expected~~51~~Lines~~1~~Futures~~2~~Models~~1~~FPI~~1~~Sagarin~~5~~SP+~~1~~DRatings~~2
Results #51 · market #1 · models #1 · results vs market +50
2LSU · 3-1+17.9pts
~~vs Expected~~7~~Lines~~7~~Futures~~7~~Models~~9~~FPI~~8~~Sagarin~~8~~SP+~~10~~DRatings~~9
Results #7 · market #7 · models #9 · results vs market 0
3Notre Dame · 4-0+16.6pts
~~vs Expected~~91~~Lines~~2~~Futures~~4~~Models~~3~~FPI~~2~~Sagarin~~2~~SP+~~3~~DRatings~~6
Results #91 · market #2 · models #3 · results vs market +89
4Miami · 4-0+16.6pts
~~vs Expected~~39~~Lines~~4~~Futures~~5~~Models~~6~~FPI~~5~~Sagarin~~7~~SP+~~5~~DRatings~~5
Results #39 · market #5 · models #6 · results vs market +34
5Texas · 4-0+16.2pts
~~vs Expected~~77~~Lines~~3~~Futures~~3~~Models~~5~~FPI~~4~~Sagarin~~4~~SP+~~7~~DRatings~~3
Results #77 · market #3 · models #5 · results vs market +74
6Ohio State · 3-1+15.8pts
~~vs Expected~~88~~Lines~~5~~Futures~~1~~Models~~2~~FPI~~3~~Sagarin~~1~~SP+~~2~~DRatings~~4
Results #88 · market #4 · models #2 · results vs market +84
7Alabama · 4-0+15.0pts
~~vs Expected~~25~~Lines~~9~~Futures~~T9~~Models~~8~~FPI~~6~~Sagarin~~9~~SP+~~6~~DRatings~~10
Results #25 · market #8 · models #8 · results vs market +17
8Florida · 4-0+12.9pts
~~vs Expected~~34~~Lines~~14~~Futures~~8~~Models~~11~~FPI~~10~~Sagarin~~10~~SP+~~12~~DRatings~~16
Results #34 · market #10 · models #11 · results vs market +24
9Mississippi State · 4-0+12.7pts
~~vs Expected~~3~~Lines~~27~~Futures~~15~~Models~~23~~FPI~~20~~Sagarin~~24~~SP+~~18~~DRatings~~36
Results #3 · market #22 · models #23 · results vs market -19
10Utah · 4-0+12.0pts
~~vs Expected~~16~~Lines~~29~~Futures~~16~~Models~~12~~FPI~~12~~Sagarin~~19~~SP+~~9~~DRatings~~12
Results #16 · market #24 · models #12 · results vs market -8
11UCLA · 4-0+12.0pts
~~vs Expected~~6~~Lines~~24~~Futures~~T25~~Models~~25~~FPI~~32~~Sagarin~~21~~SP+~~24~~DRatings~~27
Results #6 · market #25 · models #25 · results vs market -19
12Oregon · 3-1+10.8pts
~~vs Expected~~101~~Lines~~13~~Futures~~T9~~Models~~7~~FPI~~9~~Sagarin~~3~~SP+~~8~~DRatings~~7
Results #101 · market #12 · models #7 · results vs market +89
13Indiana · 4-0+10.7pts
~~vs Expected~~131~~Lines~~6~~Futures~~6~~Models~~4~~FPI~~7~~Sagarin~~6~~SP+~~4~~DRatings~~1
Results #131 · market #6 · models #4 · results vs market +125
14Tennessee · 3-1+10.0pts
~~vs Expected~~92~~Lines~~11~~Futures~~13~~Models~~13~~FPI~~11~~Sagarin~~12~~SP+~~14~~DRatings~~19
Results #92 · market #11 · models #13 · results vs market +81
15Pittsburgh · 4-0+9.3pts
~~vs Expected~~11~~Lines~~39~~Futures~~32~~Models~~24~~FPI~~22~~Sagarin~~27~~SP+~~20~~DRatings~~33
Results #11 · market #37 · models #24 · results vs market -26
16BYU · 3-0+9.1pts
~~vs Expected~~66~~Lines~~19~~Futures~~T17~~Models~~15~~FPI~~17~~Sagarin~~25~~SP+~~17~~DRatings~~17
Results #66 · market #18 · models #15 · results vs market +48
17Penn State · 3-1+9.0pts
~~vs Expected~~85~~Lines~~16~~Futures~~T17~~Models~~16~~FPI~~15~~Sagarin~~20~~SP+~~15~~DRatings~~23
Results #85 · market #16 · models #16 · results vs market +69
18Kansas State · 3-1+9.0pts
~~vs Expected~~38~~Lines~~17~~Futures~~T34~~Models~~31~~FPI~~34~~Sagarin~~39~~SP+~~23~~DRatings~~25
Results #38 · market #19 · models #31 · results vs market +19
19Nebraska · 4-0+8.6pts
~~vs Expected~~18~~Lines~~45~~Futures~~T34~~Models~~18~~FPI~~14~~Sagarin~~23~~SP+~~16~~DRatings~~30
Results #18 · market #41 · models #18 · results vs market -23
20Virginia · 3-1+8.3pts
~~vs Expected~~31~~Lines~~30~~Futures~~33~~Models~~28~~FPI~~26~~Sagarin~~32~~SP+~~21~~DRatings~~29
Results #31 · market #31 · models #28 · results vs market 0
21SMU · 3-1+8.1pts
~~vs Expected~~50~~Lines~~25~~Futures~~T25~~Models~~26~~FPI~~37~~Sagarin~~37~~SP+~~26~~DRatings~~13
Results #50 · market #26 · models #26 · results vs market +24
22Iowa · 4-0+7.8pts
~~vs Expected~~46~~Lines~~41~~Futures~~19~~Models~~17~~FPI~~25~~Sagarin~~18~~SP+~~19~~DRatings~~11
Results #46 · market #35 · models #17 · results vs market +11
23USC · 4-1+7.5pts
~~vs Expected~~120~~Lines~~12~~Futures~~14~~Models~~14~~FPI~~18~~Sagarin~~15~~SP+~~13~~DRatings~~15
Results #120 · market #13 · models #14 · results vs market +107
24Oklahoma · 2-2+7.4pts
~~vs Expected~~118~~Lines~~8~~Futures~~22~~Models~~20~~FPI~~21~~Sagarin~~14~~SP+~~27~~DRatings~~21
Results #118 · market #9 · models #20 · results vs market +109
25Virginia Tech · 4-0+6.7pts
~~vs Expected~~60~~Lines~~20~~Futures~~T28~~Models~~36~~FPI~~38~~Sagarin~~44~~SP+~~28~~DRatings~~42
Results #60 · market #20 · models #36 · results vs market +40
26Duke · 4-0+6.6pts
~~vs Expected~~8~~Lines~~60~~Futures~~T40~~Models~~34~~FPI~~30~~Sagarin~~43~~SP+~~34~~DRatings~~41
Results #8 · market #56 · models #34 · results vs market -48
27Michigan · 3-1+6.5pts
~~vs Expected~~98~~Lines~~23~~Futures~~21~~Models~~19~~FPI~~23~~Sagarin~~17~~SP+~~22~~DRatings~~18
Results #98 · market #21 · models #19 · results vs market +77
28James Madison · 4-0+6.5pts
~~vs Expected~~10~~Lines~~47~~Futures~~T40~~Models~~43~~FPI~~49~~Sagarin~~62~~SP+~~36~~DRatings~~28
Results #10 · market #47 · models #43 · results vs market -37
29Houston · 3-1+6.2pts
~~vs Expected~~65~~Lines~~31~~Futures~~24~~Models~~33~~FPI~~27~~Sagarin~~33~~SP+~~30~~DRatings~~39
Results #65 · market #29 · models #33 · results vs market +36
30Northwestern · 2-1+6.2pts
~~vs Expected~~13~~Lines~~50~~Futures~~T51~~Models~~37~~FPI~~28~~Sagarin~~34~~SP+~~50~~DRatings~~43
Results #13 · market #49 · models #37 · results vs market -36
31Ole Miss · 3-1+6.2pts
~~vs Expected~~117~~Lines~~18~~Futures~~11~~Models~~21~~FPI~~19~~Sagarin~~13~~SP+~~32~~DRatings~~26
Results #117 · market #17 · models #21 · results vs market +100
32Louisville · 2-2+6.2pts
~~vs Expected~~76~~Lines~~26~~Futures~~T28~~Models~~29~~FPI~~31~~Sagarin~~28~~SP+~~37~~DRatings~~22
Results #76 · market #28 · models #29 · results vs market +48
33Kentucky · 3-1+6.1pts
~~vs Expected~~32~~Lines~~36~~Futures~~T40~~Models~~35~~FPI~~36~~Sagarin~~29~~SP+~~44~~DRatings~~37
Results #32 · market #38 · models #35 · results vs market -6
34Texas A&M · 2-2+5.4pts
~~vs Expected~~129~~Lines~~10~~Futures~~20~~Models~~22~~FPI~~16~~Sagarin~~11~~SP+~~39~~DRatings~~24
Results #129 · market #14 · models #22 · results vs market +115
35Auburn · 3-1+5.4pts
~~vs Expected~~102~~Lines~~22~~Futures~~T30~~Models~~27~~FPI~~24~~Sagarin~~22~~SP+~~31~~DRatings~~31
Results #102 · market #23 · models #27 · results vs market +79
36Wisconsin · 3-1+5.1pts
~~vs Expected~~54~~Lines~~33~~Futures~~T51~~Models~~40~~FPI~~41~~Sagarin~~26~~SP+~~51~~DRatings~~46
Results #54 · market #36 · models #40 · results vs market +18
37New Mexico · 3-1+4.9pts
~~vs Expected~~14~~Lines~~53~~Futures~~T51~~Models~~52~~FPI~~53~~Sagarin~~64~~SP+~~46~~DRatings~~40
Results #14 · market #54 · models #52 · results vs market -40
38Boise State · 3-1+4.8pts
~~vs Expected~~40~~Lines~~43~~Futures~~T37~~Models~~45~~FPI~~29~~Sagarin~~50~~SP+~~47~~DRatings~~47
Results #40 · market #42 · models #45 · results vs market -2
39Oklahoma State · 3-1+4.5pts
~~vs Expected~~23~~Lines~~64~~Futures~~T30~~Models~~44~~FPI~~43~~Sagarin~~40~~SP+~~35~~DRatings~~56
Results #23 · market #52 · models #44 · results vs market -29
40Texas Tech · 4-0+4.4pts
~~vs Expected~~138~~Lines~~15~~Futures~~12~~Models~~10~~FPI~~13~~Sagarin~~16~~SP+~~11~~DRatings~~8
Results #138 · market #15 · models #10 · results vs market +123
41North Texas · 2-2+4.3pts
~~vs Expected~~4~~Lines~~78~~Models~~70~~FPI~~64~~Sagarin~~76~~SP+~~91~~DRatings~~54
Results #4 · market #78 · models #70 · results vs market -74
42South Carolina · 2-2+4.0pts
~~vs Expected~~78~~Lines~~35~~Futures~~T40~~Models~~39~~FPI~~33~~Sagarin~~30~~SP+~~49~~DRatings~~52
Results #78 · market #34 · models #39 · results vs market +44
43Cincinnati · 4-0+3.9pts
~~vs Expected~~42~~Lines~~44~~Futures~~T47~~Models~~49~~FPI~~42~~Sagarin~~56~~SP+~~38~~DRatings~~59
Results #42 · market #44 · models #49 · results vs market -2
44Arizona State · 2-1+3.8pts
~~vs Expected~~49~~Lines~~42~~Futures~~36~~Models~~55~~FPI~~57~~Sagarin~~45~~SP+~~61~~DRatings~~58
Results #49 · market #39 · models #55 · results vs market +10
45Baylor · 3-1+3.4pts
~~vs Expected~~63~~Lines~~40~~Futures~~T47~~Models~~47~~FPI~~39~~Sagarin~~46~~SP+~~43~~DRatings~~53
Results #63 · market #43 · models #47 · results vs market +20
46Oregon State · 2-2+3.2pts
~~vs Expected~~2~~Lines~~109~~Futures~~T64~~Models~~67~~FPI~~67~~Sagarin~~72~~SP+~~65~~DRatings~~68
Results #2 · market #102 · models #67 · results vs market -100
47North Dakota State · 4-0+3.2pts
~~vs Expected~~89~~Lines~~21~~Futures~~T40~~Models~~62~~FPI~~69~~Sagarin~~73~~SP+~~45~~DRatings~~73
Results #89 · market #27 · models #62 · results vs market +62
48Toledo · 3-1+3.1pts
~~vs Expected~~12~~Lines~~71~~Futures~~T64~~Models~~68~~FPI~~62~~Sagarin~~75~~SP+~~68~~DRatings~~72
Results #12 · market #72 · models #68 · results vs market -60
49TCU · 2-2+2.8pts
~~vs Expected~~79~~Lines~~37~~Futures~~T40~~Models~~48~~FPI~~47~~Sagarin~~47~~SP+~~42~~DRatings~~49
Results #79 · market #40 · models #48 · results vs market +39
50Wake Forest · 3-1+2.6pts
~~vs Expected~~33~~Lines~~73~~Futures~~39~~Models~~53~~FPI~~48~~Sagarin~~52~~SP+~~57~~DRatings~~44
Results #33 · market #60 · models #53 · results vs market -27
51Missouri · 3-1+2.5pts
~~vs Expected~~124~~Lines~~32~~Futures~~23~~Models~~30~~FPI~~35~~Sagarin~~31~~SP+~~25~~DRatings~~32
Results #124 · market #30 · models #30 · results vs market +94
52Syracuse · 1-2+2.5pts
~~vs Expected~~17~~Lines~~67~~Futures~~T64~~Models~~74~~FPI~~63~~Sagarin~~63~~SP+~~74~~DRatings~~87
Results #17 · market #68 · models #74 · results vs market -51
53Arizona · 3-1+2.4pts
~~vs Expected~~113~~Lines~~28~~Futures~~T37~~Models~~42~~FPI~~50~~Sagarin~~51~~SP+~~33~~DRatings~~34
Results #113 · market #33 · models #42 · results vs market +80
54Minnesota · 3-1+1.8pts
~~vs Expected~~61~~Lines~~57~~Futures~~T40~~Models~~54~~FPI~~61~~Sagarin~~41~~SP+~~52~~DRatings~~55
Results #61 · market #53 · models #54 · results vs market +8
55Iowa State · 2-2+1.5pts
~~vs Expected~~37~~Lines~~79~~Futures~~T51~~Models~~58~~FPI~~55~~Sagarin~~54~~SP+~~58~~DRatings~~57
Results #37 · market #74 · models #58 · results vs market -37
56NC State · 2-2+1.5pts
~~vs Expected~~62~~Lines~~49~~Futures~~T60~~Models~~56~~FPI~~58~~Sagarin~~48~~SP+~~59~~DRatings~~51
Results #62 · market #51 · models #56 · results vs market +11
57Louisiana · 3-1+1.1pts
~~vs Expected~~9~~Lines~~101~~Futures~~T64~~Models~~82~~FPI~~82~~Sagarin~~88~~SP+~~80~~DRatings~~88
Results #9 · market #98 · models #82 · results vs market -89
58Vanderbilt · 3-1+1.0pts
~~vs Expected~~104~~Lines~~46~~Futures~~T47~~Models~~41~~FPI~~51~~Sagarin~~42~~SP+~~48~~DRatings~~20
Results #104 · market #45 · models #41 · results vs market +59
59Maryland · 2-2+0.9pts
~~vs Expected~~74~~Lines~~38~~Futures~~T90~~Models~~66~~FPI~~74~~Sagarin~~67~~SP+~~56~~DRatings~~79
Results #74 · market #46 · models #66 · results vs market +28
60UCF · 3-1+0.8pts
~~vs Expected~~72~~Lines~~58~~Futures~~T60~~Models~~50~~FPI~~46~~Sagarin~~49~~SP+~~40~~DRatings~~62
Results #72 · market #61 · models #50 · results vs market +11
61Michigan State · 2-2+0.8pts
~~vs Expected~~47~~Lines~~74~~Futures~~T78~~Models~~59~~FPI~~56~~Sagarin~~57~~SP+~~67~~DRatings~~66
Results #47 · market #77 · models #59 · results vs market -30
62Texas State · 2-2+0.7pts
~~vs Expected~~41~~Lines~~76~~Futures~~T64~~Models~~72~~FPI~~75~~Sagarin~~71~~SP+~~76~~DRatings~~65
Results #41 · market #75 · models #72 · results vs market -34
63North Carolina · 2-1+0.3pts
~~vs Expected~~83~~Lines~~51~~Futures~~T51~~Models~~60~~FPI~~52~~Sagarin~~60~~SP+~~60~~DRatings~~78
Results #83 · market #50 · models #60 · results vs market +33
64Army · 2-1+0.1pts
~~vs Expected~~68~~Lines~~54~~Futures~~T64~~Models~~73~~FPI~~79~~Sagarin~~74~~SP+~~72~~DRatings~~64
Results #68 · market #57 · models #73 · results vs market +11
65Liberty · 3-1-0.0pts
~~vs Expected~~55~~Lines~~77~~Futures~~T64~~Models~~76~~FPI~~77~~Sagarin~~83~~SP+~~62~~DRatings~~76
Results #55 · market #76 · models #76 · results vs market -21
66Kansas · 1-2-0.2pts
~~vs Expected~~69~~Lines~~61~~Futures~~T51~~Models~~71~~FPI~~70~~Sagarin~~61~~SP+~~66~~DRatings~~83
Results #69 · market #62 · models #71 · results vs market +7
67Clemson · 3-1-0.2pts
~~vs Expected~~112~~Lines~~48~~Futures~~T47~~Models~~46~~FPI~~40~~Sagarin~~38~~SP+~~54~~DRatings~~48
Results #112 · market #48 · models #46 · results vs market +64
68App State · 3-1-0.3pts
~~vs Expected~~15~~Lines~~100~~Futures~~T81~~Models~~93~~FPI~~90~~Sagarin~~97~~SP+~~89~~DRatings~~100
Results #15 · market #100 · models #93 · results vs market -85
69Fresno State · 3-1-0.4pts
~~vs Expected~~75~~Lines~~56~~Futures~~T64~~Models~~75~~FPI~~72~~Sagarin~~80~~SP+~~70~~DRatings~~74
Results #75 · market #58 · models #75 · results vs market +17
70Memphis · 3-1-0.5pts
~~vs Expected~~73~~Lines~~66~~Futures~~T51~~Models~~69~~FPI~~65~~Sagarin~~78~~SP+~~63~~DRatings~~75
Results #73 · market #65 · models #69 · results vs market +8
71Washington · 3-1-0.6pts
~~vs Expected~~137~~Lines~~34~~Futures~~T25~~Models~~32~~FPI~~54~~Sagarin~~36~~SP+~~29~~DRatings~~14
Results #137 · market #32 · models #32 · results vs market +105
72Arkansas · 2-2-1.2pts
~~vs Expected~~90~~Lines~~63~~Futures~~T81~~Models~~61~~FPI~~60~~Sagarin~~58~~SP+~~71~~DRatings~~61
Results #90 · market #70 · models #61 · results vs market +20
73Illinois · 2-2-1.3pts
~~vs Expected~~106~~Lines~~72~~Futures~~T93~~Models~~38~~FPI~~44~~Sagarin~~35~~SP+~~41~~DRatings~~38
Results #106 · market #80 · models #38 · results vs market +26
74Temple · 1-3-1.4pts
~~vs Expected~~27~~Lines~~96~~Models~~96~~FPI~~88~~Sagarin~~93~~SP+~~92~~DRatings~~103
Results #27 · market #99 · models #96 · results vs market -72
75Georgia State · 3-1-1.9pts
~~vs Expected~~5~~Lines~~129~~Futures~~T93~~Models~~104~~FPI~~99~~Sagarin~~99~~SP+~~111~~DRatings~~107
Results #5 · market #122 · models #104 · results vs market -117
76Florida Atlantic · 3-1-2.0pts
~~vs Expected~~57~~Lines~~90~~Futures~~T81~~Models~~97~~FPI~~102~~Sagarin~~96~~SP+~~87~~DRatings~~93
Results #57 · market #91 · models #97 · results vs market -34
77UTSA · 3-1-2.1pts
~~vs Expected~~97~~Lines~~81~~Futures~~T64~~Models~~63~~FPI~~68~~Sagarin~~68~~SP+~~73~~DRatings~~50
Results #97 · market #79 · models #63 · results vs market +18
78UConn · 2-2-2.3pts
~~vs Expected~~22~~Lines~~110~~Models~~95~~FPI~~97~~Sagarin~~94~~SP+~~85~~DRatings~~97
Results #22 · market #110 · models #95 · results vs market -88
79UNLV · 2-2-2.3pts
~~vs Expected~~103~~Lines~~55~~Futures~~T81~~Models~~78~~FPI~~81~~Sagarin~~89~~SP+~~78~~DRatings~~60
Results #103 · market #63 · models #78 · results vs market +40
80Florida International · 2-2-2.4pts
~~vs Expected~~35~~Lines~~84~~Models~~113~~FPI~~116~~Sagarin~~122~~SP+~~99~~DRatings~~113
Results #35 · market #83 · models #113 · results vs market -48
81Massachusetts · 4-0-2.4pts
~~vs Expected~~30~~Lines~~91~~Futures~~T78~~Models~~116~~FPI~~103~~Sagarin~~124~~SP+~~93~~DRatings~~132
Results #30 · market #87 · models #116 · results vs market -57
82Air Force · 2-1-2.5pts
~~vs Expected~~64~~Lines~~93~~Futures~~T81~~Models~~89~~FPI~~89~~Sagarin~~100~~SP+~~84~~DRatings~~85
Results #64 · market #93 · models #89 · results vs market -29
83West Virginia · 3-1-2.6pts
~~vs Expected~~110~~Lines~~75~~Futures~~T51~~Models~~64~~FPI~~59~~Sagarin~~55~~SP+~~64~~DRatings~~82
Results #110 · market #67 · models #64 · results vs market +43
84South Florida · 4-0-2.9pts
~~vs Expected~~122~~Lines~~65~~Futures~~T51~~Models~~57~~FPI~~73~~Sagarin~~79~~SP+~~55~~DRatings~~35
Results #122 · market #64 · models #57 · results vs market +58
85Western Michigan · 2-2-3.1pts
~~vs Expected~~87~~Lines~~88~~Models~~83~~FPI~~80~~Sagarin~~81~~SP+~~96~~DRatings~~81
Results #87 · market #89 · models #83 · results vs market -2
86Sam Houston · 1-3-3.1pts
~~vs Expected~~1~~Lines~~123~~Models~~123~~FPI~~117~~Sagarin~~115~~SP+~~117~~DRatings~~135
Results #1 · market #125 · models #123 · results vs market -124
87Purdue · 1-3-3.3pts
~~vs Expected~~96~~Lines~~82~~Futures~~T93~~Models~~85~~FPI~~83~~Sagarin~~65~~SP+~~94~~DRatings~~95
Results #96 · market #84 · models #85 · results vs market +12
88Florida State · 2-2-3.5pts
~~vs Expected~~133~~Lines~~52~~Futures~~T60~~Models~~51~~FPI~~45~~Sagarin~~53~~SP+~~53~~DRatings~~45
Results #133 · market #55 · models #51 · results vs market +78
89Colorado · 2-2-3.5pts
~~vs Expected~~109~~Lines~~70~~Futures~~T64~~Models~~81~~FPI~~71~~Sagarin~~70~~SP+~~82~~DRatings~~104
Results #109 · market #71 · models #81 · results vs market +38
90Washington State · 1-3-3.5pts
~~vs Expected~~86~~Lines~~92~~Models~~91~~FPI~~98~~Sagarin~~84~~SP+~~106~~DRatings~~77
Results #86 · market #92 · models #91 · results vs market -6
91Stanford · 2-2-3.5pts
~~vs Expected~~84~~Lines~~99~~Futures~~T64~~Models~~84~~FPI~~92~~Sagarin~~77~~SP+~~102~~DRatings~~67
Results #84 · market #96 · models #84 · results vs market -12
92East Carolina · 2-2-3.6pts
~~vs Expected~~105~~Lines~~80~~Futures~~T90~~Models~~79~~FPI~~85~~Sagarin~~92~~SP+~~79~~DRatings~~63
Results #105 · market #81 · models #79 · results vs market +24
93Colorado State · 2-2-3.6pts
~~vs Expected~~19~~Lines~~121~~Models~~94~~FPI~~93~~Sagarin~~91~~SP+~~97~~DRatings~~94
Results #19 · market #123 · models #94 · results vs market -104
94Rutgers · 1-3-3.9pts
~~vs Expected~~95~~Lines~~89~~Futures~~T81~~Models~~92~~FPI~~84~~Sagarin~~69~~SP+~~75~~DRatings~~121
Results #95 · market #90 · models #92 · results vs market +5
95Louisiana Tech · 1-2-4.0pts
~~vs Expected~~21~~Lines~~119~~Models~~100~~FPI~~94~~Sagarin~~90~~SP+~~108~~DRatings~~108
Results #21 · market #120 · models #100 · results vs market -99
96Georgia Tech · 1-3-4.0pts
~~vs Expected~~127~~Lines~~62~~Futures~~T60~~Models~~65~~FPI~~66~~Sagarin~~59~~SP+~~69~~DRatings~~70
Results #127 · market #66 · models #65 · results vs market +61
97San José State · 2-2-4.0pts
~~vs Expected~~26~~Lines~~97~~Futures~~T90~~Models~~125~~FPI~~121~~Sagarin~~117~~SP+~~120~~DRatings~~134
Results #26 · market #95 · models #125 · results vs market -69
98Georgia Southern · 1-3-4.1pts
~~vs Expected~~20~~Lines~~118~~Models~~103~~FPI~~100~~Sagarin~~102~~SP+~~103~~DRatings~~110
Results #20 · market #119 · models #103 · results vs market -99
99Tulane · 2-2-4.4pts
~~vs Expected~~114~~Lines~~87~~Futures~~T64~~Models~~80~~FPI~~78~~Sagarin~~82~~SP+~~98~~DRatings~~69
Results #114 · market #82 · models #80 · results vs market +32
100Navy · 1-2-4.4pts
~~vs Expected~~119~~Lines~~68~~Futures~~T64~~Models~~86~~FPI~~96~~Sagarin~~98~~SP+~~86~~DRatings~~71
Results #119 · market #69 · models #86 · results vs market +50
101Tulsa · 3-1-4.5pts
~~vs Expected~~108~~Lines~~85~~Futures~~T81~~Models~~88~~FPI~~87~~Sagarin~~87~~SP+~~83~~DRatings~~99
Results #108 · market #85 · models #88 · results vs market +23
102South Alabama · 2-2-4.6pts
~~vs Expected~~45~~Lines~~111~~Models~~108~~FPI~~107~~Sagarin~~103~~SP+~~121~~DRatings~~98
Results #45 · market #111 · models #108 · results vs market -66
103Boston College · 2-2-4.8pts
~~vs Expected~~111~~Lines~~83~~Futures~~T93~~Models~~87~~FPI~~86~~Sagarin~~85~~SP+~~90~~DRatings~~96
Results #111 · market #88 · models #87 · results vs market +23
104California · 2-2-5.3pts
~~vs Expected~~130~~Lines~~69~~Futures~~T78~~Models~~77~~FPI~~76~~Sagarin~~66~~SP+~~81~~DRatings~~86
Results #130 · market #73 · models #77 · results vs market +57
105Miami (OH) · 2-2-5.5pts
~~vs Expected~~99~~Lines~~104~~Futures~~T81~~Models~~98~~FPI~~101~~Sagarin~~95~~SP+~~88~~DRatings~~102
Results #99 · market #103 · models #98 · results vs market -4
106UAB · 2-2-5.5pts
~~vs Expected~~24~~Lines~~115~~Models~~119~~FPI~~122~~Sagarin~~118~~SP+~~118~~DRatings~~117
Results #24 · market #115 · models #119 · results vs market -91
107Jacksonville State · 3-2-5.8pts
~~vs Expected~~59~~Lines~~116~~Models~~101~~FPI~~105~~Sagarin~~104~~SP+~~77~~DRatings~~111
Results #59 · market #116 · models #101 · results vs market -57
108Nevada · 1-3-5.9pts
~~vs Expected~~36~~Lines~~124~~Models~~107~~FPI~~104~~Sagarin~~113~~SP+~~95~~DRatings~~109
Results #36 · market #126 · models #107 · results vs market -90
109Ohio · 2-2-6.0pts
~~vs Expected~~94~~Lines~~98~~Models~~109~~FPI~~111~~Sagarin~~110~~SP+~~109~~DRatings~~105
Results #94 · market #101 · models #109 · results vs market -7
110Delaware · 2-2-6.1pts
~~vs Expected~~82~~Lines~~107~~Models~~111~~FPI~~108~~Sagarin~~106~~SP+~~110~~DRatings~~116
Results #82 · market #108 · models #111 · results vs market -26
111Coastal Carolina · 1-3-6.3pts
~~vs Expected~~80~~Lines~~102~~Models~~114~~FPI~~114~~Sagarin~~112~~SP+~~112~~DRatings~~115
Results #80 · market #105 · models #114 · results vs market -25
112Rice · 1-3-6.5pts
~~vs Expected~~43~~Lines~~114~~Models~~121~~FPI~~123~~Sagarin~~120~~SP+~~119~~DRatings~~122
Results #43 · market #114 · models #121 · results vs market -71
113Troy · 2-2-6.6pts
~~vs Expected~~67~~Lines~~127~~Futures~~T64~~Models~~105~~FPI~~106~~Sagarin~~105~~SP+~~104~~DRatings~~106
Results #67 · market #117 · models #105 · results vs market -50
114Arkansas State · 2-2-6.7pts
~~vs Expected~~100~~Lines~~108~~Models~~106~~FPI~~109~~Sagarin~~107~~SP+~~107~~DRatings~~101
Results #100 · market #109 · models #106 · results vs market -9
115Kennesaw State · 1-3-6.7pts
~~vs Expected~~53~~Lines~~117~~Models~~115~~FPI~~113~~Sagarin~~109~~SP+~~113~~DRatings~~124
Results #53 · market #118 · models #115 · results vs market -65
116Utah State · 1-3-7.0pts
~~vs Expected~~58~~Lines~~128~~Models~~99~~FPI~~95~~Sagarin~~101~~SP+~~105~~DRatings~~90
Results #58 · market #129 · models #99 · results vs market -71
117New Mexico State · 1-3-7.1pts
~~vs Expected~~29~~Lines~~120~~Models~~126~~FPI~~125~~Sagarin~~126~~SP+~~126~~DRatings~~130
Results #29 · market #121 · models #126 · results vs market -92
118San Diego State · 1-3-7.2pts
~~vs Expected~~136~~Lines~~59~~Models~~90~~FPI~~91~~Sagarin~~86~~SP+~~100~~DRatings~~84
Results #136 · market #59 · models #90 · results vs market +77
119Hawai'i · 1-3-7.4pts
~~vs Expected~~125~~Lines~~86~~Models~~110~~FPI~~112~~Sagarin~~114~~SP+~~114~~DRatings~~92
Results #125 · market #86 · models #110 · results vs market +39
120Western Kentucky · 1-3-7.6pts
~~vs Expected~~107~~Lines~~94~~Models~~120~~FPI~~119~~Sagarin~~111~~SP+~~123~~DRatings~~128
Results #107 · market #94 · models #120 · results vs market +13
121Old Dominion · 1-3-8.5pts
~~vs Expected~~132~~Lines~~95~~Models~~102~~FPI~~110~~Sagarin~~108~~SP+~~101~~DRatings~~80
Results #132 · market #97 · models #102 · results vs market +35
122Missouri State · 1-3-8.6pts
~~vs Expected~~28~~Lines~~131~~Models~~122~~FPI~~118~~Sagarin~~119~~SP+~~125~~DRatings~~126
Results #28 · market #131 · models #122 · results vs market -103
123Kent State · 2-2-8.7pts
~~vs Expected~~48~~Lines~~122~~Models~~132~~FPI~~135~~Sagarin~~132~~SP+~~130~~DRatings~~114
Results #48 · market #124 · models #132 · results vs market -76
124Southern Miss · 1-3-9.6pts
~~vs Expected~~44~~Lines~~133~~Models~~124~~FPI~~115~~Sagarin~~125~~SP+~~128~~DRatings~~129
Results #44 · market #133 · models #124 · results vs market -89
125Wyoming · 2-2-10.2pts
~~vs Expected~~126~~Lines~~103~~Models~~118~~FPI~~126~~Sagarin~~123~~SP+~~116~~DRatings~~112
Results #126 · market #106 · models #118 · results vs market +20
126Central Michigan · 2-2-10.2pts
~~vs Expected~~115~~Lines~~113~~Models~~117~~FPI~~127~~Sagarin~~121~~SP+~~129~~DRatings~~91
Results #115 · market #113 · models #117 · results vs market +2
127Middle Tennessee · 2-2-10.3pts
~~vs Expected~~56~~Lines~~132~~Models~~127~~FPI~~124~~Sagarin~~127~~SP+~~122~~DRatings~~133
Results #56 · market #132 · models #127 · results vs market -76
128Marshall · 3-1-11.1pts
~~vs Expected~~135~~Lines~~106~~Futures~~T81~~Models~~112~~FPI~~120~~Sagarin~~116~~SP+~~115~~DRatings~~89
Results #135 · market #104 · models #112 · results vs market +31
129Eastern Michigan · 2-3-11.2pts
~~vs Expected~~121~~Lines~~112~~Models~~128~~FPI~~131~~Sagarin~~128~~SP+~~127~~DRatings~~118
Results #121 · market #112 · models #128 · results vs market +9
130Akron · 1-3-11.6pts
~~vs Expected~~81~~Lines~~130~~Models~~131~~FPI~~132~~Sagarin~~129~~SP+~~132~~DRatings~~123
Results #81 · market #130 · models #131 · results vs market -49
131Northern Illinois · 0-4-12.4pts
~~vs Expected~~52~~Lines~~137~~Models~~129~~FPI~~128~~Sagarin~~130~~SP+~~133~~DRatings~~119
Results #52 · market #137 · models #129 · results vs market -85
132Buffalo · 2-2-12.6pts
~~vs Expected~~134~~Lines~~105~~Models~~130~~FPI~~130~~Sagarin~~134~~SP+~~124~~DRatings~~125
Results #134 · market #107 · models #130 · results vs market +27
133UTEP · 1-3-13.1pts
~~vs Expected~~71~~Lines~~134~~Models~~134~~FPI~~133~~Sagarin~~131~~SP+~~134~~DRatings~~131
Results #71 · market #134 · models #134 · results vs market -63
134Sacramento State · 1-4-13.2pts
~~vs Expected~~93~~Lines~~126~~Models~~137~~FPI~~138~~Sagarin~~138~~SP+~~131~~DRatings~~138
Results #93 · market #128 · models #137 · results vs market -35
135Ball State · 1-3-13.8pts
~~vs Expected~~116~~Lines~~125~~Models~~135~~FPI~~136~~Sagarin~~136~~SP+~~135~~DRatings~~127
Results #116 · market #127 · models #135 · results vs market -11
136Charlotte · 0-4-13.8pts
~~vs Expected~~70~~Lines~~135~~Models~~136~~FPI~~129~~Sagarin~~135~~SP+~~137~~DRatings~~137
Results #70 · market #135 · models #136 · results vs market -65
137Bowling Green · 0-4-17.5pts
~~vs Expected~~123~~Lines~~138~~Models~~133~~FPI~~134~~Sagarin~~133~~SP+~~136~~DRatings~~120
Results #123 · market #138 · models #133 · results vs market -15
138UL Monroe · 0-4-18.4pts
~~vs Expected~~128~~Lines~~136~~Models~~138~~FPI~~137~~Sagarin~~137~~SP+~~138~~DRatings~~136
Results #128 · market #136 · models #138 · results vs market -8

column ranks them higher than the composite lower than the composite widest results-versus-market gap— not ranked by that column

How the rating is built. Every team gets a rating in points better than an average FBS team on a neutral field, from each of three pillars, and the composite is their weighted sum. Results is what actually happened, measured one way: how far above or below the closing line’s expectation each game landed, averaged per game. The line already prices the opponent and the site, so a narrow win over a good team counts for more than a rout of a weak one, and playing an extra game earns nothing by itself. Each game is luck-adjusted first, half the scoreboard and half what the yardage says the margin should have been, then capped at 28 points. Margin and wins were removed from this pillar in September because in the first weeks of a season neither can tell a good opponent from a bad one, so between them they mostly counted games played. Read this column as what-you-did-against-expectation, not as who-you-beat. A team that won every game as a heavy favourite can rank low in it, and a team that lost outright as a four-touchdown underdog can rank high. The composite is the place the three pillars argue that out. Betting markets is what money says: a rating fit to the last three weeks of point spreads, blended with the futures boards. Analytics models is what the models say: every live model, placed on the same points scale by its position against the market. Full-season weights are results 40%, markets 35%, models 25%; results phase in over the first 6 weeks because a September record predicts almost nothing, and a pillar with nothing to say this week hands its share to the others. Results carry 26.7% this week and reach 40% after week 6. There are no media rankings and no human polls in the score. Voters anchor on where a team started the season, reward reputation, and see a fraction of the games they rank; the three pillars here are each accountable to something real, a score, a price, or a measurement. Results vs market is the results rank minus the market rank: a large positive number is a team whose record the market does not yet believe, a large negative one is a favourite that keeps losing. A source is excluded from scoring, and shown struck through, when its data is more than 30 days old or when it describes an earlier week than the one this board is built on.

Back to the current college football consensus, or see the NFL consensus rankings.