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College football consensus, week 2

The board as it was published on September 8, 2026, before week 2’s games. It is frozen: every rating, source and column is exactly what readers saw that week, including sources that have since left the board.

ArchiveThis is a past week. The current consensus is rebuilt every week.

College football · FBS · 2026 season · week 2

Consensus, all 138 FBS teams, as published

5 of 5 sources scoring, across 3 pillars
week 2 · built 2026-09-08

			Results · 6.7%			Betting markets · 54.4%		Analytics models · 38.9%
#	Team	Rating	vs Expected6.7%Sep 8	W-LshownSep 8	ATSshownSep 8	Lines40.8%Sep 8	Futures13.6%Sep 8	Models38.9%undated	FPI9.7%Sep 8	Sagarin9.7%Sep 7	F+9.7%2026 preseason, through week 0	DRatings9.7%Aug 31	Results vs market
1	Ohio State1-0	+21.5pts	60	1-0	1-0	4	1	1	2	1	1	3	+57
2	Notre Dame1-0	+21.0pts	86	1-0	1-0	2	2	2	3	2	4	4	+84
3	Oregon1-0	+20.7pts	100	1-0	0-1	1	T6	4	8	3	2	2	+99
4	Texas1-0	+20.4pts	50	1-0	1-0	3	3	5	1	5	6	5	+46
5	LSU1-0	+18.1pts	T1	1-0	1-0	5	8	10	7	8	18	13	-4
6	Indiana1-0	+17.8pts	128	1-0	0-1	7	T6	3	6	4	5	1	+122
7	Georgia1-0	+15.6pts	34	1-0	1-0	23	4	6	5	6	3	7	+18
8	Miami1-0	+15.4pts	47	1-0	1-0	21	5	7	4	7	7	6	+33
9	USC2-0	+15.3pts	73	2-0	1-1	6	14	14	13	19	16	15	+66
10	Alabama1-0	+15.2pts	44	1-0	1-0	9	T10	8	9	11	9	11	+35
11	Texas A&M1-0	+14.7pts	33	1-0	1-0	12	T10	12	10	9	10	14	+23
12	Oklahoma1-0	+14.6pts	84	1-0	1-0	8	13	11	11	10	13	10	+76
13	Ole Miss1-0	+13.9pts	90	1-0	0-1	11	12	13	16	12	11	9	+79
14	Penn State1-0	+13.6pts	16	1-0	1-0	13	15	16	14	16	14	24	+3
15	SMU1-0	+12.3pts	32	1-0	0-0-1	10	T21	23	20	25	32	21	+20
16	Florida1-0	+12.2pts	41	1-0	1-0	16	17	19	17	14	24	20	+24
17	Texas Tech1-0	+11.1pts	124	1-0	0-1	24	9	9	12	13	8	8	+101
18	Iowa1-0	+11.0pts	38	1-0	1-0	17	27	21	26	20	20	19	+20
19	Michigan1-0	+10.3pts	132	1-0	0-1	22	18	15	21	15	12	16	+112
20	Washington1-0	+10.2pts	97	1-0	0-1	19	T24	20	30	18	17	18	+78
21	Auburn1-0	+10.1pts	101	1-0	0-1	14	T19	25	27	23	26	33	+86
22	South Carolina1-0	+9.9pts	15	1-0	1-0	20	T24	29	15	21	29	70	-6
23	Tennessee1-0	+9.7pts	82	1-0	0-1	28	16	17	18	17	15	23	+58
24	Utah1-0	+8.8pts	37	1-0	1-0	34	T21	22	24	27	19	17	+8
25	BYU1-0	+8.3pts	87	1-0	1-0	41	T19	18	19	22	21	12	+54
26	Pittsburgh1-0	+8.1pts	6	1-0	1-0	30	T34	30	22	32	36	38	-26
27	Nebraska1-0	+7.6pts	63	1-0	1-0	25	40	28	23	29	35	31	+36
28	Clemson0-1	+7.4pts	T137	0-1	0-1	18	T37	32	42	35	23	34	+115
29	Virginia Tech1-0	+6.9pts	39	1-0	1-0	27	T31	37	31	40	56	30	+11
30	Vanderbilt1-0	+6.8pts	99	1-0	0-1	26	28	33	35	37	25	39	+73
31	Louisville0-1	+6.8pts	59	0-1	1-0	39	26	27	28	26	30	25	+21
32	Virginia1-0	+6.7pts	7	1-0	1-0	46	T31	26	25	39	28	22	-35
33	Missouri1-0	+6.7pts	117	1-0	0-1	37	T21	24	29	24	22	29	+86
34	Kansas State1-0	+6.6pts	20	1-0	1-0	42	T34	31	32	36	27	26	-19
35	Mississippi State1-0	+6.3pts	9	1-0	1-0	33	T42	42	33	38	45	55	-28
36	Florida State1-1	+6.2pts	115	1-1	0-1-1	15	79	43	37	49	34	53	+90
37	UCLA1-0	+5.8pts	40	1-0	1-0	31	41	45	46	30	53	43	+5
38	Illinois1-0	+5.7pts	126	1-0	0-1	29	T37	34	45	33	31	27	+96
39	Houston1-0	+5.4pts	94	1-0	0-1	35	T29	39	41	43	43	32	+60
40	Arizona State1-0	+5.2pts	27	1-0	1-0	49	T29	36	36	41	40	36	-16
41	TCU0-1	+4.9pts	113	0-1	0-1	32	T42	41	48	45	37	37	+77
42	Arizona1-0	+3.9pts	75	1-0	0-1	61	T31	35	39	44	33	28	+26
43	Baylor0-1	+3.9pts	45	0-1	1-0	43	T54	46	38	47	50	51	-1
44	Minnesota1-0	+3.7pts	55	1-0	1-0	53	T44	44	59	31	41	40	+7
45	Boise State0-1	+3.6pts	46	0-1	1-0	51	T37	48	34	58	48	58	-1
46	Wake Forest1-0	+3.6pts	78	1-0	0-1	36	T74	51	52	56	52	42	+38
47	Duke1-0	+3.5pts	54	1-0	1-0	44	T47	50	50	54	47	48	+10
48	Maryland1-0	+3.2pts	23	1-0	1-0	45	T76	52	56	48	55	54	-28
49	Wisconsin0-1	+3.1pts	62	0-1	0-1	59	T54	38	53	28	44	35	+3
50	Kentucky1-0	+2.9pts	53	1-0	1-0	74	36	40	40	34	39	49	-8
51	UCF1-0	+2.5pts	31	1-0	1-0	54	T47	59	49	52	62	77	-19
52	Michigan State1-0	+2.5pts	68	1-0	0-0-1	38	T76	60	62	59	63	74	+23
53	Cincinnati1-0	+2.2pts	74	1-0	1-0	50	T54	54	43	60	51	68	+22
54	North Carolina1-0	+1.9pts	30	1-0	1-0	69	46	53	44	57	58	62	-35
55	Army1-0	+1.9pts	18	1-0	1-0	52	T54	74	74	69	77	64	-35
56	West Virginia1-0	+1.8pts	120	1-0	0-1	40	T47	67	69	62	76	60	+79
57	Kansas1-0	+1.6pts	61	1-0	1-0	67	T44	57	51	50	46	78	+1
58	NC State0-1	+0.8pts	133	0-1	0-1	56	T54	56	71	53	60	41	+77
59	Syracuse1-0	+0.6pts	T24	1-0	1-0	60	T87	71	54	61	82	76	-48
60	Navy1-0	+0.6pts	79	1-0	0-1	65	T47	68	67	76	64	65	+17
61	California0-1	+0.6pts	108	0-1	0-1	63	T54	58	78	55	65	44	+44
62	New Mexico1-0	+0.6pts	21	1-0	1-0	75	T54	72	64	73	84	61	-52
63	North Dakota State2-0	+0.5pts	56	2-0	1-1	58	T54	81	65	70	90	86	-2
64	Iowa State1-0	+0.3pts	107	1-0	0-1	62	T54	63	68	66	49	80	+44
65	Oklahoma State0-1	+0.3pts	129	0-1	0-1	55	T54	65	72	63	66	71	+74
66	Arkansas1-0	+0.3pts	121	1-0	0-1	71	T47	55	60	51	38	79	+54
67	UNLV1-1	+0.3pts	70	1-1	1-1	72	T54	62	58	77	74	50	0
68	South Florida1-0	+0.2pts	122	1-0	0-1	57	T54	73	75	81	68	59	+65
69	Georgia Tech0-1	+0.1pts	96	0-1	0-1	79	T54	47	55	46	42	45	+19
70	Memphis2-0	-0.0pts	58	2-0	2-0	78	53	64	61	75	57	72	-17
71	James Madison1-0	-0.0pts	81	1-0	1-0	70	T54	70	76	80	59	52	+12
72	Rutgers0-1	-0.6pts	T137	0-1	0-1	48	T74	78	96	67	61	66	+83
73	San Diego State1-0	-0.6pts	127	1-0	0-1	68	T54	66	63	68	69	69	+59
74	Colorado1-0	-0.6pts	49	1-0	1-0	87	T47	69	47	64	75	83	-30
75	Purdue1-0	-1.0pts	105	1-0	0-1	64	T80	79	73	65	78	85	+34
76	Tulane0-1	-1.2pts	92	0-1	0-1	86	T54	61	66	78	70	47	+10
77	Boston College0-1	-1.5pts	76	0-1	0-1	66	T80	83	85	74	80	94	+2
78	UTSA1-0	-1.7pts	98	1-0	1-0	76	T87	75	82	72	73	63	+17
79	Air Force1-0	-1.8pts	57	1-0	1-0	73	T80	86	90	85	86	82	-19
80	Fresno State0-1	-1.9pts	130	0-1	0-1	47	T87	85	97	87	79	73	+64
81	East Carolina0-1	-2.9pts	102	0-1	0-1	94	T54	77	80	84	71	57	+16
82	Northwestern1-0	-3.4pts	77	1-0	1-0	119	T54	49	57	42	54	46	-26
83	Old Dominion1-0	-3.4pts	134	1-0	0-1	80	T54	84	92	90	83	67	+56
84	Kennesaw State1-0	-3.5pts	12	1-0	1-0	77	T87	102	89	101	113	105	-72
85	Texas State0-1	-3.5pts	95	0-1	0-1	81	T54	90	103	83	85	99	+15
86	Toledo0-1	-3.6pts	80	0-1	0-0-1	83	T76	89	83	95	81	111	-3
87	Stanford1-1	-3.9pts	72	1-1	1-1	104	T80	76	87	71	72	56	-24
88	Louisiana Tech1-0	-4.2pts	28	1-0	1-0	85	T104	92	91	89	99	100	-62
89	North Texas0-1	-4.9pts	13	0-1	1-0	100	T87	88	93	88	87	93	-84
90	Liberty0-1	-5.0pts	66	0-1	0-1	88	T87	94	101	91	95	101	-21
91	Washington State0-1	-5.1pts	48	0-1	1-0	112	T80	82	84	79	67	97	-53
92	Georgia Southern1-0	-5.1pts	42	1-0	1-0	82	T87	112	104	108	106	110	-43
93	Western Michigan0-1	-5.2pts	8	0-1	1-0	120	T87	80	70	82	89	75	-107
94	Hawai'i0-2	-5.3pts	103	0-2	0-2	91	T87	87	95	93	91	81	+12
95	Delaware1-0	-5.6pts	64	1-0	1-0	89	T87	107	86	106	119	113	-25
96	Tulsa1-0	-5.9pts	10	1-0	1-0	105	T104	91	81	86	101	109	-94
97	Louisiana1-0	-6.2pts	36	1-0	1-0	101	T87	95	94	98	102	95	-62
98	App State1-0	-6.3pts	4	1-0	1-0	108	T104	97	88	97	107	102	-103
99	UConn1-0	-6.4pts	T1	1-0	1-0	107	T104	101	100	92	104	103	-105
100	Jacksonville State1-1	-6.4pts	83	1-1	1-1	92	T87	106	108	99	110	96	-9
101	Marshall0-1	-6.6pts	123	0-1	0-1	84	T104	108	121	102	96	98	+35
102	Troy1-0	-6.6pts	116	1-0	0-1	93	T87	99	105	109	97	89	+23
103	Ohio0-1	-7.1pts	85	0-1	0-1	103	T80	109	107	112	98	104	-10
104	Miami (OH)0-1	-7.4pts	135	0-1	0-1	96	T87	96	117	110	88	90	+41
105	San José State1-1	-7.7pts	26	1-1	2-0	102	T113	115	109	105	108	127	-79
106	Florida International0-1	-7.7pts	17	0-1	1-0	98	T113	117	115	115	124	114	-85
107	Southern Miss1-0	-7.8pts	11	1-0	1-0	118	T87	114	77	122	127	123	-101
108	Rice1-0	-7.9pts	52	1-0	1-0	95	T113	119	116	119	126	112	-47
109	Arkansas State0-1	-8.4pts	91	0-1	0-1	109	T104	110	111	114	111	91	-17
110	Temple1-0	-8.5pts	67	1-0	1-0	124	T104	93	99	96	105	84	-56
111	Colorado State1-0	-8.5pts	22	1-0	1-0	T115	T113	111	102	100	109	115	-97
112	Nevada1-0	-8.7pts	5	1-0	1-0	130	T113	104	79	104	117	120	-124
113	Florida Atlantic0-1	-8.8pts	106	0-1	0-1	110	T113	105	124	103	100	88	-7
114	Georgia State1-0	-8.9pts	T24	1-0	1-0	90	T127	130	119	124	134	134	-76
115	South Alabama1-0	-9.1pts	43	1-0	1-0	122	T104	113	106	107	112	106	-78
116	Utah State0-1	-9.1pts	111	0-1	0-1	121	T87	103	110	117	94	92	-6
117	Oregon State0-1	-9.3pts	51	0-1	1-0	131	T87	98	98	94	92	117	-76
118	Eastern Michigan1-1	-9.3pts	93	1-1	1-1	97	T127	118	126	118	114	108	-16
119	Western Kentucky0-1	-9.6pts	136	0-1	0-1	126	T80	100	114	111	93	87	+20
120	New Mexico State1-1	-9.6pts	35	1-1	2-0	111	T127	122	120	116	121	128	-83
121	Coastal Carolina0-1	-9.9pts	19	0-1	1-0	128	T113	116	113	113	115	118	-109
122	Central Michigan0-1	-10.5pts	119	0-1	0-1	113	T113	121	130	121	118	107	+5
123	Wyoming0-1	-10.8pts	118	0-1	0-1	T115	T113	120	132	120	103	116	-1
124	UAB0-1	-11.0pts	14	0-1	1-0	129	T127	125	122	123	125	121	-117
125	Sacramento State1-1	-11.0pts	71	1-1	1-1	106	T113	132	134	129	129	137	-39
126	Buffalo1-0	-11.0pts	112	1-0	0-1	123	T104	124	118	130	116	122	-10
127	Ball State0-1	-11.5pts	89	0-1	0-1	99	T127	134	135	135	132	130	-22
128	Middle Tennessee1-0	-11.6pts	88	1-0	1-0	114	T127	129	125	131	130	132	-36
129	Missouri State0-1	-11.8pts	110	0-1	0-1	127	T113	126	127	128	123	125	-16
130	UTEP0-1	-12.9pts	65	0-1	0-1	125	T127	131	136	132	128	133	-65
131	Northern Illinois0-1	-13.0pts	109	0-1	0-1	132	T113	127	133	127	122	126	-23
132	Charlotte0-1	-13.9pts	114	0-1	0-1	117	T127	138	131	138	135	135	-11
133	Akron0-1	-14.5pts	69	0-1	1-0	134	T127	128	129	126	133	124	-65
134	Bowling Green0-1	-14.8pts	104	0-1	0-1	137	T113	123	123	125	120	119	-32
135	Massachusetts1-0	-15.2pts	T1	1-0	1-0	138	T113	136	112	137	138	138	-136
136	Kent State0-1	-15.6pts	125	0-1	0-1	133	T127	133	137	136	131	129	-8
137	Sam Houston0-1	-16.1pts	29	0-1	1-0	136	T127	135	128	133	136	136	-109
138	UL Monroe0-1	-17.8pts	131	0-1	0-1	135	T127	137	138	134	137	131	-4

Results 6.7%Betting markets 54.4%Analytics models 38.9%

1Ohio State · 1-0+21.5pts
~~vs Expected~~60~~Lines~~4~~Futures~~1~~Models~~1~~FPI~~2~~Sagarin~~1F+1~~DRatings~~3
Results #60 · market #3 · models #1 · results vs market +57
2Notre Dame · 1-0+21.0pts
~~vs Expected~~86~~Lines~~2~~Futures~~2~~Models~~2~~FPI~~3~~Sagarin~~2F+4~~DRatings~~4
Results #86 · market #2 · models #2 · results vs market +84
3Oregon · 1-0+20.7pts
~~vs Expected~~100~~Lines~~1~~Futures~~T6~~Models~~4~~FPI~~8~~Sagarin~~3F+2~~DRatings~~2
Results #100 · market #1 · models #4 · results vs market +99
4Texas · 1-0+20.4pts
~~vs Expected~~50~~Lines~~3~~Futures~~3~~Models~~5~~FPI~~1~~Sagarin~~5F+6~~DRatings~~5
Results #50 · market #4 · models #5 · results vs market +46
5LSU · 1-0+18.1pts
~~vs Expected~~T1~~Lines~~5~~Futures~~8~~Models~~10~~FPI~~7~~Sagarin~~8F+18~~DRatings~~13
Results #1 · market #5 · models #10 · results vs market -4
6Indiana · 1-0+17.8pts
~~vs Expected~~128~~Lines~~7~~Futures~~T6~~Models~~3~~FPI~~6~~Sagarin~~4F+5~~DRatings~~1
Results #128 · market #6 · models #3 · results vs market +122
7Georgia · 1-0+15.6pts
~~vs Expected~~34~~Lines~~23~~Futures~~4~~Models~~6~~FPI~~5~~Sagarin~~6F+3~~DRatings~~7
Results #34 · market #16 · models #6 · results vs market +18
8Miami · 1-0+15.4pts
~~vs Expected~~47~~Lines~~21~~Futures~~5~~Models~~7~~FPI~~4~~Sagarin~~7F+7~~DRatings~~6
Results #47 · market #14 · models #7 · results vs market +33
9USC · 2-0+15.3pts
~~vs Expected~~73~~Lines~~6~~Futures~~14~~Models~~14~~FPI~~13~~Sagarin~~19F+16~~DRatings~~15
Results #73 · market #7 · models #14 · results vs market +66
10Alabama · 1-0+15.2pts
~~vs Expected~~44~~Lines~~9~~Futures~~T10~~Models~~8~~FPI~~9~~Sagarin~~11F+9~~DRatings~~11
Results #44 · market #9 · models #8 · results vs market +35
11Texas A&M · 1-0+14.7pts
~~vs Expected~~33~~Lines~~12~~Futures~~T10~~Models~~12~~FPI~~10~~Sagarin~~9F+10~~DRatings~~14
Results #33 · market #10 · models #12 · results vs market +23
12Oklahoma · 1-0+14.6pts
~~vs Expected~~84~~Lines~~8~~Futures~~13~~Models~~11~~FPI~~11~~Sagarin~~10F+13~~DRatings~~10
Results #84 · market #8 · models #11 · results vs market +76
13Ole Miss · 1-0+13.9pts
~~vs Expected~~90~~Lines~~11~~Futures~~12~~Models~~13~~FPI~~16~~Sagarin~~12F+11~~DRatings~~9
Results #90 · market #11 · models #13 · results vs market +79
14Penn State · 1-0+13.6pts
~~vs Expected~~16~~Lines~~13~~Futures~~15~~Models~~16~~FPI~~14~~Sagarin~~16F+14~~DRatings~~24
Results #16 · market #13 · models #16 · results vs market +3
15SMU · 1-0+12.3pts
~~vs Expected~~32~~Lines~~10~~Futures~~T21~~Models~~23~~FPI~~20~~Sagarin~~25F+32~~DRatings~~21
Results #32 · market #12 · models #23 · results vs market +20
16Florida · 1-0+12.2pts
~~vs Expected~~41~~Lines~~16~~Futures~~17~~Models~~19~~FPI~~17~~Sagarin~~14F+24~~DRatings~~20
Results #41 · market #17 · models #19 · results vs market +24
17Texas Tech · 1-0+11.1pts
~~vs Expected~~124~~Lines~~24~~Futures~~9~~Models~~9~~FPI~~12~~Sagarin~~13F+8~~DRatings~~8
Results #124 · market #23 · models #9 · results vs market +101
18Iowa · 1-0+11.0pts
~~vs Expected~~38~~Lines~~17~~Futures~~27~~Models~~21~~FPI~~26~~Sagarin~~20F+20~~DRatings~~19
Results #38 · market #18 · models #21 · results vs market +20
19Michigan · 1-0+10.3pts
~~vs Expected~~132~~Lines~~22~~Futures~~18~~Models~~15~~FPI~~21~~Sagarin~~15F+12~~DRatings~~16
Results #132 · market #20 · models #15 · results vs market +112
20Washington · 1-0+10.2pts
~~vs Expected~~97~~Lines~~19~~Futures~~T24~~Models~~20~~FPI~~30~~Sagarin~~18F+17~~DRatings~~18
Results #97 · market #19 · models #20 · results vs market +78
21Auburn · 1-0+10.1pts
~~vs Expected~~101~~Lines~~14~~Futures~~T19~~Models~~25~~FPI~~27~~Sagarin~~23F+26~~DRatings~~33
Results #101 · market #15 · models #25 · results vs market +86
22South Carolina · 1-0+9.9pts
~~vs Expected~~15~~Lines~~20~~Futures~~T24~~Models~~29~~FPI~~15~~Sagarin~~21F+29~~DRatings~~70
Results #15 · market #21 · models #29 · results vs market -6
23Tennessee · 1-0+9.7pts
~~vs Expected~~82~~Lines~~28~~Futures~~16~~Models~~17~~FPI~~18~~Sagarin~~17F+15~~DRatings~~23
Results #82 · market #24 · models #17 · results vs market +58
24Utah · 1-0+8.8pts
~~vs Expected~~37~~Lines~~34~~Futures~~T21~~Models~~22~~FPI~~24~~Sagarin~~27F+19~~DRatings~~17
Results #37 · market #29 · models #22 · results vs market +8
25BYU · 1-0+8.3pts
~~vs Expected~~87~~Lines~~41~~Futures~~T19~~Models~~18~~FPI~~19~~Sagarin~~22F+21~~DRatings~~12
Results #87 · market #33 · models #18 · results vs market +54
26Pittsburgh · 1-0+8.1pts
~~vs Expected~~6~~Lines~~30~~Futures~~T34~~Models~~30~~FPI~~22~~Sagarin~~32F+36~~DRatings~~38
Results #6 · market #32 · models #30 · results vs market -26
27Nebraska · 1-0+7.6pts
~~vs Expected~~63~~Lines~~25~~Futures~~40~~Models~~28~~FPI~~23~~Sagarin~~29F+35~~DRatings~~31
Results #63 · market #27 · models #28 · results vs market +36
28Clemson · 0-1+7.4pts
~~vs Expected~~T137~~Lines~~18~~Futures~~T37~~Models~~32~~FPI~~42~~Sagarin~~35F+23~~DRatings~~34
Results #137 · market #22 · models #32 · results vs market +115
29Virginia Tech · 1-0+6.9pts
~~vs Expected~~39~~Lines~~27~~Futures~~T31~~Models~~37~~FPI~~31~~Sagarin~~40F+56~~DRatings~~30
Results #39 · market #28 · models #37 · results vs market +11
30Vanderbilt · 1-0+6.8pts
~~vs Expected~~99~~Lines~~26~~Futures~~28~~Models~~33~~FPI~~35~~Sagarin~~37F+25~~DRatings~~39
Results #99 · market #26 · models #33 · results vs market +73
31Louisville · 0-1+6.8pts
~~vs Expected~~59~~Lines~~39~~Futures~~26~~Models~~27~~FPI~~28~~Sagarin~~26F+30~~DRatings~~25
Results #59 · market #38 · models #27 · results vs market +21
32Virginia · 1-0+6.7pts
~~vs Expected~~7~~Lines~~46~~Futures~~T31~~Models~~26~~FPI~~25~~Sagarin~~39F+28~~DRatings~~22
Results #7 · market #42 · models #26 · results vs market -35
33Missouri · 1-0+6.7pts
~~vs Expected~~117~~Lines~~37~~Futures~~T21~~Models~~24~~FPI~~29~~Sagarin~~24F+22~~DRatings~~29
Results #117 · market #31 · models #24 · results vs market +86
34Kansas State · 1-0+6.6pts
~~vs Expected~~20~~Lines~~42~~Futures~~T34~~Models~~31~~FPI~~32~~Sagarin~~36F+27~~DRatings~~26
Results #20 · market #39 · models #31 · results vs market -19
35Mississippi State · 1-0+6.3pts
~~vs Expected~~9~~Lines~~33~~Futures~~T42~~Models~~42~~FPI~~33~~Sagarin~~38F+45~~DRatings~~55
Results #9 · market #37 · models #42 · results vs market -28
36Florida State · 1-1+6.2pts
~~vs Expected~~115~~Lines~~15~~Futures~~79~~Models~~43~~FPI~~37~~Sagarin~~49F+34~~DRatings~~53
Results #115 · market #25 · models #43 · results vs market +90
37UCLA · 1-0+5.8pts
~~vs Expected~~40~~Lines~~31~~Futures~~41~~Models~~45~~FPI~~46~~Sagarin~~30F+53~~DRatings~~43
Results #40 · market #35 · models #45 · results vs market +5
38Illinois · 1-0+5.7pts
~~vs Expected~~126~~Lines~~29~~Futures~~T37~~Models~~34~~FPI~~45~~Sagarin~~33F+31~~DRatings~~27
Results #126 · market #30 · models #34 · results vs market +96
39Houston · 1-0+5.4pts
~~vs Expected~~94~~Lines~~35~~Futures~~T29~~Models~~39~~FPI~~41~~Sagarin~~43F+43~~DRatings~~32
Results #94 · market #34 · models #39 · results vs market +60
40Arizona State · 1-0+5.2pts
~~vs Expected~~27~~Lines~~49~~Futures~~T29~~Models~~36~~FPI~~36~~Sagarin~~41F+40~~DRatings~~36
Results #27 · market #43 · models #36 · results vs market -16
41TCU · 0-1+4.9pts
~~vs Expected~~113~~Lines~~32~~Futures~~T42~~Models~~41~~FPI~~48~~Sagarin~~45F+37~~DRatings~~37
Results #113 · market #36 · models #41 · results vs market +77
42Arizona · 1-0+3.9pts
~~vs Expected~~75~~Lines~~61~~Futures~~T31~~Models~~35~~FPI~~39~~Sagarin~~44F+33~~DRatings~~28
Results #75 · market #49 · models #35 · results vs market +26
43Baylor · 0-1+3.9pts
~~vs Expected~~45~~Lines~~43~~Futures~~T54~~Models~~46~~FPI~~38~~Sagarin~~47F+50~~DRatings~~51
Results #45 · market #46 · models #46 · results vs market -1
44Minnesota · 1-0+3.7pts
~~vs Expected~~55~~Lines~~53~~Futures~~T44~~Models~~44~~FPI~~59~~Sagarin~~31F+41~~DRatings~~40
Results #55 · market #48 · models #44 · results vs market +7
45Boise State · 0-1+3.6pts
~~vs Expected~~46~~Lines~~51~~Futures~~T37~~Models~~48~~FPI~~34~~Sagarin~~58F+48~~DRatings~~58
Results #46 · market #47 · models #48 · results vs market -1
46Wake Forest · 1-0+3.6pts
~~vs Expected~~78~~Lines~~36~~Futures~~T74~~Models~~51~~FPI~~52~~Sagarin~~56F+52~~DRatings~~42
Results #78 · market #40 · models #51 · results vs market +38
47Duke · 1-0+3.5pts
~~vs Expected~~54~~Lines~~44~~Futures~~T47~~Models~~50~~FPI~~50~~Sagarin~~54F+47~~DRatings~~48
Results #54 · market #44 · models #50 · results vs market +10
48Maryland · 1-0+3.2pts
~~vs Expected~~23~~Lines~~45~~Futures~~T76~~Models~~52~~FPI~~56~~Sagarin~~48F+55~~DRatings~~54
Results #23 · market #51 · models #52 · results vs market -28
49Wisconsin · 0-1+3.1pts
~~vs Expected~~62~~Lines~~59~~Futures~~T54~~Models~~38~~FPI~~53~~Sagarin~~28F+44~~DRatings~~35
Results #62 · market #59 · models #38 · results vs market +3
50Kentucky · 1-0+2.9pts
~~vs Expected~~53~~Lines~~74~~Futures~~36~~Models~~40~~FPI~~40~~Sagarin~~34F+39~~DRatings~~49
Results #53 · market #61 · models #40 · results vs market -8
51UCF · 1-0+2.5pts
~~vs Expected~~31~~Lines~~54~~Futures~~T47~~Models~~59~~FPI~~49~~Sagarin~~52F+62~~DRatings~~77
Results #31 · market #50 · models #59 · results vs market -19
52Michigan State · 1-0+2.5pts
~~vs Expected~~68~~Lines~~38~~Futures~~T76~~Models~~60~~FPI~~62~~Sagarin~~59F+63~~DRatings~~74
Results #68 · market #45 · models #60 · results vs market +23
53Cincinnati · 1-0+2.2pts
~~vs Expected~~74~~Lines~~50~~Futures~~T54~~Models~~54~~FPI~~43~~Sagarin~~60F+51~~DRatings~~68
Results #74 · market #52 · models #54 · results vs market +22
54North Carolina · 1-0+1.9pts
~~vs Expected~~30~~Lines~~69~~Futures~~46~~Models~~53~~FPI~~44~~Sagarin~~57F+58~~DRatings~~62
Results #30 · market #65 · models #53 · results vs market -35
55Army · 1-0+1.9pts
~~vs Expected~~18~~Lines~~52~~Futures~~T54~~Models~~74~~FPI~~74~~Sagarin~~69F+77~~DRatings~~64
Results #18 · market #53 · models #74 · results vs market -35
56West Virginia · 1-0+1.8pts
~~vs Expected~~120~~Lines~~40~~Futures~~T47~~Models~~67~~FPI~~69~~Sagarin~~62F+76~~DRatings~~60
Results #120 · market #41 · models #67 · results vs market +79
57Kansas · 1-0+1.6pts
~~vs Expected~~61~~Lines~~67~~Futures~~T44~~Models~~57~~FPI~~51~~Sagarin~~50F+46~~DRatings~~78
Results #61 · market #60 · models #57 · results vs market +1
58NC State · 0-1+0.8pts
~~vs Expected~~133~~Lines~~56~~Futures~~T54~~Models~~56~~FPI~~71~~Sagarin~~53F+60~~DRatings~~41
Results #133 · market #56 · models #56 · results vs market +77
59Syracuse · 1-0+0.6pts
~~vs Expected~~T24~~Lines~~60~~Futures~~T87~~Models~~71~~FPI~~54~~Sagarin~~61F+82~~DRatings~~76
Results #24 · market #72 · models #71 · results vs market -48
60Navy · 1-0+0.6pts
~~vs Expected~~79~~Lines~~65~~Futures~~T47~~Models~~68~~FPI~~67~~Sagarin~~76F+64~~DRatings~~65
Results #79 · market #62 · models #68 · results vs market +17
61California · 0-1+0.6pts
~~vs Expected~~108~~Lines~~63~~Futures~~T54~~Models~~58~~FPI~~78~~Sagarin~~55F+65~~DRatings~~44
Results #108 · market #64 · models #58 · results vs market +44
62New Mexico · 1-0+0.6pts
~~vs Expected~~21~~Lines~~75~~Futures~~T54~~Models~~72~~FPI~~64~~Sagarin~~73F+84~~DRatings~~61
Results #21 · market #73 · models #72 · results vs market -52
63North Dakota State · 2-0+0.5pts
~~vs Expected~~56~~Lines~~58~~Futures~~T54~~Models~~81~~FPI~~65~~Sagarin~~70F+90~~DRatings~~86
Results #56 · market #58 · models #81 · results vs market -2
64Iowa State · 1-0+0.3pts
~~vs Expected~~107~~Lines~~62~~Futures~~T54~~Models~~63~~FPI~~68~~Sagarin~~66F+49~~DRatings~~80
Results #107 · market #63 · models #63 · results vs market +44
65Oklahoma State · 0-1+0.3pts
~~vs Expected~~129~~Lines~~55~~Futures~~T54~~Models~~65~~FPI~~72~~Sagarin~~63F+66~~DRatings~~71
Results #129 · market #55 · models #65 · results vs market +74
66Arkansas · 1-0+0.3pts
~~vs Expected~~121~~Lines~~71~~Futures~~T47~~Models~~55~~FPI~~60~~Sagarin~~51F+38~~DRatings~~79
Results #121 · market #67 · models #55 · results vs market +54
67UNLV · 1-1+0.3pts
~~vs Expected~~70~~Lines~~72~~Futures~~T54~~Models~~62~~FPI~~58~~Sagarin~~77F+74~~DRatings~~50
Results #70 · market #70 · models #62 · results vs market 0
68South Florida · 1-0+0.2pts
~~vs Expected~~122~~Lines~~57~~Futures~~T54~~Models~~73~~FPI~~75~~Sagarin~~81F+68~~DRatings~~59
Results #122 · market #57 · models #73 · results vs market +65
69Georgia Tech · 0-1+0.1pts
~~vs Expected~~96~~Lines~~79~~Futures~~T54~~Models~~47~~FPI~~55~~Sagarin~~46F+42~~DRatings~~45
Results #96 · market #77 · models #47 · results vs market +19
70Memphis · 2-0-0.0pts
~~vs Expected~~58~~Lines~~78~~Futures~~53~~Models~~64~~FPI~~61~~Sagarin~~75F+57~~DRatings~~72
Results #58 · market #75 · models #64 · results vs market -17
71James Madison · 1-0-0.0pts
~~vs Expected~~81~~Lines~~70~~Futures~~T54~~Models~~70~~FPI~~76~~Sagarin~~80F+59~~DRatings~~52
Results #81 · market #69 · models #70 · results vs market +12
72Rutgers · 0-1-0.6pts
~~vs Expected~~T137~~Lines~~48~~Futures~~T74~~Models~~78~~FPI~~96~~Sagarin~~67F+61~~DRatings~~66
Results #137 · market #54 · models #78 · results vs market +83
73San Diego State · 1-0-0.6pts
~~vs Expected~~127~~Lines~~68~~Futures~~T54~~Models~~66~~FPI~~63~~Sagarin~~68F+69~~DRatings~~69
Results #127 · market #68 · models #66 · results vs market +59
74Colorado · 1-0-0.6pts
~~vs Expected~~49~~Lines~~87~~Futures~~T47~~Models~~69~~FPI~~47~~Sagarin~~64F+75~~DRatings~~83
Results #49 · market #79 · models #69 · results vs market -30
75Purdue · 1-0-1.0pts
~~vs Expected~~105~~Lines~~64~~Futures~~T80~~Models~~79~~FPI~~73~~Sagarin~~65F+78~~DRatings~~85
Results #105 · market #71 · models #79 · results vs market +34
76Tulane · 0-1-1.2pts
~~vs Expected~~92~~Lines~~86~~Futures~~T54~~Models~~61~~FPI~~66~~Sagarin~~78F+70~~DRatings~~47
Results #92 · market #82 · models #61 · results vs market +10
77Boston College · 0-1-1.5pts
~~vs Expected~~76~~Lines~~66~~Futures~~T80~~Models~~83~~FPI~~85~~Sagarin~~74F+80~~DRatings~~94
Results #76 · market #74 · models #83 · results vs market +2
78UTSA · 1-0-1.7pts
~~vs Expected~~98~~Lines~~76~~Futures~~T87~~Models~~75~~FPI~~82~~Sagarin~~72F+73~~DRatings~~63
Results #98 · market #81 · models #75 · results vs market +17
79Air Force · 1-0-1.8pts
~~vs Expected~~57~~Lines~~73~~Futures~~T80~~Models~~86~~FPI~~90~~Sagarin~~85F+86~~DRatings~~82
Results #57 · market #76 · models #86 · results vs market -19
80Fresno State · 0-1-1.9pts
~~vs Expected~~130~~Lines~~47~~Futures~~T87~~Models~~85~~FPI~~97~~Sagarin~~87F+79~~DRatings~~73
Results #130 · market #66 · models #85 · results vs market +64
81East Carolina · 0-1-2.9pts
~~vs Expected~~102~~Lines~~94~~Futures~~T54~~Models~~77~~FPI~~80~~Sagarin~~84F+71~~DRatings~~57
Results #102 · market #86 · models #77 · results vs market +16
82Northwestern · 1-0-3.4pts
~~vs Expected~~77~~Lines~~119~~Futures~~T54~~Models~~49~~FPI~~57~~Sagarin~~42F+54~~DRatings~~46
Results #77 · market #103 · models #49 · results vs market -26
83Old Dominion · 1-0-3.4pts
~~vs Expected~~134~~Lines~~80~~Futures~~T54~~Models~~84~~FPI~~92~~Sagarin~~90F+83~~DRatings~~67
Results #134 · market #78 · models #84 · results vs market +56
84Kennesaw State · 1-0-3.5pts
~~vs Expected~~12~~Lines~~77~~Futures~~T87~~Models~~102~~FPI~~89~~Sagarin~~101F+113~~DRatings~~105
Results #12 · market #84 · models #102 · results vs market -72
85Texas State · 0-1-3.5pts
~~vs Expected~~95~~Lines~~81~~Futures~~T54~~Models~~90~~FPI~~103~~Sagarin~~83F+85~~DRatings~~99
Results #95 · market #80 · models #90 · results vs market +15
86Toledo · 0-1-3.6pts
~~vs Expected~~80~~Lines~~83~~Futures~~T76~~Models~~89~~FPI~~83~~Sagarin~~95F+81~~DRatings~~111
Results #80 · market #83 · models #89 · results vs market -3
87Stanford · 1-1-3.9pts
~~vs Expected~~72~~Lines~~104~~Futures~~T80~~Models~~76~~FPI~~87~~Sagarin~~71F+72~~DRatings~~56
Results #72 · market #96 · models #76 · results vs market -24
88Louisiana Tech · 1-0-4.2pts
~~vs Expected~~28~~Lines~~85~~Futures~~T104~~Models~~92~~FPI~~91~~Sagarin~~89F+99~~DRatings~~100
Results #28 · market #90 · models #92 · results vs market -62
89North Texas · 0-1-4.9pts
~~vs Expected~~13~~Lines~~100~~Futures~~T87~~Models~~88~~FPI~~93~~Sagarin~~88F+87~~DRatings~~93
Results #13 · market #97 · models #88 · results vs market -84
90Liberty · 0-1-5.0pts
~~vs Expected~~66~~Lines~~88~~Futures~~T87~~Models~~94~~FPI~~101~~Sagarin~~91F+95~~DRatings~~101
Results #66 · market #87 · models #94 · results vs market -21
91Washington State · 0-1-5.1pts
~~vs Expected~~48~~Lines~~112~~Futures~~T80~~Models~~82~~FPI~~84~~Sagarin~~79F+67~~DRatings~~97
Results #48 · market #101 · models #82 · results vs market -53
92Georgia Southern · 1-0-5.1pts
~~vs Expected~~42~~Lines~~82~~Futures~~T87~~Models~~112~~FPI~~104~~Sagarin~~108F+106~~DRatings~~110
Results #42 · market #85 · models #112 · results vs market -43
93Western Michigan · 0-1-5.2pts
~~vs Expected~~8~~Lines~~120~~Futures~~T87~~Models~~80~~FPI~~70~~Sagarin~~82F+89~~DRatings~~75
Results #8 · market #115 · models #80 · results vs market -107
94Hawai'i · 0-2-5.3pts
~~vs Expected~~103~~Lines~~91~~Futures~~T87~~Models~~87~~FPI~~95~~Sagarin~~93F+91~~DRatings~~81
Results #103 · market #91 · models #87 · results vs market +12
95Delaware · 1-0-5.6pts
~~vs Expected~~64~~Lines~~89~~Futures~~T87~~Models~~107~~FPI~~86~~Sagarin~~106F+119~~DRatings~~113
Results #64 · market #89 · models #107 · results vs market -25
96Tulsa · 1-0-5.9pts
~~vs Expected~~10~~Lines~~105~~Futures~~T104~~Models~~91~~FPI~~81~~Sagarin~~86F+101~~DRatings~~109
Results #10 · market #104 · models #91 · results vs market -94
97Louisiana · 1-0-6.2pts
~~vs Expected~~36~~Lines~~101~~Futures~~T87~~Models~~95~~FPI~~94~~Sagarin~~98F+102~~DRatings~~95
Results #36 · market #98 · models #95 · results vs market -62
98App State · 1-0-6.3pts
~~vs Expected~~4~~Lines~~108~~Futures~~T104~~Models~~97~~FPI~~88~~Sagarin~~97F+107~~DRatings~~102
Results #4 · market #107 · models #97 · results vs market -103
99UConn · 1-0-6.4pts
~~vs Expected~~T1~~Lines~~107~~Futures~~T104~~Models~~101~~FPI~~100~~Sagarin~~92F+104~~DRatings~~103
Results #1 · market #106 · models #101 · results vs market -105
100Jacksonville State · 1-1-6.4pts
~~vs Expected~~83~~Lines~~92~~Futures~~T87~~Models~~106~~FPI~~108~~Sagarin~~99F+110~~DRatings~~96
Results #83 · market #92 · models #106 · results vs market -9
101Marshall · 0-1-6.6pts
~~vs Expected~~123~~Lines~~84~~Futures~~T104~~Models~~108~~FPI~~121~~Sagarin~~102F+96~~DRatings~~98
Results #123 · market #88 · models #108 · results vs market +35
102Troy · 1-0-6.6pts
~~vs Expected~~116~~Lines~~93~~Futures~~T87~~Models~~99~~FPI~~105~~Sagarin~~109F+97~~DRatings~~89
Results #116 · market #93 · models #99 · results vs market +23
103Ohio · 0-1-7.1pts
~~vs Expected~~85~~Lines~~103~~Futures~~T80~~Models~~109~~FPI~~107~~Sagarin~~112F+98~~DRatings~~104
Results #85 · market #95 · models #109 · results vs market -10
104Miami (OH) · 0-1-7.4pts
~~vs Expected~~135~~Lines~~96~~Futures~~T87~~Models~~96~~FPI~~117~~Sagarin~~110F+88~~DRatings~~90
Results #135 · market #94 · models #96 · results vs market +41
105San José State · 1-1-7.7pts
~~vs Expected~~26~~Lines~~102~~Futures~~T113~~Models~~115~~FPI~~109~~Sagarin~~105F+108~~DRatings~~127
Results #26 · market #105 · models #115 · results vs market -79
106Florida International · 0-1-7.7pts
~~vs Expected~~17~~Lines~~98~~Futures~~T113~~Models~~117~~FPI~~115~~Sagarin~~115F+124~~DRatings~~114
Results #17 · market #102 · models #117 · results vs market -85
107Southern Miss · 1-0-7.8pts
~~vs Expected~~11~~Lines~~118~~Futures~~T87~~Models~~114~~FPI~~77~~Sagarin~~122F+127~~DRatings~~123
Results #11 · market #112 · models #114 · results vs market -101
108Rice · 1-0-7.9pts
~~vs Expected~~52~~Lines~~95~~Futures~~T113~~Models~~119~~FPI~~116~~Sagarin~~119F+126~~DRatings~~112
Results #52 · market #99 · models #119 · results vs market -47
109Arkansas State · 0-1-8.4pts
~~vs Expected~~91~~Lines~~109~~Futures~~T104~~Models~~110~~FPI~~111~~Sagarin~~114F+111~~DRatings~~91
Results #91 · market #108 · models #110 · results vs market -17
110Temple · 1-0-8.5pts
~~vs Expected~~67~~Lines~~124~~Futures~~T104~~Models~~93~~FPI~~99~~Sagarin~~96F+105~~DRatings~~84
Results #67 · market #123 · models #93 · results vs market -56
111Colorado State · 1-0-8.5pts
~~vs Expected~~22~~Lines~~T115~~Futures~~T113~~Models~~111~~FPI~~102~~Sagarin~~100F+109~~DRatings~~115
Results #22 · market #119 · models #111 · results vs market -97
112Nevada · 1-0-8.7pts
~~vs Expected~~5~~Lines~~130~~Futures~~T113~~Models~~104~~FPI~~79~~Sagarin~~104F+117~~DRatings~~120
Results #5 · market #129 · models #104 · results vs market -124
113Florida Atlantic · 0-1-8.8pts
~~vs Expected~~106~~Lines~~110~~Futures~~T113~~Models~~105~~FPI~~124~~Sagarin~~103F+100~~DRatings~~88
Results #106 · market #113 · models #105 · results vs market -7
114Georgia State · 1-0-8.9pts
~~vs Expected~~T24~~Lines~~90~~Futures~~T127~~Models~~130~~FPI~~119~~Sagarin~~124F+134~~DRatings~~134
Results #24 · market #100 · models #130 · results vs market -76
115South Alabama · 1-0-9.1pts
~~vs Expected~~43~~Lines~~122~~Futures~~T104~~Models~~113~~FPI~~106~~Sagarin~~107F+112~~DRatings~~106
Results #43 · market #121 · models #113 · results vs market -78
116Utah State · 0-1-9.1pts
~~vs Expected~~111~~Lines~~121~~Futures~~T87~~Models~~103~~FPI~~110~~Sagarin~~117F+94~~DRatings~~92
Results #111 · market #117 · models #103 · results vs market -6
117Oregon State · 0-1-9.3pts
~~vs Expected~~51~~Lines~~131~~Futures~~T87~~Models~~98~~FPI~~98~~Sagarin~~94F+92~~DRatings~~117
Results #51 · market #127 · models #98 · results vs market -76
118Eastern Michigan · 1-1-9.3pts
~~vs Expected~~93~~Lines~~97~~Futures~~T127~~Models~~118~~FPI~~126~~Sagarin~~118F+114~~DRatings~~108
Results #93 · market #109 · models #118 · results vs market -16
119Western Kentucky · 0-1-9.6pts
~~vs Expected~~136~~Lines~~126~~Futures~~T80~~Models~~100~~FPI~~114~~Sagarin~~111F+93~~DRatings~~87
Results #136 · market #116 · models #100 · results vs market +20
120New Mexico State · 1-1-9.6pts
~~vs Expected~~35~~Lines~~111~~Futures~~T127~~Models~~122~~FPI~~120~~Sagarin~~116F+121~~DRatings~~128
Results #35 · market #118 · models #122 · results vs market -83
121Coastal Carolina · 0-1-9.9pts
~~vs Expected~~19~~Lines~~128~~Futures~~T113~~Models~~116~~FPI~~113~~Sagarin~~113F+115~~DRatings~~118
Results #19 · market #128 · models #116 · results vs market -109
122Central Michigan · 0-1-10.5pts
~~vs Expected~~119~~Lines~~113~~Futures~~T113~~Models~~121~~FPI~~130~~Sagarin~~121F+118~~DRatings~~107
Results #119 · market #114 · models #121 · results vs market +5
123Wyoming · 0-1-10.8pts
~~vs Expected~~118~~Lines~~T115~~Futures~~T113~~Models~~120~~FPI~~132~~Sagarin~~120F+103~~DRatings~~116
Results #118 · market #119 · models #120 · results vs market -1
124UAB · 0-1-11.0pts
~~vs Expected~~14~~Lines~~129~~Futures~~T127~~Models~~125~~FPI~~122~~Sagarin~~123F+125~~DRatings~~121
Results #14 · market #131 · models #125 · results vs market -117
125Sacramento State · 1-1-11.0pts
~~vs Expected~~71~~Lines~~106~~Futures~~T113~~Models~~132~~FPI~~134~~Sagarin~~129F+129~~DRatings~~137
Results #71 · market #110 · models #132 · results vs market -39
126Buffalo · 1-0-11.0pts
~~vs Expected~~112~~Lines~~123~~Futures~~T104~~Models~~124~~FPI~~118~~Sagarin~~130F+116~~DRatings~~122
Results #112 · market #122 · models #124 · results vs market -10
127Ball State · 0-1-11.5pts
~~vs Expected~~89~~Lines~~99~~Futures~~T127~~Models~~134~~FPI~~135~~Sagarin~~135F+132~~DRatings~~130
Results #89 · market #111 · models #134 · results vs market -22
128Middle Tennessee · 1-0-11.6pts
~~vs Expected~~88~~Lines~~114~~Futures~~T127~~Models~~129~~FPI~~125~~Sagarin~~131F+130~~DRatings~~132
Results #88 · market #124 · models #129 · results vs market -36
129Missouri State · 0-1-11.8pts
~~vs Expected~~110~~Lines~~127~~Futures~~T113~~Models~~126~~FPI~~127~~Sagarin~~128F+123~~DRatings~~125
Results #110 · market #126 · models #126 · results vs market -16
130UTEP · 0-1-12.9pts
~~vs Expected~~65~~Lines~~125~~Futures~~T127~~Models~~131~~FPI~~136~~Sagarin~~132F+128~~DRatings~~133
Results #65 · market #130 · models #131 · results vs market -65
131Northern Illinois · 0-1-13.0pts
~~vs Expected~~109~~Lines~~132~~Futures~~T113~~Models~~127~~FPI~~133~~Sagarin~~127F+122~~DRatings~~126
Results #109 · market #132 · models #127 · results vs market -23
132Charlotte · 0-1-13.9pts
~~vs Expected~~114~~Lines~~117~~Futures~~T127~~Models~~138~~FPI~~131~~Sagarin~~138F+135~~DRatings~~135
Results #114 · market #125 · models #138 · results vs market -11
133Akron · 0-1-14.5pts
~~vs Expected~~69~~Lines~~134~~Futures~~T127~~Models~~128~~FPI~~129~~Sagarin~~126F+133~~DRatings~~124
Results #69 · market #134 · models #128 · results vs market -65
134Bowling Green · 0-1-14.8pts
~~vs Expected~~104~~Lines~~137~~Futures~~T113~~Models~~123~~FPI~~123~~Sagarin~~125F+120~~DRatings~~119
Results #104 · market #136 · models #123 · results vs market -32
135Massachusetts · 1-0-15.2pts
~~vs Expected~~T1~~Lines~~138~~Futures~~T113~~Models~~136~~FPI~~112~~Sagarin~~137F+138~~DRatings~~138
Results #1 · market #137 · models #136 · results vs market -136
136Kent State · 0-1-15.6pts
~~vs Expected~~125~~Lines~~133~~Futures~~T127~~Models~~133~~FPI~~137~~Sagarin~~136F+131~~DRatings~~129
Results #125 · market #133 · models #133 · results vs market -8
137Sam Houston · 0-1-16.1pts
~~vs Expected~~29~~Lines~~136~~Futures~~T127~~Models~~135~~FPI~~128~~Sagarin~~133F+136~~DRatings~~136
Results #29 · market #138 · models #135 · results vs market -109
138UL Monroe · 0-1-17.8pts
~~vs Expected~~131~~Lines~~135~~Futures~~T127~~Models~~137~~FPI~~138~~Sagarin~~134F+137~~DRatings~~131
Results #131 · market #135 · models #137 · results vs market -4

column ranks them higher than the composite lower than the composite widest results-versus-market gap— not ranked by that column

How the rating is built. Every team gets a rating in points better than an average FBS team on a neutral field, from each of three pillars, and the composite is their weighted sum. Results is what actually happened, measured one way: how far above or below the closing line’s expectation each game landed, averaged per game. The line already prices the opponent and the site, so a narrow win over a good team counts for more than a rout of a weak one, and playing an extra game earns nothing by itself. Each game is luck-adjusted first, half the scoreboard and half what the yardage says the margin should have been, then capped at 28 points. Margin and wins were removed from this pillar in September because in the first weeks of a season neither can tell a good opponent from a bad one, so between them they mostly counted games played. Read this column as what-you-did-against-expectation, not as who-you-beat. A team that won every game as a heavy favourite can rank low in it, and a team that lost outright as a four-touchdown underdog can rank high. The composite is the place the three pillars argue that out. Betting markets is what money says: a rating fit to the last three weeks of point spreads, blended with the futures boards. Analytics models is what the models say: every live model, placed on the same points scale by its position against the market. Full-season weights are results 40%, markets 35%, models 25%; results phase in over the first 6 weeks because a September record predicts almost nothing, and a pillar with nothing to say this week hands its share to the others. Results carry 6.7% this week and reach 40% after week 6. There are no media rankings and no human polls in the score. Voters anchor on where a team started the season, reward reputation, and see a fraction of the games they rank; the three pillars here are each accountable to something real, a score, a price, or a measurement. Results vs market is the results rank minus the market rank: a large positive number is a team whose record the market does not yet believe, a large negative one is a favourite that keeps losing. A source is excluded from scoring, and shown struck through, when its data is more than 30 days old or when it describes an earlier week than the one this board is built on.

Back to the current college football consensus, or see the NFL consensus rankings.