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College football consensus, week 4

The board as it was published on September 20, 2026, before week 4’s games. It is frozen: every rating, source and column is exactly what readers saw that week, including sources that have since left the board.

ArchiveThis is a past week. The current consensus is rebuilt every week.

College football · FBS · 2026 season · week 4

Consensus, all 138 FBS teams, as published

5 of 6 sources scoring, across 3 pillars
week 4 · built 2026-09-20

1 source excluded from this week’s score. Fremeau FEI (Still published through Week 2, so it has not seen the Week 3 results this board is built on.). Their columns are shown struck through for transparency, but they score nothing and their pillar reweighted around them.

			Results · 20%			Betting markets · 46.7%		Analytics models · 33.3%
#	Team	Rating	vs Expected20.0%Sep 20	W-LshownSep 20	ATSshownSep 20	Lines35.0%Sep 20	Futures11.7%Sep 20	Models33.3%undated	FPI8.3%Sep 20	Sagarin8.3%Sep 19	FEIexcluded2026, through week 2	SP+8.3%Sep 20	DRatings8.3%Sep 20	Results vs market
1	Ohio State2-1	+17.8pts	68	2-1	3-0	5	1	1	1	1	1	1	4	+65
2	Georgia3-0	+17.5pts	58	3-0	3-0	2	T3	5	3	6	2	2	3	+56
3	Notre Dame3-0	+16.9pts	94	3-0	2-1	1	T3	3	4	2	3	3	5	+93
4	Texas3-0	+16.7pts	75	3-0	1-2	3	2	4	2	4	7	6	2	+71
5	LSU2-1	+16.0pts	32	2-1	1-2	6	8	9	8	9	20	9	11	+26
6	Alabama3-0	+15.2pts	40	3-0	2-1	7	10	8	7	8	5	11	9	+33
7	Miami3-0	+15.1pts	51	3-0	2-1	10	5	7	6	7	9	7	6	+42
8	Oregon2-1	+12.7pts	111	2-1	1-2	8	9	6	9	3	12	5	8	+103
9	Penn State3-0	+12.3pts	44	3-0	2-1	11	T16	17	11	17	10	12	24	+33
10	Mississippi State3-0	+11.7pts	3	3-0	3-0	26	T24	28	22	26	29	30	39	-21
11	USC4-0	+11.4pts	117	4-0	1-3	4	11	15	18	18	8	8	14	+112
12	Utah3-0	+10.6pts	10	3-0	3-0	33	T19	19	15	20	6	19	17	-22
13	Tennessee3-0	+10.4pts	98	3-0	1-2	13	15	10	10	14	15	10	18	+86
14	Florida3-0	+10.3pts	67	3-0	2-1	20	13	16	16	13	26	15	19	+49
15	Kansas State3-0	+10.1pts	16	3-0	2-1	19	T32	26	30	35	19	24	25	-6
16	Indiana3-0	+10.0pts	132	3-0	0-3	16	6	2	5	5	4	4	1	+117
17	Oklahoma2-1	+10.0pts	118	2-1	1-2	9	14	13	14	11	14	16	12	+108
18	Texas A&M2-1	+10.0pts	107	2-1	2-1	12	T16	12	12	10	11	14	16	+94
19	Pittsburgh3-0	+9.6pts	12	3-0	2-1	21	T32	32	25	30	28	37	40	-11
20	Ole Miss3-0	+9.5pts	103	3-0	1-2	17	7	14	13	12	13	20	10	+87
21	Virginia Tech3-0	+9.4pts	42	3-0	3-0	15	T30	29	29	36	56	28	29	+23
22	Iowa3-0	+9.2pts	33	3-0	2-1	32	T24	21	28	19	17	18	20	+2
23	Michigan3-0	+8.9pts	108	3-0	2-1	14	18	18	20	15	16	21	13	+94
24	UCLA3-0	+8.3pts	29	3-0	3-0	24	T32	36	40	34	42	40	34	+4
25	BYU3-0	+8.3pts	74	3-0	3-0	30	T19	20	19	22	21	17	15	+46
26	SMU2-1	+8.0pts	31	2-1	1-1-1	39	27	23	26	23	32	29	22	-5
27	Louisville2-1	+7.7pts	49	2-1	3-0	37	T21	22	23	21	25	25	23	+16
28	Houston2-1	+7.2pts	48	2-1	2-1	36	T28	30	31	32	51	34	31	+13
29	Nebraska3-0	+7.2pts	20	3-0	2-1	50	41	24	21	28	33	23	28	-26
30	Auburn2-1	+7.0pts	92	2-1	1-2	22	T21	27	24	24	27	31	35	+72
31	South Carolina2-1	+7.0pts	64	2-1	1-2	31	T24	33	27	25	24	26	62	+34
32	Virginia2-1	+6.3pts	82	2-1	2-1	27	T30	34	34	37	35	36	30	+56
33	Maryland2-1	+5.9pts	13	2-1	2-1	41	T50	50	48	51	50	43	56	-30
34	TCU2-1	+5.7pts	72	2-1	2-1	29	T44	39	41	47	39	32	37	+38
35	Kentucky2-1	+5.5pts	37	2-1	2-1	52	T37	35	36	27	45	49	36	-12
36	Texas Tech3-0	+5.4pts	138	3-0	0-3	18	12	11	17	16	18	13	7	+121
37	Missouri3-0	+5.2pts	124	3-0	1-2	25	T21	25	32	29	23	22	26	+103
38	Duke3-0	+5.1pts	9	3-0	3-0	72	T48	42	35	50	41	46	41	-58
39	New Mexico2-1	+4.7pts	7	2-1	3-0	65	T44	60	57	64	79	58	55	-49
40	Arizona State2-1	+4.5pts	52	2-1	2-1	49	T35	49	58	41	47	55	38	+10
41	Boise State2-1	+4.3pts	66	2-1	2-1	43	T37	48	37	57	37	47	50	+26
42	Cincinnati3-0	+4.2pts	62	3-0	2-1	34	T66	53	46	59	40	42	59	+23
43	Baylor2-1	+4.2pts	55	2-1	2-1	46	T50	44	38	49	46	48	49	+7
44	James Madison3-0	+3.9pts	18	3-0	3-0	59	T50	56	59	67	44	50	51	-39
45	North Dakota State4-0	+3.9pts	86	4-0	2-2	23	T42	66	65	70	113	35	97	+59
46	Wisconsin2-1	+3.5pts	90	2-1	1-2	35	T50	46	53	33	43	56	43	+52
47	NC State1-2	+3.2pts	60	1-2	1-2	47	T66	54	61	45	54	57	46	+9
48	Oklahoma State2-1	+3.0pts	59	2-1	2-1	71	T37	45	50	46	71	41	48	+1
49	Syracuse1-2	+2.8pts	19	1-2	1-2	54	T74	67	64	61	85	69	77	-47
50	Washington3-0	+2.6pts	135	3-0	0-3	28	T28	31	47	31	22	27	21	+106
51	Vanderbilt3-0	+2.4pts	121	3-0	1-2	40	T35	38	43	42	34	39	27	+84
52	Michigan State2-1	+2.4pts	21	2-1	2-0-1	73	T66	61	56	55	55	65	61	-52
53	North Carolina2-1	+2.3pts	83	2-1	1-2	48	T48	59	51	62	74	59	64	+36
54	UCF2-1	+2.3pts	88	2-1	2-1	44	T50	57	52	53	60	54	65	+43
55	Northwestern2-0	+2.2pts	15	2-0	2-0	99	T50	41	33	39	59	44	42	-75
56	Minnesota2-1	+2.2pts	96	2-1	2-1	42	T50	51	62	40	63	51	52	+52
57	West Virginia3-0	+1.5pts	84	3-0	2-1	68	T42	52	49	52	73	61	47	+23
58	Army1-1	+1.5pts	30	1-1	1-1	64	T74	71	80	73	67	68	70	-41
59	Arizona2-1	+1.5pts	112	2-1	0-3	57	40	40	45	48	38	38	32	+60
60	Kansas1-2	+1.1pts	76	1-2	1-2	66	T44	65	67	60	48	64	71	+16
61	Iowa State2-1	+1.1pts	24	2-1	2-1	90	T50	62	55	58	31	52	72	-59
62	Florida State1-2	+1.0pts	115	1-2	1-1-1	45	T66	47	39	43	36	53	53	+65
63	Clemson2-1	+0.9pts	131	2-1	1-2	38	T50	43	42	44	53	45	45	+90
64	Fresno State2-1	+0.7pts	70	2-1	2-1	53	T74	68	69	80	75	71	68	+6
65	Air Force1-1	+0.6pts	57	1-1	1-1	51	T66	87	94	99	87	81	82	+4
66	Wake Forest2-1	+0.6pts	63	2-1	1-2	80	T66	55	54	56	49	63	44	-12
67	Memphis3-1	+0.4pts	80	3-1	2-2	67	T44	72	71	76	66	62	76	+18
68	South Florida3-0	+0.1pts	105	3-0	2-1	55	T50	63	63	71	61	66	60	+51
69	Illinois2-1	-0.1pts	127	2-1	1-2	69	T50	37	44	38	30	33	33	+59
70	Western Michigan2-1	-0.8pts	65	2-1	2-1	74	T74	75	66	75	70	80	75	-11
71	Tulsa3-0	-1.0pts	78	3-0	2-1	58	T96	78	72	79	98	73	100	+6
72	Georgia Tech1-2	-1.0pts	120	1-2	0-3	61	T66	58	60	54	58	60	54	+55
73	Louisiana2-1	-1.1pts	11	2-1	2-0-1	89	T74	93	89	95	97	99	84	-77
74	Toledo2-1	-1.4pts	39	2-1	1-1-1	79	T74	88	77	84	65	87	103	-42
75	California2-1	-1.5pts	130	2-1	1-2	56	T50	64	73	63	81	67	57	+75
76	Oregon State1-2	-1.7pts	4	1-2	3-0	126	T74	79	78	77	82	79	95	-115
77	App State3-0	-1.8pts	8	3-0	2-1	94	T96	94	87	98	92	94	86	-91
78	Navy1-1	-2.3pts	114	1-1	0-2	60	T50	81	88	87	80	76	74	+55
79	North Texas1-2	-2.5pts	5	1-2	2-1	117	—	92	79	85	52	105	92	-112
80	Rutgers0-3	-2.6pts	101	0-3	1-2	63	T74	84	90	72	93	77	113	+31
81	Purdue1-2	-3.0pts	93	1-2	1-2	82	T74	77	75	66	69	75	102	+11
82	Liberty2-1	-3.0pts	87	2-1	1-2	77	T74	86	83	91	90	82	96	+9
83	Delaware2-1	-3.0pts	27	2-1	3-0	98	T74	99	82	94	110	103	110	-69
84	UConn2-1	-3.1pts	14	2-1	2-1	106	T96	95	92	88	106	86	101	-93
85	Georgia State2-1	-3.1pts	2	2-1	3-0	115	T108	115	107	108	111	128	117	-113
86	Colorado2-1	-3.1pts	119	2-1	1-2	81	T50	69	70	68	72	72	78	+45
87	Washington State1-2	-3.2pts	91	1-2	2-1	76	T74	91	97	83	62	89	94	+14
88	Tulane1-2	-3.3pts	95	1-2	1-2	97	T50	74	68	74	64	88	63	+8
89	San Diego State1-2	-3.4pts	134	1-2	0-3	62	T50	76	81	78	78	78	73	+71
90	Coastal Carolina1-2	-3.5pts	43	1-2	2-1	84	—	110	103	103	105	109	116	-42
91	Sam Houston1-2	-3.7pts	1	1-2	3-0	116	—	122	110	113	129	121	135	-115
92	UTSA2-1	-3.7pts	89	2-1	3-0	101	T74	70	76	69	68	74	66	-9
93	Colorado State2-1	-3.7pts	17	2-1	2-1	112	T74	98	96	89	96	96	105	-91
94	Temple1-2	-3.7pts	53	1-2	3-0	95	—	90	85	93	107	95	90	-47
95	Florida International1-2	-3.9pts	6	1-2	2-1	104	—	113	114	116	118	112	111	-103
96	Boston College2-1	-4.0pts	125	2-1	1-2	70	T66	89	91	90	86	85	88	+56
97	San José State2-2	-4.6pts	35	2-2	2-2	87	T103	119	120	118	108	115	123	-60
98	East Carolina1-2	-4.6pts	100	1-2	1-2	86	T103	80	84	92	76	90	67	+7
99	Miami (OH)1-2	-4.7pts	104	1-2	2-1	78	T74	100	104	96	101	92	99	+25
100	Troy2-1	-4.7pts	56	2-1	1-2	107	T74	96	95	97	95	93	89	-48
101	Texas State1-2	-4.7pts	73	1-2	1-2	109	T74	83	86	81	91	91	81	-33
102	Arkansas1-2	-5.2pts	123	1-2	0-3	93	T74	73	74	65	57	70	79	+29
103	Massachusetts3-0	-5.3pts	46	3-0	2-1	75	T96	132	116	131	136	131	136	-34
104	Louisiana Tech1-2	-5.3pts	25	1-2	3-0	118	—	102	98	86	94	104	107	-93
105	Arkansas State1-2	-5.6pts	97	1-2	1-2	88	—	108	111	110	117	107	91	+11
106	South Alabama2-1	-5.6pts	28	2-1	2-1	121	T96	105	99	105	99	111	87	-93
107	UNLV1-2	-5.7pts	122	1-2	1-2	85	T96	82	93	100	84	84	58	+33
108	Stanford1-2	-5.8pts	106	1-2	1-2	100	T74	85	102	82	88	101	69	+9
109	Florida Atlantic2-1	-6.0pts	85	2-1	2-1	96	T103	103	113	102	112	100	83	-16
110	Georgia Southern1-2	-6.1pts	22	1-2	2-1	120	—	107	101	109	104	102	108	-101
111	Kennesaw State1-2	-6.2pts	54	1-2	2-1	108	T74	114	115	111	122	113	118	-51
112	Hawai'i1-2	-6.3pts	109	1-2	1-2	92	T74	101	106	107	102	98	85	+17
113	Old Dominion1-2	-6.3pts	129	1-2	0-3	83	—	97	100	101	83	97	80	+45
114	New Mexico State1-2	-6.5pts	23	1-2	2-1	111	—	121	123	120	128	119	129	-89
115	Rice1-2	-6.6pts	47	1-2	2-1	105	—	116	122	117	130	116	115	-63
116	Jacksonville State2-2	-6.8pts	79	2-2	2-2	110	—	104	109	104	116	83	104	-32
117	UTEP1-2	-7.4pts	41	1-2	1-2	103	—	131	131	127	132	130	133	-62
118	UAB1-2	-7.4pts	34	1-2	1-1-1	119	T108	120	125	122	119	123	122	-86
119	Missouri State1-2	-8.3pts	38	1-2	1-2	122	T103	124	121	125	115	124	131	-86
120	Akron1-2	-8.8pts	61	1-2	2-1	114	—	130	130	123	135	132	128	-53
121	Marshall2-1	-9.6pts	133	2-1	1-2	102	T96	109	117	112	100	110	93	+31
122	Ohio1-2	-9.8pts	102	1-2	2-1	127	T74	112	112	114	89	114	112	-20
123	Central Michigan2-1	-9.9pts	110	2-1	1-2	113	T103	117	127	121	127	117	106	-3
124	Utah State0-3	-10.0pts	69	0-3	1-2	132	—	106	108	106	77	106	98	-63
125	Middle Tennessee2-1	-11.0pts	26	2-1	3-0	136	T108	126	119	126	123	125	132	-108
126	Southern Miss1-2	-11.0pts	71	1-2	1-2	131	—	123	118	129	121	127	124	-60
127	Nevada1-2	-11.2pts	36	1-2	1-2	135	—	111	105	115	103	108	114	-100
128	Wyoming1-2	-11.6pts	137	1-2	0-3	91	—	127	133	128	114	118	121	+46
129	Western Kentucky0-3	-12.0pts	113	0-3	1-2	128	—	118	124	119	109	122	109	-15
130	Kent State1-2	-12.7pts	77	1-2	1-2	125	—	136	137	134	137	137	126	-50
131	Eastern Michigan1-3	-13.2pts	126	1-3	1-3	123	—	129	132	130	126	126	119	+1
132	Buffalo1-2	-13.3pts	128	1-2	0-3	124	—	128	128	132	124	120	127	+2
133	Charlotte0-3	-14.2pts	45	0-3	2-1	134	—	134	126	133	133	135	137	-90
134	Ball State1-2	-14.3pts	99	1-2	1-2	129	—	135	134	137	131	136	130	-30
135	Sacramento State1-3	-15.2pts	81	1-3	2-2	130	—	138	138	138	138	133	138	-49
136	Northern Illinois0-3	-16.0pts	50	0-3	1-2	138	—	125	129	124	120	129	125	-88
137	UL Monroe0-3	-17.5pts	116	0-3	1-2	133	—	137	135	135	134	138	134	-17
138	Bowling Green0-3	-21.5pts	136	0-3	0-3	137	—	133	136	136	125	134	120	-1

Results 20%Betting markets 46.7%Analytics models 33.3%

1Ohio State · 2-1+17.8pts
~~vs Expected~~68~~Lines~~5~~Futures~~1~~Models~~1~~FPI~~1~~Sagarin~~1~~FEI~~1~~SP+~~1~~DRatings~~4
Results #68 · market #3 · models #1 · results vs market +65
2Georgia · 3-0+17.5pts
~~vs Expected~~58~~Lines~~2~~Futures~~T3~~Models~~5~~FPI~~3~~Sagarin~~6~~FEI~~2~~SP+~~2~~DRatings~~3
Results #58 · market #2 · models #5 · results vs market +56
3Notre Dame · 3-0+16.9pts
~~vs Expected~~94~~Lines~~1~~Futures~~T3~~Models~~3~~FPI~~4~~Sagarin~~2~~FEI~~3~~SP+~~3~~DRatings~~5
Results #94 · market #1 · models #3 · results vs market +93
4Texas · 3-0+16.7pts
~~vs Expected~~75~~Lines~~3~~Futures~~2~~Models~~4~~FPI~~2~~Sagarin~~4~~FEI~~7~~SP+~~6~~DRatings~~2
Results #75 · market #4 · models #4 · results vs market +71
5LSU · 2-1+16.0pts
~~vs Expected~~32~~Lines~~6~~Futures~~8~~Models~~9~~FPI~~8~~Sagarin~~9~~FEI~~20~~SP+~~9~~DRatings~~11
Results #32 · market #6 · models #9 · results vs market +26
6Alabama · 3-0+15.2pts
~~vs Expected~~40~~Lines~~7~~Futures~~10~~Models~~8~~FPI~~7~~Sagarin~~8~~FEI~~5~~SP+~~11~~DRatings~~9
Results #40 · market #7 · models #8 · results vs market +33
7Miami · 3-0+15.1pts
~~vs Expected~~51~~Lines~~10~~Futures~~5~~Models~~7~~FPI~~6~~Sagarin~~7~~FEI~~9~~SP+~~7~~DRatings~~6
Results #51 · market #9 · models #7 · results vs market +42
8Oregon · 2-1+12.7pts
~~vs Expected~~111~~Lines~~8~~Futures~~9~~Models~~6~~FPI~~9~~Sagarin~~3~~FEI~~12~~SP+~~5~~DRatings~~8
Results #111 · market #8 · models #6 · results vs market +103
9Penn State · 3-0+12.3pts
~~vs Expected~~44~~Lines~~11~~Futures~~T16~~Models~~17~~FPI~~11~~Sagarin~~17~~FEI~~10~~SP+~~12~~DRatings~~24
Results #44 · market #11 · models #17 · results vs market +33
10Mississippi State · 3-0+11.7pts
~~vs Expected~~3~~Lines~~26~~Futures~~T24~~Models~~28~~FPI~~22~~Sagarin~~26~~FEI~~29~~SP+~~30~~DRatings~~39
Results #3 · market #24 · models #28 · results vs market -21
11USC · 4-0+11.4pts
~~vs Expected~~117~~Lines~~4~~Futures~~11~~Models~~15~~FPI~~18~~Sagarin~~18~~FEI~~8~~SP+~~8~~DRatings~~14
Results #117 · market #5 · models #15 · results vs market +112
12Utah · 3-0+10.6pts
~~vs Expected~~10~~Lines~~33~~Futures~~T19~~Models~~19~~FPI~~15~~Sagarin~~20~~FEI~~6~~SP+~~19~~DRatings~~17
Results #10 · market #32 · models #19 · results vs market -22
13Tennessee · 3-0+10.4pts
~~vs Expected~~98~~Lines~~13~~Futures~~15~~Models~~10~~FPI~~10~~Sagarin~~14~~FEI~~15~~SP+~~10~~DRatings~~18
Results #98 · market #12 · models #10 · results vs market +86
14Florida · 3-0+10.3pts
~~vs Expected~~67~~Lines~~20~~Futures~~13~~Models~~16~~FPI~~16~~Sagarin~~13~~FEI~~26~~SP+~~15~~DRatings~~19
Results #67 · market #18 · models #16 · results vs market +49
15Kansas State · 3-0+10.1pts
~~vs Expected~~16~~Lines~~19~~Futures~~T32~~Models~~26~~FPI~~30~~Sagarin~~35~~FEI~~19~~SP+~~24~~DRatings~~25
Results #16 · market #22 · models #26 · results vs market -6
16Indiana · 3-0+10.0pts
~~vs Expected~~132~~Lines~~16~~Futures~~6~~Models~~2~~FPI~~5~~Sagarin~~5~~FEI~~4~~SP+~~4~~DRatings~~1
Results #132 · market #15 · models #2 · results vs market +117
17Oklahoma · 2-1+10.0pts
~~vs Expected~~118~~Lines~~9~~Futures~~14~~Models~~13~~FPI~~14~~Sagarin~~11~~FEI~~14~~SP+~~16~~DRatings~~12
Results #118 · market #10 · models #13 · results vs market +108
18Texas A&M · 2-1+10.0pts
~~vs Expected~~107~~Lines~~12~~Futures~~T16~~Models~~12~~FPI~~12~~Sagarin~~10~~FEI~~11~~SP+~~14~~DRatings~~16
Results #107 · market #13 · models #12 · results vs market +94
19Pittsburgh · 3-0+9.6pts
~~vs Expected~~12~~Lines~~21~~Futures~~T32~~Models~~32~~FPI~~25~~Sagarin~~30~~FEI~~28~~SP+~~37~~DRatings~~40
Results #12 · market #23 · models #32 · results vs market -11
20Ole Miss · 3-0+9.5pts
~~vs Expected~~103~~Lines~~17~~Futures~~7~~Models~~14~~FPI~~13~~Sagarin~~12~~FEI~~13~~SP+~~20~~DRatings~~10
Results #103 · market #16 · models #14 · results vs market +87
21Virginia Tech · 3-0+9.4pts
~~vs Expected~~42~~Lines~~15~~Futures~~T30~~Models~~29~~FPI~~29~~Sagarin~~36~~FEI~~56~~SP+~~28~~DRatings~~29
Results #42 · market #19 · models #29 · results vs market +23
22Iowa · 3-0+9.2pts
~~vs Expected~~33~~Lines~~32~~Futures~~T24~~Models~~21~~FPI~~28~~Sagarin~~19~~FEI~~17~~SP+~~18~~DRatings~~20
Results #33 · market #31 · models #21 · results vs market +2
23Michigan · 3-0+8.9pts
~~vs Expected~~108~~Lines~~14~~Futures~~18~~Models~~18~~FPI~~20~~Sagarin~~15~~FEI~~16~~SP+~~21~~DRatings~~13
Results #108 · market #14 · models #18 · results vs market +94
24UCLA · 3-0+8.3pts
~~vs Expected~~29~~Lines~~24~~Futures~~T32~~Models~~36~~FPI~~40~~Sagarin~~34~~FEI~~42~~SP+~~40~~DRatings~~34
Results #29 · market #25 · models #36 · results vs market +4
25BYU · 3-0+8.3pts
~~vs Expected~~74~~Lines~~30~~Futures~~T19~~Models~~20~~FPI~~19~~Sagarin~~22~~FEI~~21~~SP+~~17~~DRatings~~15
Results #74 · market #28 · models #20 · results vs market +46
26SMU · 2-1+8.0pts
~~vs Expected~~31~~Lines~~39~~Futures~~27~~Models~~23~~FPI~~26~~Sagarin~~23~~FEI~~32~~SP+~~29~~DRatings~~22
Results #31 · market #36 · models #23 · results vs market -5
27Louisville · 2-1+7.7pts
~~vs Expected~~49~~Lines~~37~~Futures~~T21~~Models~~22~~FPI~~23~~Sagarin~~21~~FEI~~25~~SP+~~25~~DRatings~~23
Results #49 · market #33 · models #22 · results vs market +16
28Houston · 2-1+7.2pts
~~vs Expected~~48~~Lines~~36~~Futures~~T28~~Models~~30~~FPI~~31~~Sagarin~~32~~FEI~~51~~SP+~~34~~DRatings~~31
Results #48 · market #35 · models #30 · results vs market +13
29Nebraska · 3-0+7.2pts
~~vs Expected~~20~~Lines~~50~~Futures~~41~~Models~~24~~FPI~~21~~Sagarin~~28~~FEI~~33~~SP+~~23~~DRatings~~28
Results #20 · market #46 · models #24 · results vs market -26
30Auburn · 2-1+7.0pts
~~vs Expected~~92~~Lines~~22~~Futures~~T21~~Models~~27~~FPI~~24~~Sagarin~~24~~FEI~~27~~SP+~~31~~DRatings~~35
Results #92 · market #20 · models #27 · results vs market +72
31South Carolina · 2-1+7.0pts
~~vs Expected~~64~~Lines~~31~~Futures~~T24~~Models~~33~~FPI~~27~~Sagarin~~25~~FEI~~24~~SP+~~26~~DRatings~~62
Results #64 · market #30 · models #33 · results vs market +34
32Virginia · 2-1+6.3pts
~~vs Expected~~82~~Lines~~27~~Futures~~T30~~Models~~34~~FPI~~34~~Sagarin~~37~~FEI~~35~~SP+~~36~~DRatings~~30
Results #82 · market #26 · models #34 · results vs market +56
33Maryland · 2-1+5.9pts
~~vs Expected~~13~~Lines~~41~~Futures~~T50~~Models~~50~~FPI~~48~~Sagarin~~51~~FEI~~50~~SP+~~43~~DRatings~~56
Results #13 · market #43 · models #50 · results vs market -30
34TCU · 2-1+5.7pts
~~vs Expected~~72~~Lines~~29~~Futures~~T44~~Models~~39~~FPI~~41~~Sagarin~~47~~FEI~~39~~SP+~~32~~DRatings~~37
Results #72 · market #34 · models #39 · results vs market +38
35Kentucky · 2-1+5.5pts
~~vs Expected~~37~~Lines~~52~~Futures~~T37~~Models~~35~~FPI~~36~~Sagarin~~27~~FEI~~45~~SP+~~49~~DRatings~~36
Results #37 · market #49 · models #35 · results vs market -12
36Texas Tech · 3-0+5.4pts
~~vs Expected~~138~~Lines~~18~~Futures~~12~~Models~~11~~FPI~~17~~Sagarin~~16~~FEI~~18~~SP+~~13~~DRatings~~7
Results #138 · market #17 · models #11 · results vs market +121
37Missouri · 3-0+5.2pts
~~vs Expected~~124~~Lines~~25~~Futures~~T21~~Models~~25~~FPI~~32~~Sagarin~~29~~FEI~~23~~SP+~~22~~DRatings~~26
Results #124 · market #21 · models #25 · results vs market +103
38Duke · 3-0+5.1pts
~~vs Expected~~9~~Lines~~72~~Futures~~T48~~Models~~42~~FPI~~35~~Sagarin~~50~~FEI~~41~~SP+~~46~~DRatings~~41
Results #9 · market #67 · models #42 · results vs market -58
39New Mexico · 2-1+4.7pts
~~vs Expected~~7~~Lines~~65~~Futures~~T44~~Models~~60~~FPI~~57~~Sagarin~~64~~FEI~~79~~SP+~~58~~DRatings~~55
Results #7 · market #56 · models #60 · results vs market -49
40Arizona State · 2-1+4.5pts
~~vs Expected~~52~~Lines~~49~~Futures~~T35~~Models~~49~~FPI~~58~~Sagarin~~41~~FEI~~47~~SP+~~55~~DRatings~~38
Results #52 · market #42 · models #49 · results vs market +10
41Boise State · 2-1+4.3pts
~~vs Expected~~66~~Lines~~43~~Futures~~T37~~Models~~48~~FPI~~37~~Sagarin~~57~~FEI~~37~~SP+~~47~~DRatings~~50
Results #66 · market #40 · models #48 · results vs market +26
42Cincinnati · 3-0+4.2pts
~~vs Expected~~62~~Lines~~34~~Futures~~T66~~Models~~53~~FPI~~46~~Sagarin~~59~~FEI~~40~~SP+~~42~~DRatings~~59
Results #62 · market #39 · models #53 · results vs market +23
43Baylor · 2-1+4.2pts
~~vs Expected~~55~~Lines~~46~~Futures~~T50~~Models~~44~~FPI~~38~~Sagarin~~49~~FEI~~46~~SP+~~48~~DRatings~~49
Results #55 · market #48 · models #44 · results vs market +7
44James Madison · 3-0+3.9pts
~~vs Expected~~18~~Lines~~59~~Futures~~T50~~Models~~56~~FPI~~59~~Sagarin~~67~~FEI~~44~~SP+~~50~~DRatings~~51
Results #18 · market #57 · models #56 · results vs market -39
45North Dakota State · 4-0+3.9pts
~~vs Expected~~86~~Lines~~23~~Futures~~T42~~Models~~66~~FPI~~65~~Sagarin~~70~~FEI~~113~~SP+~~35~~DRatings~~97
Results #86 · market #27 · models #66 · results vs market +59
46Wisconsin · 2-1+3.5pts
~~vs Expected~~90~~Lines~~35~~Futures~~T50~~Models~~46~~FPI~~53~~Sagarin~~33~~FEI~~43~~SP+~~56~~DRatings~~43
Results #90 · market #38 · models #46 · results vs market +52
47NC State · 1-2+3.2pts
~~vs Expected~~60~~Lines~~47~~Futures~~T66~~Models~~54~~FPI~~61~~Sagarin~~45~~FEI~~54~~SP+~~57~~DRatings~~46
Results #60 · market #51 · models #54 · results vs market +9
48Oklahoma State · 2-1+3.0pts
~~vs Expected~~59~~Lines~~71~~Futures~~T37~~Models~~45~~FPI~~50~~Sagarin~~46~~FEI~~71~~SP+~~41~~DRatings~~48
Results #59 · market #58 · models #45 · results vs market +1
49Syracuse · 1-2+2.8pts
~~vs Expected~~19~~Lines~~54~~Futures~~T74~~Models~~67~~FPI~~64~~Sagarin~~61~~FEI~~85~~SP+~~69~~DRatings~~77
Results #19 · market #66 · models #67 · results vs market -47
50Washington · 3-0+2.6pts
~~vs Expected~~135~~Lines~~28~~Futures~~T28~~Models~~31~~FPI~~47~~Sagarin~~31~~FEI~~22~~SP+~~27~~DRatings~~21
Results #135 · market #29 · models #31 · results vs market +106
51Vanderbilt · 3-0+2.4pts
~~vs Expected~~121~~Lines~~40~~Futures~~T35~~Models~~38~~FPI~~43~~Sagarin~~42~~FEI~~34~~SP+~~39~~DRatings~~27
Results #121 · market #37 · models #38 · results vs market +84
52Michigan State · 2-1+2.4pts
~~vs Expected~~21~~Lines~~73~~Futures~~T66~~Models~~61~~FPI~~56~~Sagarin~~55~~FEI~~55~~SP+~~65~~DRatings~~61
Results #21 · market #73 · models #61 · results vs market -52
53North Carolina · 2-1+2.3pts
~~vs Expected~~83~~Lines~~48~~Futures~~T48~~Models~~59~~FPI~~51~~Sagarin~~62~~FEI~~74~~SP+~~59~~DRatings~~64
Results #83 · market #47 · models #59 · results vs market +36
54UCF · 2-1+2.3pts
~~vs Expected~~88~~Lines~~44~~Futures~~T50~~Models~~57~~FPI~~52~~Sagarin~~53~~FEI~~60~~SP+~~54~~DRatings~~65
Results #88 · market #45 · models #57 · results vs market +43
55Northwestern · 2-0+2.2pts
~~vs Expected~~15~~Lines~~99~~Futures~~T50~~Models~~41~~FPI~~33~~Sagarin~~39~~FEI~~59~~SP+~~44~~DRatings~~42
Results #15 · market #90 · models #41 · results vs market -75
56Minnesota · 2-1+2.2pts
~~vs Expected~~96~~Lines~~42~~Futures~~T50~~Models~~51~~FPI~~62~~Sagarin~~40~~FEI~~63~~SP+~~51~~DRatings~~52
Results #96 · market #44 · models #51 · results vs market +52
57West Virginia · 3-0+1.5pts
~~vs Expected~~84~~Lines~~68~~Futures~~T42~~Models~~52~~FPI~~49~~Sagarin~~52~~FEI~~73~~SP+~~61~~DRatings~~47
Results #84 · market #61 · models #52 · results vs market +23
58Army · 1-1+1.5pts
~~vs Expected~~30~~Lines~~64~~Futures~~T74~~Models~~71~~FPI~~80~~Sagarin~~73~~FEI~~67~~SP+~~68~~DRatings~~70
Results #30 · market #71 · models #71 · results vs market -41
59Arizona · 2-1+1.5pts
~~vs Expected~~112~~Lines~~57~~Futures~~40~~Models~~40~~FPI~~45~~Sagarin~~48~~FEI~~38~~SP+~~38~~DRatings~~32
Results #112 · market #52 · models #40 · results vs market +60
60Kansas · 1-2+1.1pts
~~vs Expected~~76~~Lines~~66~~Futures~~T44~~Models~~65~~FPI~~67~~Sagarin~~60~~FEI~~48~~SP+~~64~~DRatings~~71
Results #76 · market #60 · models #65 · results vs market +16
61Iowa State · 2-1+1.1pts
~~vs Expected~~24~~Lines~~90~~Futures~~T50~~Models~~62~~FPI~~55~~Sagarin~~58~~FEI~~31~~SP+~~52~~DRatings~~72
Results #24 · market #83 · models #62 · results vs market -59
62Florida State · 1-2+1.0pts
~~vs Expected~~115~~Lines~~45~~Futures~~T66~~Models~~47~~FPI~~39~~Sagarin~~43~~FEI~~36~~SP+~~53~~DRatings~~53
Results #115 · market #50 · models #47 · results vs market +65
63Clemson · 2-1+0.9pts
~~vs Expected~~131~~Lines~~38~~Futures~~T50~~Models~~43~~FPI~~42~~Sagarin~~44~~FEI~~53~~SP+~~45~~DRatings~~45
Results #131 · market #41 · models #43 · results vs market +90
64Fresno State · 2-1+0.7pts
~~vs Expected~~70~~Lines~~53~~Futures~~T74~~Models~~68~~FPI~~69~~Sagarin~~80~~FEI~~75~~SP+~~71~~DRatings~~68
Results #70 · market #64 · models #68 · results vs market +6
65Air Force · 1-1+0.6pts
~~vs Expected~~57~~Lines~~51~~Futures~~T66~~Models~~87~~FPI~~94~~Sagarin~~99~~FEI~~87~~SP+~~81~~DRatings~~82
Results #57 · market #53 · models #87 · results vs market +4
66Wake Forest · 2-1+0.6pts
~~vs Expected~~63~~Lines~~80~~Futures~~T66~~Models~~55~~FPI~~54~~Sagarin~~56~~FEI~~49~~SP+~~63~~DRatings~~44
Results #63 · market #75 · models #55 · results vs market -12
67Memphis · 3-1+0.4pts
~~vs Expected~~80~~Lines~~67~~Futures~~T44~~Models~~72~~FPI~~71~~Sagarin~~76~~FEI~~66~~SP+~~62~~DRatings~~76
Results #80 · market #62 · models #72 · results vs market +18
68South Florida · 3-0+0.1pts
~~vs Expected~~105~~Lines~~55~~Futures~~T50~~Models~~63~~FPI~~63~~Sagarin~~71~~FEI~~61~~SP+~~66~~DRatings~~60
Results #105 · market #54 · models #63 · results vs market +51
69Illinois · 2-1-0.1pts
~~vs Expected~~127~~Lines~~69~~Futures~~T50~~Models~~37~~FPI~~44~~Sagarin~~38~~FEI~~30~~SP+~~33~~DRatings~~33
Results #127 · market #68 · models #37 · results vs market +59
70Western Michigan · 2-1-0.8pts
~~vs Expected~~65~~Lines~~74~~Futures~~T74~~Models~~75~~FPI~~66~~Sagarin~~75~~FEI~~70~~SP+~~80~~DRatings~~75
Results #65 · market #76 · models #75 · results vs market -11
71Tulsa · 3-0-1.0pts
~~vs Expected~~78~~Lines~~58~~Futures~~T96~~Models~~78~~FPI~~72~~Sagarin~~79~~FEI~~98~~SP+~~73~~DRatings~~100
Results #78 · market #72 · models #78 · results vs market +6
72Georgia Tech · 1-2-1.0pts
~~vs Expected~~120~~Lines~~61~~Futures~~T66~~Models~~58~~FPI~~60~~Sagarin~~54~~FEI~~58~~SP+~~60~~DRatings~~54
Results #120 · market #65 · models #58 · results vs market +55
73Louisiana · 2-1-1.1pts
~~vs Expected~~11~~Lines~~89~~Futures~~T74~~Models~~93~~FPI~~89~~Sagarin~~95~~FEI~~97~~SP+~~99~~DRatings~~84
Results #11 · market #88 · models #93 · results vs market -77
74Toledo · 2-1-1.4pts
~~vs Expected~~39~~Lines~~79~~Futures~~T74~~Models~~88~~FPI~~77~~Sagarin~~84~~FEI~~65~~SP+~~87~~DRatings~~103
Results #39 · market #81 · models #88 · results vs market -42
75California · 2-1-1.5pts
~~vs Expected~~130~~Lines~~56~~Futures~~T50~~Models~~64~~FPI~~73~~Sagarin~~63~~FEI~~81~~SP+~~67~~DRatings~~57
Results #130 · market #55 · models #64 · results vs market +75
76Oregon State · 1-2-1.7pts
~~vs Expected~~4~~Lines~~126~~Futures~~T74~~Models~~79~~FPI~~78~~Sagarin~~77~~FEI~~82~~SP+~~79~~DRatings~~95
Results #4 · market #119 · models #79 · results vs market -115
77App State · 3-0-1.8pts
~~vs Expected~~8~~Lines~~94~~Futures~~T96~~Models~~94~~FPI~~87~~Sagarin~~98~~FEI~~92~~SP+~~94~~DRatings~~86
Results #8 · market #99 · models #94 · results vs market -91
78Navy · 1-1-2.3pts
~~vs Expected~~114~~Lines~~60~~Futures~~T50~~Models~~81~~FPI~~88~~Sagarin~~87~~FEI~~80~~SP+~~76~~DRatings~~74
Results #114 · market #59 · models #81 · results vs market +55
79North Texas · 1-2-2.5pts
~~vs Expected~~5~~Lines~~117~~Models~~92~~FPI~~79~~Sagarin~~85~~FEI~~52~~SP+~~105~~DRatings~~92
Results #5 · market #117 · models #92 · results vs market -112
80Rutgers · 0-3-2.6pts
~~vs Expected~~101~~Lines~~63~~Futures~~T74~~Models~~84~~FPI~~90~~Sagarin~~72~~FEI~~93~~SP+~~77~~DRatings~~113
Results #101 · market #70 · models #84 · results vs market +31
81Purdue · 1-2-3.0pts
~~vs Expected~~93~~Lines~~82~~Futures~~T74~~Models~~77~~FPI~~75~~Sagarin~~66~~FEI~~69~~SP+~~75~~DRatings~~102
Results #93 · market #82 · models #77 · results vs market +11
82Liberty · 2-1-3.0pts
~~vs Expected~~87~~Lines~~77~~Futures~~T74~~Models~~86~~FPI~~83~~Sagarin~~91~~FEI~~90~~SP+~~82~~DRatings~~96
Results #87 · market #78 · models #86 · results vs market +9
83Delaware · 2-1-3.0pts
~~vs Expected~~27~~Lines~~98~~Futures~~T74~~Models~~99~~FPI~~82~~Sagarin~~94~~FEI~~110~~SP+~~103~~DRatings~~110
Results #27 · market #96 · models #99 · results vs market -69
84UConn · 2-1-3.1pts
~~vs Expected~~14~~Lines~~106~~Futures~~T96~~Models~~95~~FPI~~92~~Sagarin~~88~~FEI~~106~~SP+~~86~~DRatings~~101
Results #14 · market #107 · models #95 · results vs market -93
85Georgia State · 2-1-3.1pts
~~vs Expected~~2~~Lines~~115~~Futures~~T108~~Models~~115~~FPI~~107~~Sagarin~~108~~FEI~~111~~SP+~~128~~DRatings~~117
Results #2 · market #115 · models #115 · results vs market -113
86Colorado · 2-1-3.1pts
~~vs Expected~~119~~Lines~~81~~Futures~~T50~~Models~~69~~FPI~~70~~Sagarin~~68~~FEI~~72~~SP+~~72~~DRatings~~78
Results #119 · market #74 · models #69 · results vs market +45
87Washington State · 1-2-3.2pts
~~vs Expected~~91~~Lines~~76~~Futures~~T74~~Models~~91~~FPI~~97~~Sagarin~~83~~FEI~~62~~SP+~~89~~DRatings~~94
Results #91 · market #77 · models #91 · results vs market +14
88Tulane · 1-2-3.3pts
~~vs Expected~~95~~Lines~~97~~Futures~~T50~~Models~~74~~FPI~~68~~Sagarin~~74~~FEI~~64~~SP+~~88~~DRatings~~63
Results #95 · market #87 · models #74 · results vs market +8
89San Diego State · 1-2-3.4pts
~~vs Expected~~134~~Lines~~62~~Futures~~T50~~Models~~76~~FPI~~81~~Sagarin~~78~~FEI~~78~~SP+~~78~~DRatings~~73
Results #134 · market #63 · models #76 · results vs market +71
90Coastal Carolina · 1-2-3.5pts
~~vs Expected~~43~~Lines~~84~~Models~~110~~FPI~~103~~Sagarin~~103~~FEI~~105~~SP+~~109~~DRatings~~116
Results #43 · market #85 · models #110 · results vs market -42
91Sam Houston · 1-2-3.7pts
~~vs Expected~~1~~Lines~~116~~Models~~122~~FPI~~110~~Sagarin~~113~~FEI~~129~~SP+~~121~~DRatings~~135
Results #1 · market #116 · models #122 · results vs market -115
92UTSA · 2-1-3.7pts
~~vs Expected~~89~~Lines~~101~~Futures~~T74~~Models~~70~~FPI~~76~~Sagarin~~69~~FEI~~68~~SP+~~74~~DRatings~~66
Results #89 · market #98 · models #70 · results vs market -9
93Colorado State · 2-1-3.7pts
~~vs Expected~~17~~Lines~~112~~Futures~~T74~~Models~~98~~FPI~~96~~Sagarin~~89~~FEI~~96~~SP+~~96~~DRatings~~105
Results #17 · market #108 · models #98 · results vs market -91
94Temple · 1-2-3.7pts
~~vs Expected~~53~~Lines~~95~~Models~~90~~FPI~~85~~Sagarin~~93~~FEI~~107~~SP+~~95~~DRatings~~90
Results #53 · market #100 · models #90 · results vs market -47
95Florida International · 1-2-3.9pts
~~vs Expected~~6~~Lines~~104~~Models~~113~~FPI~~114~~Sagarin~~116~~FEI~~118~~SP+~~112~~DRatings~~111
Results #6 · market #109 · models #113 · results vs market -103
96Boston College · 2-1-4.0pts
~~vs Expected~~125~~Lines~~70~~Futures~~T66~~Models~~89~~FPI~~91~~Sagarin~~90~~FEI~~86~~SP+~~85~~DRatings~~88
Results #125 · market #69 · models #89 · results vs market +56
97San José State · 2-2-4.6pts
~~vs Expected~~35~~Lines~~87~~Futures~~T103~~Models~~119~~FPI~~120~~Sagarin~~118~~FEI~~108~~SP+~~115~~DRatings~~123
Results #35 · market #95 · models #119 · results vs market -60
98East Carolina · 1-2-4.6pts
~~vs Expected~~100~~Lines~~86~~Futures~~T103~~Models~~80~~FPI~~84~~Sagarin~~92~~FEI~~76~~SP+~~90~~DRatings~~67
Results #100 · market #93 · models #80 · results vs market +7
99Miami (OH) · 1-2-4.7pts
~~vs Expected~~104~~Lines~~78~~Futures~~T74~~Models~~100~~FPI~~104~~Sagarin~~96~~FEI~~101~~SP+~~92~~DRatings~~99
Results #104 · market #79 · models #100 · results vs market +25
100Troy · 2-1-4.7pts
~~vs Expected~~56~~Lines~~107~~Futures~~T74~~Models~~96~~FPI~~95~~Sagarin~~97~~FEI~~95~~SP+~~93~~DRatings~~89
Results #56 · market #104 · models #96 · results vs market -48
101Texas State · 1-2-4.7pts
~~vs Expected~~73~~Lines~~109~~Futures~~T74~~Models~~83~~FPI~~86~~Sagarin~~81~~FEI~~91~~SP+~~91~~DRatings~~81
Results #73 · market #106 · models #83 · results vs market -33
102Arkansas · 1-2-5.2pts
~~vs Expected~~123~~Lines~~93~~Futures~~T74~~Models~~73~~FPI~~74~~Sagarin~~65~~FEI~~57~~SP+~~70~~DRatings~~79
Results #123 · market #94 · models #73 · results vs market +29
103Massachusetts · 3-0-5.3pts
~~vs Expected~~46~~Lines~~75~~Futures~~T96~~Models~~132~~FPI~~116~~Sagarin~~131~~FEI~~136~~SP+~~131~~DRatings~~136
Results #46 · market #80 · models #132 · results vs market -34
104Louisiana Tech · 1-2-5.3pts
~~vs Expected~~25~~Lines~~118~~Models~~102~~FPI~~98~~Sagarin~~86~~FEI~~94~~SP+~~104~~DRatings~~107
Results #25 · market #118 · models #102 · results vs market -93
105Arkansas State · 1-2-5.6pts
~~vs Expected~~97~~Lines~~88~~Models~~108~~FPI~~111~~Sagarin~~110~~FEI~~117~~SP+~~107~~DRatings~~91
Results #97 · market #86 · models #108 · results vs market +11
106South Alabama · 2-1-5.6pts
~~vs Expected~~28~~Lines~~121~~Futures~~T96~~Models~~105~~FPI~~99~~Sagarin~~105~~FEI~~99~~SP+~~111~~DRatings~~87
Results #28 · market #121 · models #105 · results vs market -93
107UNLV · 1-2-5.7pts
~~vs Expected~~122~~Lines~~85~~Futures~~T96~~Models~~82~~FPI~~93~~Sagarin~~100~~FEI~~84~~SP+~~84~~DRatings~~58
Results #122 · market #89 · models #82 · results vs market +33
108Stanford · 1-2-5.8pts
~~vs Expected~~106~~Lines~~100~~Futures~~T74~~Models~~85~~FPI~~102~~Sagarin~~82~~FEI~~88~~SP+~~101~~DRatings~~69
Results #106 · market #97 · models #85 · results vs market +9
109Florida Atlantic · 2-1-6.0pts
~~vs Expected~~85~~Lines~~96~~Futures~~T103~~Models~~103~~FPI~~113~~Sagarin~~102~~FEI~~112~~SP+~~100~~DRatings~~83
Results #85 · market #101 · models #103 · results vs market -16
110Georgia Southern · 1-2-6.1pts
~~vs Expected~~22~~Lines~~120~~Models~~107~~FPI~~101~~Sagarin~~109~~FEI~~104~~SP+~~102~~DRatings~~108
Results #22 · market #123 · models #107 · results vs market -101
111Kennesaw State · 1-2-6.2pts
~~vs Expected~~54~~Lines~~108~~Futures~~T74~~Models~~114~~FPI~~115~~Sagarin~~111~~FEI~~122~~SP+~~113~~DRatings~~118
Results #54 · market #105 · models #114 · results vs market -51
112Hawai'i · 1-2-6.3pts
~~vs Expected~~109~~Lines~~92~~Futures~~T74~~Models~~101~~FPI~~106~~Sagarin~~107~~FEI~~102~~SP+~~98~~DRatings~~85
Results #109 · market #92 · models #101 · results vs market +17
113Old Dominion · 1-2-6.3pts
~~vs Expected~~129~~Lines~~83~~Models~~97~~FPI~~100~~Sagarin~~101~~FEI~~83~~SP+~~97~~DRatings~~80
Results #129 · market #84 · models #97 · results vs market +45
114New Mexico State · 1-2-6.5pts
~~vs Expected~~23~~Lines~~111~~Models~~121~~FPI~~123~~Sagarin~~120~~FEI~~128~~SP+~~119~~DRatings~~129
Results #23 · market #112 · models #121 · results vs market -89
115Rice · 1-2-6.6pts
~~vs Expected~~47~~Lines~~105~~Models~~116~~FPI~~122~~Sagarin~~117~~FEI~~130~~SP+~~116~~DRatings~~115
Results #47 · market #110 · models #116 · results vs market -63
116Jacksonville State · 2-2-6.8pts
~~vs Expected~~79~~Lines~~110~~Models~~104~~FPI~~109~~Sagarin~~104~~FEI~~116~~SP+~~83~~DRatings~~104
Results #79 · market #111 · models #104 · results vs market -32
117UTEP · 1-2-7.4pts
~~vs Expected~~41~~Lines~~103~~Models~~131~~FPI~~131~~Sagarin~~127~~FEI~~132~~SP+~~130~~DRatings~~133
Results #41 · market #103 · models #131 · results vs market -62
118UAB · 1-2-7.4pts
~~vs Expected~~34~~Lines~~119~~Futures~~T108~~Models~~120~~FPI~~125~~Sagarin~~122~~FEI~~119~~SP+~~123~~DRatings~~122
Results #34 · market #120 · models #120 · results vs market -86
119Missouri State · 1-2-8.3pts
~~vs Expected~~38~~Lines~~122~~Futures~~T103~~Models~~124~~FPI~~121~~Sagarin~~125~~FEI~~115~~SP+~~124~~DRatings~~131
Results #38 · market #124 · models #124 · results vs market -86
120Akron · 1-2-8.8pts
~~vs Expected~~61~~Lines~~114~~Models~~130~~FPI~~130~~Sagarin~~123~~FEI~~135~~SP+~~132~~DRatings~~128
Results #61 · market #114 · models #130 · results vs market -53
121Marshall · 2-1-9.6pts
~~vs Expected~~133~~Lines~~102~~Futures~~T96~~Models~~109~~FPI~~117~~Sagarin~~112~~FEI~~100~~SP+~~110~~DRatings~~93
Results #133 · market #102 · models #109 · results vs market +31
122Ohio · 1-2-9.8pts
~~vs Expected~~102~~Lines~~127~~Futures~~T74~~Models~~112~~FPI~~112~~Sagarin~~114~~FEI~~89~~SP+~~114~~DRatings~~112
Results #102 · market #122 · models #112 · results vs market -20
123Central Michigan · 2-1-9.9pts
~~vs Expected~~110~~Lines~~113~~Futures~~T103~~Models~~117~~FPI~~127~~Sagarin~~121~~FEI~~127~~SP+~~117~~DRatings~~106
Results #110 · market #113 · models #117 · results vs market -3
124Utah State · 0-3-10.0pts
~~vs Expected~~69~~Lines~~132~~Models~~106~~FPI~~108~~Sagarin~~106~~FEI~~77~~SP+~~106~~DRatings~~98
Results #69 · market #132 · models #106 · results vs market -63
125Middle Tennessee · 2-1-11.0pts
~~vs Expected~~26~~Lines~~136~~Futures~~T108~~Models~~126~~FPI~~119~~Sagarin~~126~~FEI~~123~~SP+~~125~~DRatings~~132
Results #26 · market #134 · models #126 · results vs market -108
126Southern Miss · 1-2-11.0pts
~~vs Expected~~71~~Lines~~131~~Models~~123~~FPI~~118~~Sagarin~~129~~FEI~~121~~SP+~~127~~DRatings~~124
Results #71 · market #131 · models #123 · results vs market -60
127Nevada · 1-2-11.2pts
~~vs Expected~~36~~Lines~~135~~Models~~111~~FPI~~105~~Sagarin~~115~~FEI~~103~~SP+~~108~~DRatings~~114
Results #36 · market #136 · models #111 · results vs market -100
128Wyoming · 1-2-11.6pts
~~vs Expected~~137~~Lines~~91~~Models~~127~~FPI~~133~~Sagarin~~128~~FEI~~114~~SP+~~118~~DRatings~~121
Results #137 · market #91 · models #127 · results vs market +46
129Western Kentucky · 0-3-12.0pts
~~vs Expected~~113~~Lines~~128~~Models~~118~~FPI~~124~~Sagarin~~119~~FEI~~109~~SP+~~122~~DRatings~~109
Results #113 · market #128 · models #118 · results vs market -15
130Kent State · 1-2-12.7pts
~~vs Expected~~77~~Lines~~125~~Models~~136~~FPI~~137~~Sagarin~~134~~FEI~~137~~SP+~~137~~DRatings~~126
Results #77 · market #127 · models #136 · results vs market -50
131Eastern Michigan · 1-3-13.2pts
~~vs Expected~~126~~Lines~~123~~Models~~129~~FPI~~132~~Sagarin~~130~~FEI~~126~~SP+~~126~~DRatings~~119
Results #126 · market #125 · models #129 · results vs market +1
132Buffalo · 1-2-13.3pts
~~vs Expected~~128~~Lines~~124~~Models~~128~~FPI~~128~~Sagarin~~132~~FEI~~124~~SP+~~120~~DRatings~~127
Results #128 · market #126 · models #128 · results vs market +2
133Charlotte · 0-3-14.2pts
~~vs Expected~~45~~Lines~~134~~Models~~134~~FPI~~126~~Sagarin~~133~~FEI~~133~~SP+~~135~~DRatings~~137
Results #45 · market #135 · models #134 · results vs market -90
134Ball State · 1-2-14.3pts
~~vs Expected~~99~~Lines~~129~~Models~~135~~FPI~~134~~Sagarin~~137~~FEI~~131~~SP+~~136~~DRatings~~130
Results #99 · market #129 · models #135 · results vs market -30
135Sacramento State · 1-3-15.2pts
~~vs Expected~~81~~Lines~~130~~Models~~138~~FPI~~138~~Sagarin~~138~~FEI~~138~~SP+~~133~~DRatings~~138
Results #81 · market #130 · models #138 · results vs market -49
136Northern Illinois · 0-3-16.0pts
~~vs Expected~~50~~Lines~~138~~Models~~125~~FPI~~129~~Sagarin~~124~~FEI~~120~~SP+~~129~~DRatings~~125
Results #50 · market #138 · models #125 · results vs market -88
137UL Monroe · 0-3-17.5pts
~~vs Expected~~116~~Lines~~133~~Models~~137~~FPI~~135~~Sagarin~~135~~FEI~~134~~SP+~~138~~DRatings~~134
Results #116 · market #133 · models #137 · results vs market -17
138Bowling Green · 0-3-21.5pts
~~vs Expected~~136~~Lines~~137~~Models~~133~~FPI~~136~~Sagarin~~136~~FEI~~125~~SP+~~134~~DRatings~~120
Results #136 · market #137 · models #133 · results vs market -1

column ranks them higher than the composite lower than the composite widest results-versus-market gap— not ranked by that column

How the rating is built. Every team gets a rating in points better than an average FBS team on a neutral field, from each of three pillars, and the composite is their weighted sum. Results is what actually happened, measured one way: how far above or below the closing line’s expectation each game landed, averaged per game. The line already prices the opponent and the site, so a narrow win over a good team counts for more than a rout of a weak one, and playing an extra game earns nothing by itself. Each game is luck-adjusted first, half the scoreboard and half what the yardage says the margin should have been, then capped at 28 points. Margin and wins were removed from this pillar in September because in the first weeks of a season neither can tell a good opponent from a bad one, so between them they mostly counted games played. Read this column as what-you-did-against-expectation, not as who-you-beat. A team that won every game as a heavy favourite can rank low in it, and a team that lost outright as a four-touchdown underdog can rank high. The composite is the place the three pillars argue that out. Betting markets is what money says: a rating fit to the last three weeks of point spreads, blended with the futures boards. Analytics models is what the models say: every live model, placed on the same points scale by its position against the market. Full-season weights are results 40%, markets 35%, models 25%; results phase in over the first 6 weeks because a September record predicts almost nothing, and a pillar with nothing to say this week hands its share to the others. Results carry 20% this week and reach 40% after week 6. There are no media rankings and no human polls in the score. Voters anchor on where a team started the season, reward reputation, and see a fraction of the games they rank; the three pillars here are each accountable to something real, a score, a price, or a measurement. Results vs market is the results rank minus the market rank: a large positive number is a team whose record the market does not yet believe, a large negative one is a favourite that keeps losing. A source is excluded from scoring, and shown struck through, when its data is more than 30 days old or when it describes an earlier week than the one this board is built on.

Back to the current college football consensus, or see the NFL consensus rankings.