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College football consensus, all 138 bowl teams

Results, betting markets and analytics models, scored into one rating in points. No polls: a score, a price and a measurement each answer to something real, while poll voters lean on reputation and preseason expectation. Every team that can play in a bowl is rated, not just the ones already being talked about.

UpdatedThis board now rates every FBS team, where it used to stop at 50, the NFL consensus is current for the season too, and the MLB consensus has joined them.

College football · FBS · 2026 season

Consensus, all 138 FBS teams

5 of 5 sources scoring, across 3 pillars
week 6 · built 2026-10-04

			Results · 33.3%			Betting markets · 38.9%		Analytics models · 27.8%
#	Team	Rating	vs Expected33.3%Oct 4	W-LshownOct 4	ATSshownOct 4	Lines29.2%Oct 4	Futures9.7%Oct 4	Models27.8%undated	FPI6.9%Oct 4	Sagarin6.9%Oct 3	SP+6.9%Oct 4	DRatings6.9%Oct 4	Results vs market
1	Georgia5-0	+17.1pts	56	5-0	4-1	3	2	2	2	4	1	2	+53
2	Alabama5-0	+16.7pts	13	5-0	4-1	7	7	7	6	7	6	7	+6
3	Ohio State4-1	+16.2pts	68	4-1	4-1	2	1	1	1	1	2	3	+67
4	Miami5-0	+15.7pts	42	5-0	4-1	6	5	5	5	6	5	5	+36
5	Texas4-0	+15.0pts	74	4-0	1-3	1	4	4	4	5	8	4	+72
6	Notre Dame5-0	+14.0pts	91	5-0	3-2	4	3	3	3	2	4	6	+87
7	LSU4-1	+13.6pts	12	4-1	2-3	21	8	9	8	9	7	9	-4
8	Utah4-0	+12.4pts	15	4-0	4-0	22	13	11	12	19	9	11	-3
9	Northwestern3-1	+12.4pts	4	3-1	4-0	39	T32	21	17	26	33	18	-35
10	UCLA4-0	+11.7pts	5	4-0	4-0	38	T20	26	35	23	21	29	-32
11	Indiana5-0	+10.1pts	129	5-0	1-4	5	6	6	7	8	3	1	+124
12	Nebraska5-0	+10.0pts	23	5-0	4-1	25	27	17	13	24	12	37	-2
13	Mississippi State4-1	+9.5pts	18	4-1	4-1	26	19	29	27	28	27	33	-6
14	Oregon3-1	+9.1pts	97	3-1	2-2	9	9	8	9	3	10	8	+89
15	Wake Forest4-1	+8.9pts	9	4-1	3-2	46	T30	38	31	37	45	28	-34
16	New Mexico4-1	+8.6pts	7	4-1	5-0	47	T56	40	39	55	25	41	-43
17	Oregon State3-2	+8.5pts	3	3-2	5-0	70	T58	59	60	66	58	53	-64
18	Baylor4-1	+8.5pts	17	4-1	4-1	35	T32	34	29	34	31	39	-18
19	Tennessee4-1	+8.4pts	82	4-1	3-2	11	14	12	10	11	13	19	+71
20	Duke4-0	+8.1pts	8	4-0	4-0	54	T41	45	37	52	43	43	-43
21	Kansas State3-1	+7.9pts	34	3-1	2-2	17	T41	36	41	44	22	30	+12
22	Florida4-1	+7.9pts	85	4-1	3-2	10	11	15	15	12	20	22	+76
23	Pittsburgh5-0	+7.7pts	27	5-0	4-1	41	T23	25	23	31	18	35	-14
24	James Madison5-0	+7.5pts	11	5-0	5-0	53	T44	42	49	61	29	32	-42
25	Wisconsin4-1	+7.1pts	29	4-1	3-2	40	T28	35	33	22	44	36	-9
26	BYU4-0	+6.9pts	76	4-0	4-0	19	15	16	16	27	14	16	+59
27	North Texas3-2	+6.9pts	6	3-2	3-2	58	—	76	67	76	86	62	-52
28	Iowa4-1	+6.8pts	57	4-1	3-2	33	18	20	26	18	34	13	+27
29	Virginia Tech4-1	+6.5pts	46	4-1	3-2	27	T28	44	43	47	28	47	+18
30	Oklahoma State3-1	+6.5pts	24	3-1	3-1	45	T25	47	45	41	42	52	-18
31	Houston4-1	+6.4pts	64	4-1	2-3	23	T20	22	25	32	16	31	+45
32	Missouri4-1	+6.2pts	75	4-1	2-3	31	17	14	18	17	15	15	+49
33	SMU4-1	+6.1pts	83	4-1	1-3-1	14	T25	24	40	39	24	14	+68
34	Boise State4-1	+5.6pts	54	4-1	3-2	32	T32	41	28	51	40	45	+23
35	Kansas2-2	+5.4pts	16	2-2	2-2	57	T58	58	51	53	51	76	-40
36	Arizona4-1	+5.1pts	63	4-1	1-4	34	T32	33	42	40	19	23	+30
37	Kentucky4-1	+4.9pts	45	4-1	4-1	55	T39	39	34	29	46	40	-3
38	USC5-1	+4.9pts	122	5-1	1-5	13	16	13	19	15	17	12	+108
39	Oklahoma2-2	+4.6pts	128	2-2	1-3	8	T20	19	21	14	23	20	+116
40	Memphis4-1	+4.6pts	26	4-1	3-2	44	T49	63	57	68	54	80	-20
41	Georgia State4-1	+4.5pts	1	4-1	5-0	122	T79	80	81	87	90	71	-112
42	Auburn3-2	+4.3pts	93	3-2	1-4	18	T37	31	24	25	37	42	+73
43	Minnesota4-1	+4.0pts	35	4-1	4-1	66	T37	49	59	38	53	48	-22
44	Ole Miss3-1	+4.0pts	125	3-1	1-3	15	10	23	22	16	35	34	+112
45	Toledo4-1	+3.7pts	20	4-1	2-2-1	61	65	72	68	78	67	68	-43
46	Louisville2-3	+3.7pts	87	2-3	3-2	30	T41	32	36	33	32	26	+55
47	Texas A&M3-2	+3.2pts	117	3-2	3-2	28	T23	18	14	10	39	24	+90
48	North Dakota State5-0	+3.2pts	60	5-0	3-2	36	T44	60	64	72	38	67	+20
49	Iowa State3-2	+3.2pts	39	3-2	2-2-1	63	T58	56	55	56	59	56	-25
50	South Carolina2-3	+3.1pts	69	2-3	1-4	42	—	43	38	30	50	51	+25
51	Texas State2-3	+3.1pts	36	2-3	2-3	51	—	74	76	75	73	65	-18
52	Virginia3-2	+2.8pts	81	3-2	3-2	37	T30	48	44	46	48	44	+47
53	TCU2-3	+2.6pts	62	2-3	2-3	43	T49	53	48	48	47	55	+17
54	Michigan3-2	+2.6pts	114	3-2	2-3	24	T39	27	32	21	26	27	+85
55	Louisiana4-1	+2.6pts	10	4-1	3-1-1	90	T66	82	84	91	75	83	-78
56	Texas Tech5-0	+2.5pts	137	5-0	2-3	12	12	10	11	13	11	10	+127
57	NC State3-2	+2.4pts	50	3-2	2-3	65	T58	54	58	50	62	50	-15
58	Penn State3-2	+2.4pts	123	3-2	2-3	16	T44	28	20	20	30	38	+100
59	Syracuse2-2	+2.1pts	38	2-2	1-3	64	T66	73	66	65	68	89	-28
60	North Carolina2-2	+2.0pts	59	2-2	2-2	56	T49	55	47	54	65	60	+4
61	Fresno State4-1	+1.7pts	37	4-1	4-1	82	T58	61	63	74	60	61	-42
62	Florida State3-2	+1.7pts	95	3-2	2-2-1	48	T49	30	30	35	36	25	+46
63	App State3-1	+1.1pts	14	3-1	3-1	91	T75	95	93	98	89	94	-77
64	Arizona State2-2	+0.8pts	110	2-2	2-2	20	T32	68	69	57	69	81	+89
65	Liberty4-1	+0.8pts	48	4-1	3-2	80	T66	65	73	80	56	64	-32
66	UCF3-2	+0.7pts	67	3-2	4-1	73	T58	51	46	49	49	54	-2
67	Cincinnati4-1	+0.7pts	80	4-1	3-2	50	T49	57	56	64	55	59	+28
68	Vanderbilt3-2	+0.3pts	92	3-2	3-2	60	T49	46	53	45	57	21	+32
69	Sam Houston1-3	-0.1pts	2	1-3	3-1	125	—	122	113	114	119	135	-123
70	Clemson3-2	-0.4pts	109	3-2	2-3	49	T44	52	50	43	63	46	+62
71	Michigan State2-3	-0.6pts	70	2-3	2-2-1	72	—	64	62	60	76	72	-4
72	Louisiana Tech2-2	-0.8pts	19	2-2	4-0	100	—	93	90	81	101	104	-82
73	Air Force3-1	-1.1pts	58	3-1	2-2	79	T66	84	91	97	71	78	-20
74	UConn2-3	-1.1pts	21	2-3	3-2	102	—	94	96	92	85	106	-82
75	Temple2-3	-1.2pts	30	2-3	4-0-1	96	—	90	87	90	91	95	-66
76	Maryland2-3	-1.5pts	73	2-3	2-3	78	—	75	79	69	61	84	-8
77	UTSA4-1	-1.6pts	102	4-1	3-2	59	T58	69	75	73	74	57	+41
78	Florida International2-2	-1.6pts	32	2-2	2-2	87	—	110	111	119	95	111	-57
79	Illinois2-3	-1.7pts	120	2-3	2-3	52	T66	50	54	42	52	49	+61
80	Washington3-2	-1.7pts	134	3-2	1-4	29	T44	37	52	36	41	17	+98
81	Purdue2-3	-1.7pts	65	2-3	2-3	89	81	71	70	59	81	79	-25
82	West Virginia3-2	-1.9pts	108	3-2	2-2-1	62	T49	62	61	58	64	75	+46
83	Georgia Southern2-3	-2.0pts	25	2-3	4-1	107	—	100	94	99	93	110	-82
84	Florida Atlantic4-1	-2.1pts	71	4-1	4-1	77	T66	87	98	88	70	91	-6
85	Army2-2	-2.2pts	78	2-2	1-2-1	81	—	78	80	77	78	73	-4
86	Arkansas2-3	-2.5pts	101	2-3	1-4	71	—	66	65	63	83	63	+28
87	Colorado2-3	-2.6pts	89	2-3	1-4	68	T75	79	72	67	84	97	+17
88	New Mexico State2-3	-2.6pts	22	2-3	3-2	105	—	117	110	110	120	124	-84
89	UNLV3-2	-2.7pts	100	3-2	3-2	67	T66	77	74	79	79	69	+32
90	Nevada1-3	-3.3pts	33	1-3	2-2	108	—	108	104	115	97	114	-75
91	San José State3-2	-3.4pts	43	3-2	3-2	92	—	121	112	109	122	130	-49
92	South Alabama3-2	-3.5pts	41	3-2	3-2	113	—	101	100	103	116	90	-73
93	Western Michigan3-2	-3.5pts	104	3-2	2-3	69	—	86	83	89	98	74	+33
94	Boston College2-3	-3.7pts	66	2-3	3-2	93	—	92	88	82	92	101	-27
95	Utah State1-4	-4.1pts	51	1-4	3-2	112	—	102	95	100	107	99	-61
96	South Florida4-1	-4.2pts	126	4-1	2-3	75	T56	70	77	83	66	58	+56
97	UAB3-2	-4.3pts	53	3-2	2-2-1	97	—	119	123	120	110	120	-44
98	Jacksonville State3-2	-4.5pts	55	3-2	3-2	114	—	98	103	106	80	112	-60
99	East Carolina2-2	-4.5pts	107	2-2	1-3	84	T79	81	86	93	82	66	+23
100	Missouri State1-3	-4.7pts	28	1-3	2-2	119	—	123	116	122	125	127	-92
101	Rice1-4	-4.8pts	31	1-4	3-2	124	—	118	118	113	118	122	-93
102	Navy1-3	-5.1pts	119	1-3	0-4	74	—	89	97	96	77	82	+44
103	Rutgers1-4	-5.3pts	99	1-4	2-3	85	—	96	89	70	94	128	+12
104	Colorado State2-3	-5.3pts	52	2-3	3-2	121	—	106	107	104	103	103	-70
105	Tulane2-2	-5.4pts	116	2-2	1-3	86	T66	83	78	86	96	77	+31
106	Tulsa3-2	-5.4pts	113	3-2	3-2	83	—	88	85	85	87	93	+30
107	California2-3	-6.0pts	130	2-3	1-4	76	T75	85	82	71	88	98	+54
108	Troy2-2	-6.2pts	61	2-2	1-3	123	—	104	99	101	102	109	-62
109	Kennesaw State1-3	-6.3pts	49	1-3	3-1	127	—	111	105	107	109	121	-78
110	Georgia Tech1-3	-6.3pts	132	1-3	0-4	88	T66	67	71	62	72	70	+46
111	Ohio3-2	-6.4pts	90	3-2	2-3	99	—	107	109	112	106	96	-10
112	Massachusetts4-1	-6.5pts	72	4-1	3-2	106	T75	125	120	129	105	131	-27
113	Central Michigan3-2	-7.2pts	84	3-2	2-3	116	—	109	119	108	121	86	-33
114	Washington State1-4	-7.3pts	112	1-4	3-2	94	—	97	102	94	108	87	+18
115	Coastal Carolina1-4	-7.3pts	77	1-4	2-3	118	—	116	121	116	113	119	-42
116	Eastern Michigan3-3	-7.4pts	88	3-3	3-3	109	—	115	124	118	111	107	-21
117	Miami (OH)2-3	-7.5pts	111	2-3	3-2	95	—	103	106	105	99	92	+16
118	Arkansas State2-3	-7.6pts	103	2-3	2-3	110	—	105	101	102	104	105	-7
119	Kent State2-3	-7.7pts	44	2-3	3-2	128	—	131	132	131	130	113	-84
120	Delaware2-3	-7.7pts	79	2-3	3-2	120	—	113	117	111	117	118	-42
121	Stanford2-3	-8.5pts	124	2-3	2-3	101	—	99	108	95	114	85	+22
122	Hawai'i1-4	-8.6pts	121	1-4	1-4	98	—	112	115	117	115	108	+23
123	Southern Miss1-3	-8.9pts	40	1-3	2-2	136	—	126	114	126	127	132	-96
124	Northern Illinois0-4	-9.3pts	47	0-4	1-3	132	—	127	128	127	133	115	-85
125	Western Kentucky1-4	-10.3pts	118	1-4	2-3	104	—	128	126	123	126	134	+13
126	San Diego State2-3	-11.5pts	136	2-3	1-4	103	—	91	92	84	100	88	+32
127	Wyoming2-3	-11.9pts	133	2-3	1-4	111	—	124	129	125	124	116	+22
128	Bowling Green1-4	-12.1pts	94	1-4	2-3	131	—	129	130	128	132	117	-37
129	Akron1-4	-12.7pts	98	1-4	2-3	129	—	132	133	130	135	126	-31
130	Buffalo2-3	-13.2pts	127	2-3	1-4	126	—	130	127	132	128	125	+1
131	Middle Tennessee2-3	-13.2pts	105	2-3	3-2	130	—	134	131	133	129	133	-25
132	Marshall3-2	-13.4pts	135	3-2	1-4	115	—	120	125	124	123	102	+19
133	Sacramento State1-4	-13.7pts	86	1-4	2-3	135	—	137	138	137	131	138	-49
134	UTEP1-4	-14.0pts	96	1-4	1-4	134	—	135	136	134	136	129	-38
135	Old Dominion1-4	-14.5pts	138	1-4	0-5	117	—	114	122	121	112	100	+20
136	Ball State1-4	-14.8pts	106	1-4	2-3	138	—	133	134	135	134	123	-32
137	Charlotte0-5	-15.9pts	115	0-5	2-3	137	—	138	135	138	138	137	-22
138	UL Monroe0-5	-16.9pts	131	0-5	1-4	133	—	136	137	136	137	136	-2

Results 33.3%Betting markets 38.9%Analytics models 27.8%

1Georgia · 5-0+17.1pts
~~vs Expected~~56~~Lines~~3~~Futures~~2~~Models~~2~~FPI~~2~~Sagarin~~4~~SP+~~1~~DRatings~~2
Results #56 · market #3 · models #2 · results vs market +53
2Alabama · 5-0+16.7pts
~~vs Expected~~13~~Lines~~7~~Futures~~7~~Models~~7~~FPI~~6~~Sagarin~~7~~SP+~~6~~DRatings~~7
Results #13 · market #7 · models #7 · results vs market +6
3Ohio State · 4-1+16.2pts
~~vs Expected~~68~~Lines~~2~~Futures~~1~~Models~~1~~FPI~~1~~Sagarin~~1~~SP+~~2~~DRatings~~3
Results #68 · market #1 · models #1 · results vs market +67
4Miami · 5-0+15.7pts
~~vs Expected~~42~~Lines~~6~~Futures~~5~~Models~~5~~FPI~~5~~Sagarin~~6~~SP+~~5~~DRatings~~5
Results #42 · market #6 · models #5 · results vs market +36
5Texas · 4-0+15.0pts
~~vs Expected~~74~~Lines~~1~~Futures~~4~~Models~~4~~FPI~~4~~Sagarin~~5~~SP+~~8~~DRatings~~4
Results #74 · market #2 · models #4 · results vs market +72
6Notre Dame · 5-0+14.0pts
~~vs Expected~~91~~Lines~~4~~Futures~~3~~Models~~3~~FPI~~3~~Sagarin~~2~~SP+~~4~~DRatings~~6
Results #91 · market #4 · models #3 · results vs market +87
7LSU · 4-1+13.6pts
~~vs Expected~~12~~Lines~~21~~Futures~~8~~Models~~9~~FPI~~8~~Sagarin~~9~~SP+~~7~~DRatings~~9
Results #12 · market #16 · models #9 · results vs market -4
8Utah · 4-0+12.4pts
~~vs Expected~~15~~Lines~~22~~Futures~~13~~Models~~11~~FPI~~12~~Sagarin~~19~~SP+~~9~~DRatings~~11
Results #15 · market #18 · models #11 · results vs market -3
9Northwestern · 3-1+12.4pts
~~vs Expected~~4~~Lines~~39~~Futures~~T32~~Models~~21~~FPI~~17~~Sagarin~~26~~SP+~~33~~DRatings~~18
Results #4 · market #39 · models #21 · results vs market -35
10UCLA · 4-0+11.7pts
~~vs Expected~~5~~Lines~~38~~Futures~~T20~~Models~~26~~FPI~~35~~Sagarin~~23~~SP+~~21~~DRatings~~29
Results #5 · market #37 · models #26 · results vs market -32
11Indiana · 5-0+10.1pts
~~vs Expected~~129~~Lines~~5~~Futures~~6~~Models~~6~~FPI~~7~~Sagarin~~8~~SP+~~3~~DRatings~~1
Results #129 · market #5 · models #6 · results vs market +124
12Nebraska · 5-0+10.0pts
~~vs Expected~~23~~Lines~~25~~Futures~~27~~Models~~17~~FPI~~13~~Sagarin~~24~~SP+~~12~~DRatings~~37
Results #23 · market #25 · models #17 · results vs market -2
13Mississippi State · 4-1+9.5pts
~~vs Expected~~18~~Lines~~26~~Futures~~19~~Models~~29~~FPI~~27~~Sagarin~~28~~SP+~~27~~DRatings~~33
Results #18 · market #24 · models #29 · results vs market -6
14Oregon · 3-1+9.1pts
~~vs Expected~~97~~Lines~~9~~Futures~~9~~Models~~8~~FPI~~9~~Sagarin~~3~~SP+~~10~~DRatings~~8
Results #97 · market #8 · models #8 · results vs market +89
15Wake Forest · 4-1+8.9pts
~~vs Expected~~9~~Lines~~46~~Futures~~T30~~Models~~38~~FPI~~31~~Sagarin~~37~~SP+~~45~~DRatings~~28
Results #9 · market #43 · models #38 · results vs market -34
16New Mexico · 4-1+8.6pts
~~vs Expected~~7~~Lines~~47~~Futures~~T56~~Models~~40~~FPI~~39~~Sagarin~~55~~SP+~~25~~DRatings~~41
Results #7 · market #50 · models #40 · results vs market -43
17Oregon State · 3-2+8.5pts
~~vs Expected~~3~~Lines~~70~~Futures~~T58~~Models~~59~~FPI~~60~~Sagarin~~66~~SP+~~58~~DRatings~~53
Results #3 · market #67 · models #59 · results vs market -64
18Baylor · 4-1+8.5pts
~~vs Expected~~17~~Lines~~35~~Futures~~T32~~Models~~34~~FPI~~29~~Sagarin~~34~~SP+~~31~~DRatings~~39
Results #17 · market #35 · models #34 · results vs market -18
19Tennessee · 4-1+8.4pts
~~vs Expected~~82~~Lines~~11~~Futures~~14~~Models~~12~~FPI~~10~~Sagarin~~11~~SP+~~13~~DRatings~~19
Results #82 · market #11 · models #12 · results vs market +71
20Duke · 4-0+8.1pts
~~vs Expected~~8~~Lines~~54~~Futures~~T41~~Models~~45~~FPI~~37~~Sagarin~~52~~SP+~~43~~DRatings~~43
Results #8 · market #51 · models #45 · results vs market -43
21Kansas State · 3-1+7.9pts
~~vs Expected~~34~~Lines~~17~~Futures~~T41~~Models~~36~~FPI~~41~~Sagarin~~44~~SP+~~22~~DRatings~~30
Results #34 · market #22 · models #36 · results vs market +12
22Florida · 4-1+7.9pts
~~vs Expected~~85~~Lines~~10~~Futures~~11~~Models~~15~~FPI~~15~~Sagarin~~12~~SP+~~20~~DRatings~~22
Results #85 · market #9 · models #15 · results vs market +76
23Pittsburgh · 5-0+7.7pts
~~vs Expected~~27~~Lines~~41~~Futures~~T23~~Models~~25~~FPI~~23~~Sagarin~~31~~SP+~~18~~DRatings~~35
Results #27 · market #41 · models #25 · results vs market -14
24James Madison · 5-0+7.5pts
~~vs Expected~~11~~Lines~~53~~Futures~~T44~~Models~~42~~FPI~~49~~Sagarin~~61~~SP+~~29~~DRatings~~32
Results #11 · market #53 · models #42 · results vs market -42
25Wisconsin · 4-1+7.1pts
~~vs Expected~~29~~Lines~~40~~Futures~~T28~~Models~~35~~FPI~~33~~Sagarin~~22~~SP+~~44~~DRatings~~36
Results #29 · market #38 · models #35 · results vs market -9
26BYU · 4-0+6.9pts
~~vs Expected~~76~~Lines~~19~~Futures~~15~~Models~~16~~FPI~~16~~Sagarin~~27~~SP+~~14~~DRatings~~16
Results #76 · market #17 · models #16 · results vs market +59
27North Texas · 3-2+6.9pts
~~vs Expected~~6~~Lines~~58~~Models~~76~~FPI~~67~~Sagarin~~76~~SP+~~86~~DRatings~~62
Results #6 · market #58 · models #76 · results vs market -52
28Iowa · 4-1+6.8pts
~~vs Expected~~57~~Lines~~33~~Futures~~18~~Models~~20~~FPI~~26~~Sagarin~~18~~SP+~~34~~DRatings~~13
Results #57 · market #30 · models #20 · results vs market +27
29Virginia Tech · 4-1+6.5pts
~~vs Expected~~46~~Lines~~27~~Futures~~T28~~Models~~44~~FPI~~43~~Sagarin~~47~~SP+~~28~~DRatings~~47
Results #46 · market #28 · models #44 · results vs market +18
30Oklahoma State · 3-1+6.5pts
~~vs Expected~~24~~Lines~~45~~Futures~~T25~~Models~~47~~FPI~~45~~Sagarin~~41~~SP+~~42~~DRatings~~52
Results #24 · market #42 · models #47 · results vs market -18
31Houston · 4-1+6.4pts
~~vs Expected~~64~~Lines~~23~~Futures~~T20~~Models~~22~~FPI~~25~~Sagarin~~32~~SP+~~16~~DRatings~~31
Results #64 · market #19 · models #22 · results vs market +45
32Missouri · 4-1+6.2pts
~~vs Expected~~75~~Lines~~31~~Futures~~17~~Models~~14~~FPI~~18~~Sagarin~~17~~SP+~~15~~DRatings~~15
Results #75 · market #26 · models #14 · results vs market +49
33SMU · 4-1+6.1pts
~~vs Expected~~83~~Lines~~14~~Futures~~T25~~Models~~24~~FPI~~40~~Sagarin~~39~~SP+~~24~~DRatings~~14
Results #83 · market #15 · models #24 · results vs market +68
34Boise State · 4-1+5.6pts
~~vs Expected~~54~~Lines~~32~~Futures~~T32~~Models~~41~~FPI~~28~~Sagarin~~51~~SP+~~40~~DRatings~~45
Results #54 · market #31 · models #41 · results vs market +23
35Kansas · 2-2+5.4pts
~~vs Expected~~16~~Lines~~57~~Futures~~T58~~Models~~58~~FPI~~51~~Sagarin~~53~~SP+~~51~~DRatings~~76
Results #16 · market #56 · models #58 · results vs market -40
36Arizona · 4-1+5.1pts
~~vs Expected~~63~~Lines~~34~~Futures~~T32~~Models~~33~~FPI~~42~~Sagarin~~40~~SP+~~19~~DRatings~~23
Results #63 · market #33 · models #33 · results vs market +30
37Kentucky · 4-1+4.9pts
~~vs Expected~~45~~Lines~~55~~Futures~~T39~~Models~~39~~FPI~~34~~Sagarin~~29~~SP+~~46~~DRatings~~40
Results #45 · market #48 · models #39 · results vs market -3
38USC · 5-1+4.9pts
~~vs Expected~~122~~Lines~~13~~Futures~~16~~Models~~13~~FPI~~19~~Sagarin~~15~~SP+~~17~~DRatings~~12
Results #122 · market #14 · models #13 · results vs market +108
39Oklahoma · 2-2+4.6pts
~~vs Expected~~128~~Lines~~8~~Futures~~T20~~Models~~19~~FPI~~21~~Sagarin~~14~~SP+~~23~~DRatings~~20
Results #128 · market #12 · models #19 · results vs market +116
40Memphis · 4-1+4.6pts
~~vs Expected~~26~~Lines~~44~~Futures~~T49~~Models~~63~~FPI~~57~~Sagarin~~68~~SP+~~54~~DRatings~~80
Results #26 · market #46 · models #63 · results vs market -20
41Georgia State · 4-1+4.5pts
~~vs Expected~~1~~Lines~~122~~Futures~~T79~~Models~~80~~FPI~~81~~Sagarin~~87~~SP+~~90~~DRatings~~71
Results #1 · market #113 · models #80 · results vs market -112
42Auburn · 3-2+4.3pts
~~vs Expected~~93~~Lines~~18~~Futures~~T37~~Models~~31~~FPI~~24~~Sagarin~~25~~SP+~~37~~DRatings~~42
Results #93 · market #20 · models #31 · results vs market +73
43Minnesota · 4-1+4.0pts
~~vs Expected~~35~~Lines~~66~~Futures~~T37~~Models~~49~~FPI~~59~~Sagarin~~38~~SP+~~53~~DRatings~~48
Results #35 · market #57 · models #49 · results vs market -22
44Ole Miss · 3-1+4.0pts
~~vs Expected~~125~~Lines~~15~~Futures~~10~~Models~~23~~FPI~~22~~Sagarin~~16~~SP+~~35~~DRatings~~34
Results #125 · market #13 · models #23 · results vs market +112
45Toledo · 4-1+3.7pts
~~vs Expected~~20~~Lines~~61~~Futures~~65~~Models~~72~~FPI~~68~~Sagarin~~78~~SP+~~67~~DRatings~~68
Results #20 · market #63 · models #72 · results vs market -43
46Louisville · 2-3+3.7pts
~~vs Expected~~87~~Lines~~30~~Futures~~T41~~Models~~32~~FPI~~36~~Sagarin~~33~~SP+~~32~~DRatings~~26
Results #87 · market #32 · models #32 · results vs market +55
47Texas A&M · 3-2+3.2pts
~~vs Expected~~117~~Lines~~28~~Futures~~T23~~Models~~18~~FPI~~14~~Sagarin~~10~~SP+~~39~~DRatings~~24
Results #117 · market #27 · models #18 · results vs market +90
48North Dakota State · 5-0+3.2pts
~~vs Expected~~60~~Lines~~36~~Futures~~T44~~Models~~60~~FPI~~64~~Sagarin~~72~~SP+~~38~~DRatings~~67
Results #60 · market #40 · models #60 · results vs market +20
49Iowa State · 3-2+3.2pts
~~vs Expected~~39~~Lines~~63~~Futures~~T58~~Models~~56~~FPI~~55~~Sagarin~~56~~SP+~~59~~DRatings~~56
Results #39 · market #64 · models #56 · results vs market -25
50South Carolina · 2-3+3.1pts
~~vs Expected~~69~~Lines~~42~~Models~~43~~FPI~~38~~Sagarin~~30~~SP+~~50~~DRatings~~51
Results #69 · market #44 · models #43 · results vs market +25
51Texas State · 2-3+3.1pts
~~vs Expected~~36~~Lines~~51~~Models~~74~~FPI~~76~~Sagarin~~75~~SP+~~73~~DRatings~~65
Results #36 · market #54 · models #74 · results vs market -18
52Virginia · 3-2+2.8pts
~~vs Expected~~81~~Lines~~37~~Futures~~T30~~Models~~48~~FPI~~44~~Sagarin~~46~~SP+~~48~~DRatings~~44
Results #81 · market #34 · models #48 · results vs market +47
53TCU · 2-3+2.6pts
~~vs Expected~~62~~Lines~~43~~Futures~~T49~~Models~~53~~FPI~~48~~Sagarin~~48~~SP+~~47~~DRatings~~55
Results #62 · market #45 · models #53 · results vs market +17
54Michigan · 3-2+2.6pts
~~vs Expected~~114~~Lines~~24~~Futures~~T39~~Models~~27~~FPI~~32~~Sagarin~~21~~SP+~~26~~DRatings~~27
Results #114 · market #29 · models #27 · results vs market +85
55Louisiana · 4-1+2.6pts
~~vs Expected~~10~~Lines~~90~~Futures~~T66~~Models~~82~~FPI~~84~~Sagarin~~91~~SP+~~75~~DRatings~~83
Results #10 · market #88 · models #82 · results vs market -78
56Texas Tech · 5-0+2.5pts
~~vs Expected~~137~~Lines~~12~~Futures~~12~~Models~~10~~FPI~~11~~Sagarin~~13~~SP+~~11~~DRatings~~10
Results #137 · market #10 · models #10 · results vs market +127
57NC State · 3-2+2.4pts
~~vs Expected~~50~~Lines~~65~~Futures~~T58~~Models~~54~~FPI~~58~~Sagarin~~50~~SP+~~62~~DRatings~~50
Results #50 · market #65 · models #54 · results vs market -15
58Penn State · 3-2+2.4pts
~~vs Expected~~123~~Lines~~16~~Futures~~T44~~Models~~28~~FPI~~20~~Sagarin~~20~~SP+~~30~~DRatings~~38
Results #123 · market #23 · models #28 · results vs market +100
59Syracuse · 2-2+2.1pts
~~vs Expected~~38~~Lines~~64~~Futures~~T66~~Models~~73~~FPI~~66~~Sagarin~~65~~SP+~~68~~DRatings~~89
Results #38 · market #66 · models #73 · results vs market -28
60North Carolina · 2-2+2.0pts
~~vs Expected~~59~~Lines~~56~~Futures~~T49~~Models~~55~~FPI~~47~~Sagarin~~54~~SP+~~65~~DRatings~~60
Results #59 · market #55 · models #55 · results vs market +4
61Fresno State · 4-1+1.7pts
~~vs Expected~~37~~Lines~~82~~Futures~~T58~~Models~~61~~FPI~~63~~Sagarin~~74~~SP+~~60~~DRatings~~61
Results #37 · market #79 · models #61 · results vs market -42
62Florida State · 3-2+1.7pts
~~vs Expected~~95~~Lines~~48~~Futures~~T49~~Models~~30~~FPI~~30~~Sagarin~~35~~SP+~~36~~DRatings~~25
Results #95 · market #49 · models #30 · results vs market +46
63App State · 3-1+1.1pts
~~vs Expected~~14~~Lines~~91~~Futures~~T75~~Models~~95~~FPI~~93~~Sagarin~~98~~SP+~~89~~DRatings~~94
Results #14 · market #91 · models #95 · results vs market -77
64Arizona State · 2-2+0.8pts
~~vs Expected~~110~~Lines~~20~~Futures~~T32~~Models~~68~~FPI~~69~~Sagarin~~57~~SP+~~69~~DRatings~~81
Results #110 · market #21 · models #68 · results vs market +89
65Liberty · 4-1+0.8pts
~~vs Expected~~48~~Lines~~80~~Futures~~T66~~Models~~65~~FPI~~73~~Sagarin~~80~~SP+~~56~~DRatings~~64
Results #48 · market #80 · models #65 · results vs market -32
66UCF · 3-2+0.7pts
~~vs Expected~~67~~Lines~~73~~Futures~~T58~~Models~~51~~FPI~~46~~Sagarin~~49~~SP+~~49~~DRatings~~54
Results #67 · market #69 · models #51 · results vs market -2
67Cincinnati · 4-1+0.7pts
~~vs Expected~~80~~Lines~~50~~Futures~~T49~~Models~~57~~FPI~~56~~Sagarin~~64~~SP+~~55~~DRatings~~59
Results #80 · market #52 · models #57 · results vs market +28
68Vanderbilt · 3-2+0.3pts
~~vs Expected~~92~~Lines~~60~~Futures~~T49~~Models~~46~~FPI~~53~~Sagarin~~45~~SP+~~57~~DRatings~~21
Results #92 · market #60 · models #46 · results vs market +32
69Sam Houston · 1-3-0.1pts
~~vs Expected~~2~~Lines~~125~~Models~~122~~FPI~~113~~Sagarin~~114~~SP+~~119~~DRatings~~135
Results #2 · market #125 · models #122 · results vs market -123
70Clemson · 3-2-0.4pts
~~vs Expected~~109~~Lines~~49~~Futures~~T44~~Models~~52~~FPI~~50~~Sagarin~~43~~SP+~~63~~DRatings~~46
Results #109 · market #47 · models #52 · results vs market +62
71Michigan State · 2-3-0.6pts
~~vs Expected~~70~~Lines~~72~~Models~~64~~FPI~~62~~Sagarin~~60~~SP+~~76~~DRatings~~72
Results #70 · market #74 · models #64 · results vs market -4
72Louisiana Tech · 2-2-0.8pts
~~vs Expected~~19~~Lines~~100~~Models~~93~~FPI~~90~~Sagarin~~81~~SP+~~101~~DRatings~~104
Results #19 · market #101 · models #93 · results vs market -82
73Air Force · 3-1-1.1pts
~~vs Expected~~58~~Lines~~79~~Futures~~T66~~Models~~84~~FPI~~91~~Sagarin~~97~~SP+~~71~~DRatings~~78
Results #58 · market #78 · models #84 · results vs market -20
74UConn · 2-3-1.1pts
~~vs Expected~~21~~Lines~~102~~Models~~94~~FPI~~96~~Sagarin~~92~~SP+~~85~~DRatings~~106
Results #21 · market #103 · models #94 · results vs market -82
75Temple · 2-3-1.2pts
~~vs Expected~~30~~Lines~~96~~Models~~90~~FPI~~87~~Sagarin~~90~~SP+~~91~~DRatings~~95
Results #30 · market #96 · models #90 · results vs market -66
76Maryland · 2-3-1.5pts
~~vs Expected~~73~~Lines~~78~~Models~~75~~FPI~~79~~Sagarin~~69~~SP+~~61~~DRatings~~84
Results #73 · market #81 · models #75 · results vs market -8
77UTSA · 4-1-1.6pts
~~vs Expected~~102~~Lines~~59~~Futures~~T58~~Models~~69~~FPI~~75~~Sagarin~~73~~SP+~~74~~DRatings~~57
Results #102 · market #61 · models #69 · results vs market +41
78Florida International · 2-2-1.6pts
~~vs Expected~~32~~Lines~~87~~Models~~110~~FPI~~111~~Sagarin~~119~~SP+~~95~~DRatings~~111
Results #32 · market #89 · models #110 · results vs market -57
79Illinois · 2-3-1.7pts
~~vs Expected~~120~~Lines~~52~~Futures~~T66~~Models~~50~~FPI~~54~~Sagarin~~42~~SP+~~52~~DRatings~~49
Results #120 · market #59 · models #50 · results vs market +61
80Washington · 3-2-1.7pts
~~vs Expected~~134~~Lines~~29~~Futures~~T44~~Models~~37~~FPI~~52~~Sagarin~~36~~SP+~~41~~DRatings~~17
Results #134 · market #36 · models #37 · results vs market +98
81Purdue · 2-3-1.7pts
~~vs Expected~~65~~Lines~~89~~Futures~~81~~Models~~71~~FPI~~70~~Sagarin~~59~~SP+~~81~~DRatings~~79
Results #65 · market #90 · models #71 · results vs market -25
82West Virginia · 3-2-1.9pts
~~vs Expected~~108~~Lines~~62~~Futures~~T49~~Models~~62~~FPI~~61~~Sagarin~~58~~SP+~~64~~DRatings~~75
Results #108 · market #62 · models #62 · results vs market +46
83Georgia Southern · 2-3-2.0pts
~~vs Expected~~25~~Lines~~107~~Models~~100~~FPI~~94~~Sagarin~~99~~SP+~~93~~DRatings~~110
Results #25 · market #107 · models #100 · results vs market -82
84Florida Atlantic · 4-1-2.1pts
~~vs Expected~~71~~Lines~~77~~Futures~~T66~~Models~~87~~FPI~~98~~Sagarin~~88~~SP+~~70~~DRatings~~91
Results #71 · market #77 · models #87 · results vs market -6
85Army · 2-2-2.2pts
~~vs Expected~~78~~Lines~~81~~Models~~78~~FPI~~80~~Sagarin~~77~~SP+~~78~~DRatings~~73
Results #78 · market #82 · models #78 · results vs market -4
86Arkansas · 2-3-2.5pts
~~vs Expected~~101~~Lines~~71~~Models~~66~~FPI~~65~~Sagarin~~63~~SP+~~83~~DRatings~~63
Results #101 · market #73 · models #66 · results vs market +28
87Colorado · 2-3-2.6pts
~~vs Expected~~89~~Lines~~68~~Futures~~T75~~Models~~79~~FPI~~72~~Sagarin~~67~~SP+~~84~~DRatings~~97
Results #89 · market #72 · models #79 · results vs market +17
88New Mexico State · 2-3-2.6pts
~~vs Expected~~22~~Lines~~105~~Models~~117~~FPI~~110~~Sagarin~~110~~SP+~~120~~DRatings~~124
Results #22 · market #106 · models #117 · results vs market -84
89UNLV · 3-2-2.7pts
~~vs Expected~~100~~Lines~~67~~Futures~~T66~~Models~~77~~FPI~~74~~Sagarin~~79~~SP+~~79~~DRatings~~69
Results #100 · market #68 · models #77 · results vs market +32
90Nevada · 1-3-3.3pts
~~vs Expected~~33~~Lines~~108~~Models~~108~~FPI~~104~~Sagarin~~115~~SP+~~97~~DRatings~~114
Results #33 · market #108 · models #108 · results vs market -75
91San José State · 3-2-3.4pts
~~vs Expected~~43~~Lines~~92~~Models~~121~~FPI~~112~~Sagarin~~109~~SP+~~122~~DRatings~~130
Results #43 · market #92 · models #121 · results vs market -49
92South Alabama · 3-2-3.5pts
~~vs Expected~~41~~Lines~~113~~Models~~101~~FPI~~100~~Sagarin~~103~~SP+~~116~~DRatings~~90
Results #41 · market #114 · models #101 · results vs market -73
93Western Michigan · 3-2-3.5pts
~~vs Expected~~104~~Lines~~69~~Models~~86~~FPI~~83~~Sagarin~~89~~SP+~~98~~DRatings~~74
Results #104 · market #71 · models #86 · results vs market +33
94Boston College · 2-3-3.7pts
~~vs Expected~~66~~Lines~~93~~Models~~92~~FPI~~88~~Sagarin~~82~~SP+~~92~~DRatings~~101
Results #66 · market #93 · models #92 · results vs market -27
95Utah State · 1-4-4.1pts
~~vs Expected~~51~~Lines~~112~~Models~~102~~FPI~~95~~Sagarin~~100~~SP+~~107~~DRatings~~99
Results #51 · market #112 · models #102 · results vs market -61
96South Florida · 4-1-4.2pts
~~vs Expected~~126~~Lines~~75~~Futures~~T56~~Models~~70~~FPI~~77~~Sagarin~~83~~SP+~~66~~DRatings~~58
Results #126 · market #70 · models #70 · results vs market +56
97UAB · 3-2-4.3pts
~~vs Expected~~53~~Lines~~97~~Models~~119~~FPI~~123~~Sagarin~~120~~SP+~~110~~DRatings~~120
Results #53 · market #97 · models #119 · results vs market -44
98Jacksonville State · 3-2-4.5pts
~~vs Expected~~55~~Lines~~114~~Models~~98~~FPI~~103~~Sagarin~~106~~SP+~~80~~DRatings~~112
Results #55 · market #115 · models #98 · results vs market -60
99East Carolina · 2-2-4.5pts
~~vs Expected~~107~~Lines~~84~~Futures~~T79~~Models~~81~~FPI~~86~~Sagarin~~93~~SP+~~82~~DRatings~~66
Results #107 · market #84 · models #81 · results vs market +23
100Missouri State · 1-3-4.7pts
~~vs Expected~~28~~Lines~~119~~Models~~123~~FPI~~116~~Sagarin~~122~~SP+~~125~~DRatings~~127
Results #28 · market #120 · models #123 · results vs market -92
101Rice · 1-4-4.8pts
~~vs Expected~~31~~Lines~~124~~Models~~118~~FPI~~118~~Sagarin~~113~~SP+~~118~~DRatings~~122
Results #31 · market #124 · models #118 · results vs market -93
102Navy · 1-3-5.1pts
~~vs Expected~~119~~Lines~~74~~Models~~89~~FPI~~97~~Sagarin~~96~~SP+~~77~~DRatings~~82
Results #119 · market #75 · models #89 · results vs market +44
103Rutgers · 1-4-5.3pts
~~vs Expected~~99~~Lines~~85~~Models~~96~~FPI~~89~~Sagarin~~70~~SP+~~94~~DRatings~~128
Results #99 · market #87 · models #96 · results vs market +12
104Colorado State · 2-3-5.3pts
~~vs Expected~~52~~Lines~~121~~Models~~106~~FPI~~107~~Sagarin~~104~~SP+~~103~~DRatings~~103
Results #52 · market #122 · models #106 · results vs market -70
105Tulane · 2-2-5.4pts
~~vs Expected~~116~~Lines~~86~~Futures~~T66~~Models~~83~~FPI~~78~~Sagarin~~86~~SP+~~96~~DRatings~~77
Results #116 · market #85 · models #83 · results vs market +31
106Tulsa · 3-2-5.4pts
~~vs Expected~~113~~Lines~~83~~Models~~88~~FPI~~85~~Sagarin~~85~~SP+~~87~~DRatings~~93
Results #113 · market #83 · models #88 · results vs market +30
107California · 2-3-6.0pts
~~vs Expected~~130~~Lines~~76~~Futures~~T75~~Models~~85~~FPI~~82~~Sagarin~~71~~SP+~~88~~DRatings~~98
Results #130 · market #76 · models #85 · results vs market +54
108Troy · 2-2-6.2pts
~~vs Expected~~61~~Lines~~123~~Models~~104~~FPI~~99~~Sagarin~~101~~SP+~~102~~DRatings~~109
Results #61 · market #123 · models #104 · results vs market -62
109Kennesaw State · 1-3-6.3pts
~~vs Expected~~49~~Lines~~127~~Models~~111~~FPI~~105~~Sagarin~~107~~SP+~~109~~DRatings~~121
Results #49 · market #127 · models #111 · results vs market -78
110Georgia Tech · 1-3-6.3pts
~~vs Expected~~132~~Lines~~88~~Futures~~T66~~Models~~67~~FPI~~71~~Sagarin~~62~~SP+~~72~~DRatings~~70
Results #132 · market #86 · models #67 · results vs market +46
111Ohio · 3-2-6.4pts
~~vs Expected~~90~~Lines~~99~~Models~~107~~FPI~~109~~Sagarin~~112~~SP+~~106~~DRatings~~96
Results #90 · market #100 · models #107 · results vs market -10
112Massachusetts · 4-1-6.5pts
~~vs Expected~~72~~Lines~~106~~Futures~~T75~~Models~~125~~FPI~~120~~Sagarin~~129~~SP+~~105~~DRatings~~131
Results #72 · market #99 · models #125 · results vs market -27
113Central Michigan · 3-2-7.2pts
~~vs Expected~~84~~Lines~~116~~Models~~109~~FPI~~119~~Sagarin~~108~~SP+~~121~~DRatings~~86
Results #84 · market #117 · models #109 · results vs market -33
114Washington State · 1-4-7.3pts
~~vs Expected~~112~~Lines~~94~~Models~~97~~FPI~~102~~Sagarin~~94~~SP+~~108~~DRatings~~87
Results #112 · market #94 · models #97 · results vs market +18
115Coastal Carolina · 1-4-7.3pts
~~vs Expected~~77~~Lines~~118~~Models~~116~~FPI~~121~~Sagarin~~116~~SP+~~113~~DRatings~~119
Results #77 · market #119 · models #116 · results vs market -42
116Eastern Michigan · 3-3-7.4pts
~~vs Expected~~88~~Lines~~109~~Models~~115~~FPI~~124~~Sagarin~~118~~SP+~~111~~DRatings~~107
Results #88 · market #109 · models #115 · results vs market -21
117Miami (OH) · 2-3-7.5pts
~~vs Expected~~111~~Lines~~95~~Models~~103~~FPI~~106~~Sagarin~~105~~SP+~~99~~DRatings~~92
Results #111 · market #95 · models #103 · results vs market +16
118Arkansas State · 2-3-7.6pts
~~vs Expected~~103~~Lines~~110~~Models~~105~~FPI~~101~~Sagarin~~102~~SP+~~104~~DRatings~~105
Results #103 · market #110 · models #105 · results vs market -7
119Kent State · 2-3-7.7pts
~~vs Expected~~44~~Lines~~128~~Models~~131~~FPI~~132~~Sagarin~~131~~SP+~~130~~DRatings~~113
Results #44 · market #128 · models #131 · results vs market -84
120Delaware · 2-3-7.7pts
~~vs Expected~~79~~Lines~~120~~Models~~113~~FPI~~117~~Sagarin~~111~~SP+~~117~~DRatings~~118
Results #79 · market #121 · models #113 · results vs market -42
121Stanford · 2-3-8.5pts
~~vs Expected~~124~~Lines~~101~~Models~~99~~FPI~~108~~Sagarin~~95~~SP+~~114~~DRatings~~85
Results #124 · market #102 · models #99 · results vs market +22
122Hawai'i · 1-4-8.6pts
~~vs Expected~~121~~Lines~~98~~Models~~112~~FPI~~115~~Sagarin~~117~~SP+~~115~~DRatings~~108
Results #121 · market #98 · models #112 · results vs market +23
123Southern Miss · 1-3-8.9pts
~~vs Expected~~40~~Lines~~136~~Models~~126~~FPI~~114~~Sagarin~~126~~SP+~~127~~DRatings~~132
Results #40 · market #136 · models #126 · results vs market -96
124Northern Illinois · 0-4-9.3pts
~~vs Expected~~47~~Lines~~132~~Models~~127~~FPI~~128~~Sagarin~~127~~SP+~~133~~DRatings~~115
Results #47 · market #132 · models #127 · results vs market -85
125Western Kentucky · 1-4-10.3pts
~~vs Expected~~118~~Lines~~104~~Models~~128~~FPI~~126~~Sagarin~~123~~SP+~~126~~DRatings~~134
Results #118 · market #105 · models #128 · results vs market +13
126San Diego State · 2-3-11.5pts
~~vs Expected~~136~~Lines~~103~~Models~~91~~FPI~~92~~Sagarin~~84~~SP+~~100~~DRatings~~88
Results #136 · market #104 · models #91 · results vs market +32
127Wyoming · 2-3-11.9pts
~~vs Expected~~133~~Lines~~111~~Models~~124~~FPI~~129~~Sagarin~~125~~SP+~~124~~DRatings~~116
Results #133 · market #111 · models #124 · results vs market +22
128Bowling Green · 1-4-12.1pts
~~vs Expected~~94~~Lines~~131~~Models~~129~~FPI~~130~~Sagarin~~128~~SP+~~132~~DRatings~~117
Results #94 · market #131 · models #129 · results vs market -37
129Akron · 1-4-12.7pts
~~vs Expected~~98~~Lines~~129~~Models~~132~~FPI~~133~~Sagarin~~130~~SP+~~135~~DRatings~~126
Results #98 · market #129 · models #132 · results vs market -31
130Buffalo · 2-3-13.2pts
~~vs Expected~~127~~Lines~~126~~Models~~130~~FPI~~127~~Sagarin~~132~~SP+~~128~~DRatings~~125
Results #127 · market #126 · models #130 · results vs market +1
131Middle Tennessee · 2-3-13.2pts
~~vs Expected~~105~~Lines~~130~~Models~~134~~FPI~~131~~Sagarin~~133~~SP+~~129~~DRatings~~133
Results #105 · market #130 · models #134 · results vs market -25
132Marshall · 3-2-13.4pts
~~vs Expected~~135~~Lines~~115~~Models~~120~~FPI~~125~~Sagarin~~124~~SP+~~123~~DRatings~~102
Results #135 · market #116 · models #120 · results vs market +19
133Sacramento State · 1-4-13.7pts
~~vs Expected~~86~~Lines~~135~~Models~~137~~FPI~~138~~Sagarin~~137~~SP+~~131~~DRatings~~138
Results #86 · market #135 · models #137 · results vs market -49
134UTEP · 1-4-14.0pts
~~vs Expected~~96~~Lines~~134~~Models~~135~~FPI~~136~~Sagarin~~134~~SP+~~136~~DRatings~~129
Results #96 · market #134 · models #135 · results vs market -38
135Old Dominion · 1-4-14.5pts
~~vs Expected~~138~~Lines~~117~~Models~~114~~FPI~~122~~Sagarin~~121~~SP+~~112~~DRatings~~100
Results #138 · market #118 · models #114 · results vs market +20
136Ball State · 1-4-14.8pts
~~vs Expected~~106~~Lines~~138~~Models~~133~~FPI~~134~~Sagarin~~135~~SP+~~134~~DRatings~~123
Results #106 · market #138 · models #133 · results vs market -32
137Charlotte · 0-5-15.9pts
~~vs Expected~~115~~Lines~~137~~Models~~138~~FPI~~135~~Sagarin~~138~~SP+~~138~~DRatings~~137
Results #115 · market #137 · models #138 · results vs market -22
138UL Monroe · 0-5-16.9pts
~~vs Expected~~131~~Lines~~133~~Models~~136~~FPI~~137~~Sagarin~~136~~SP+~~137~~DRatings~~136
Results #131 · market #133 · models #136 · results vs market -2

column ranks them higher than the composite lower than the composite widest results-versus-market gap— not ranked by that column

How the rating is built. Every team gets a rating in points better than an average FBS team on a neutral field, from each of three pillars, and the composite is their weighted sum. Results is what actually happened, measured one way: how far above or below the closing line’s expectation each game landed, averaged per game. The line already prices the opponent and the site, so a narrow win over a good team counts for more than a rout of a weak one, and playing an extra game earns nothing by itself. Each game is luck-adjusted first, half the scoreboard and half what the yardage says the margin should have been, then capped at 28 points. Margin and wins were removed from this pillar in September because in the first weeks of a season neither can tell a good opponent from a bad one, so between them they mostly counted games played. Read this column as what-you-did-against-expectation, not as who-you-beat. A team that won every game as a heavy favourite can rank low in it, and a team that lost outright as a four-touchdown underdog can rank high. The composite is the place the three pillars argue that out. Betting markets is what money says: a rating fit to the last three weeks of point spreads, blended with the futures boards. Analytics models is what the models say: every live model, placed on the same points scale by its position against the market. Full-season weights are results 40%, markets 35%, models 25%; results phase in over the first 6 weeks because a September record predicts almost nothing, and a pillar with nothing to say this week hands its share to the others. Results carry 33.3% this week and reach 40% after week 6. There are no media rankings and no human polls in the score. Voters anchor on where a team started the season, reward reputation, and see a fraction of the games they rank; the three pillars here are each accountable to something real, a score, a price, or a measurement. Results vs market is the results rank minus the market rank: a large positive number is a team whose record the market does not yet believe, a large negative one is a favourite that keeps losing. A source is excluded from scoring, and shown struck through, when its data is more than 30 days old or when it describes an earlier week than the one this board is built on.

Download the breakdown (PDF)Share imageAll 138 teams, every source column. The share image is the ranking only.

Looking for the pros? See the NFL consensus rankings.