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College football consensus, week 3

The board as it was published on September 14, 2026, before week 3’s games. It is frozen: every rating, source and column is exactly what readers saw that week, including sources that have since left the board.

ArchiveThis is a past week. The current consensus is rebuilt every week.

College football · FBS · 2026 season · week 3

Consensus, all 138 FBS teams, as published

6 of 6 sources scoring, across 3 pillars
week 3 · built 2026-09-14

			Results · 13.3%			Betting markets · 50.6%		Analytics models · 36.1%
#	Team	Rating	vs Expected13.3%Sep 14	W-LshownSep 14	ATSshownSep 14	Lines37.9%Sep 14	Futures12.6%Sep 14	Models36.1%undated	FPI7.2%Sep 14	Sagarin7.2%Sep 12	FEI7.2%2026, through week 2	SP+7.2%Sep 13	DRatings7.2%Sep 13	Results vs market
1	Notre Dame2-0	+20.6pts	84	2-0	2-0	3	T2	2	3	2	3	3	6	+83
2	Ohio State1-1	+17.9pts	60	1-1	2-0	12	1	1	1	1	1	2	4	+51
3	Miami2-0	+17.8pts	15	2-0	2-0	9	5	6	5	7	9	4	3	+8
4	Texas2-0	+17.3pts	67	2-0	1-1	8	T2	5	2	4	7	6	5	+62
5	USC3-0	+17.3pts	95	3-0	1-2	1	13	11	12	12	8	12	14	+93
6	Georgia2-0	+16.9pts	49	2-0	2-0	14	4	3	4	6	2	1	2	+38
7	Alabama2-0	+16.8pts	23	2-0	2-0	6	12	7	7	10	5	10	12	+17
8	LSU2-0	+16.8pts	7	2-0	1-1	7	7	10	9	9	20	8	11	-1
9	Oregon1-1	+15.5pts	136	1-1	0-2	2	8	9	13	5	12	9	8	+133
10	Oklahoma1-1	+14.5pts	102	1-1	1-1	4	14	12	11	11	14	14	20	+98
11	Texas A&M2-0	+14.5pts	65	2-0	2-0	10	10	8	8	8	11	7	9	+53
12	Penn State2-0	+12.3pts	57	2-0	1-1	11	16	16	14	18	10	16	24	+44
13	Indiana2-0	+12.0pts	125	2-0	0-2	21	6	4	6	3	4	5	1	+109
14	Michigan2-0	+11.6pts	107	2-0	1-1	5	18	19	22	13	16	25	18	+97
15	Tennessee2-0	+11.1pts	82	2-0	1-1	13	15	15	10	17	15	11	25	+68
16	Mississippi State2-0	+9.9pts	2	2-0	2-0	24	T28	32	27	31	29	37	41	-23
17	Pittsburgh2-0	+9.7pts	10	2-0	1-1	17	T33	31	29	32	28	36	33	-9
18	Utah2-0	+9.3pts	17	2-0	2-0	38	T21	17	19	26	6	22	19	-16
19	Florida2-0	+9.2pts	77	2-0	1-1	18	17	18	15	16	26	13	29	+60
20	Ole Miss2-0	+9.1pts	127	2-0	0-2	15	11	14	17	14	13	20	10	+112
21	SMU2-0	+9.1pts	22	2-0	1-0-1	30	T21	21	24	24	32	19	13	-5
22	Kansas State2-0	+8.8pts	6	2-0	2-0	39	T33	25	30	33	19	24	22	-32
23	UCLA2-0	+8.4pts	33	2-0	2-0	19	T33	34	38	30	42	38	34	+10
24	Missouri2-0	+8.1pts	78	2-0	1-1	20	T21	23	26	22	23	21	27	+58
25	Virginia2-0	+7.9pts	27	2-0	2-0	35	T30	29	25	36	35	29	21	-8
26	Nebraska2-0	+7.9pts	24	2-0	2-0	33	T38	30	20	28	33	27	39	-12
27	Auburn2-0	+7.7pts	83	2-0	1-1	22	T19	27	23	23	27	30	30	+61
28	Iowa2-0	+7.7pts	76	2-0	1-1	26	T24	22	32	19	17	26	17	+52
29	South Carolina2-0	+7.6pts	54	2-0	1-1	32	T24	28	21	20	24	17	55	+26
30	BYU2-0	+7.6pts	81	2-0	2-0	37	T19	20	18	21	21	18	15	+52
31	Virginia Tech2-0	+7.3pts	48	2-0	2-0	25	T30	37	31	39	56	28	31	+22
32	Louisville1-1	+6.6pts	56	1-1	2-0	47	T24	24	28	27	25	23	23	+14
33	Texas Tech2-0	+6.2pts	138	2-0	0-2	36	9	13	16	15	18	15	7	+117
34	Washington2-0	+6.1pts	131	2-0	0-2	16	27	26	44	25	22	33	16	+113
35	Cincinnati2-0	+5.6pts	32	2-0	2-0	41	T48	44	34	57	40	45	65	-9
36	TCU1-1	+5.6pts	87	1-1	1-1	28	T43	39	41	47	39	32	40	+53
37	Arizona State1-1	+5.5pts	19	1-1	1-1	50	40	46	47	43	47	43	46	-26
38	Maryland2-0	+5.4pts	9	2-0	2-0	51	T48	49	45	49	50	39	49	-41
39	Baylor1-1	+4.8pts	30	1-1	2-0	46	T48	48	35	48	46	46	57	-16
40	Vanderbilt2-0	+4.7pts	117	2-0	0-2	34	T30	33	39	41	34	35	26	+86
41	Houston2-0	+4.5pts	68	2-0	1-1	64	T28	35	33	35	51	31	36	+20
42	UCF1-1	+4.4pts	53	1-1	2-0	43	T48	56	48	52	60	53	71	+10
43	Boise State1-1	+4.3pts	43	1-1	2-0	65	36	41	36	60	37	48	54	-11
44	North Dakota State3-0	+4.1pts	61	3-0	2-1	29	42	72	66	67	113	57	70	+31
45	Duke2-0	+4.1pts	44	2-0	2-0	60	47	42	40	54	41	49	44	-13
46	Illinois1-1	+4.0pts	124	1-1	0-2	23	T48	38	49	38	30	47	32	+92
47	New Mexico2-0	+4.0pts	16	2-0	2-0	58	T48	58	55	68	79	54	37	-44
48	Arizona1-1	+3.9pts	88	1-1	0-2	61	37	36	43	44	38	34	28	+39
49	NC State1-1	+3.9pts	63	1-1	1-1	49	T48	50	58	46	54	41	42	+16
50	James Madison2-0	+3.3pts	34	2-0	2-0	66	T48	52	68	69	44	58	38	-30
51	Oklahoma State1-1	+3.2pts	59	1-1	1-1	62	T38	57	54	51	71	50	60	+8
52	Michigan State2-0	+3.1pts	36	2-0	1-0-1	55	T70	55	53	59	55	60	67	-26
53	Florida State1-1	+3.1pts	129	1-1	0-1-1	27	T70	40	37	45	36	44	52	+90
54	Clemson1-1	+2.7pts	135	1-1	0-2	31	T43	47	46	40	53	40	53	+98
55	Wisconsin1-1	+2.6pts	115	1-1	0-2	44	T48	51	56	34	43	66	50	+71
56	Kentucky1-1	+2.5pts	93	1-1	1-1	68	41	45	51	37	45	52	47	+32
57	Minnesota1-1	+2.4pts	111	1-1	1-1	40	T48	61	73	42	63	55	74	+71
58	North Carolina2-0	+2.2pts	73	2-0	1-1	54	T48	63	42	61	74	51	82	+18
59	Army1-1	+1.7pts	40	1-1	1-1	53	T76	68	78	74	67	69	64	-28
60	Wake Forest2-0	+1.7pts	96	2-0	0-2	56	T70	54	52	58	49	62	51	+33
61	Syracuse1-1	+1.7pts	18	1-1	1-1	59	T76	74	60	62	85	67	83	-52
62	South Florida2-0	+1.4pts	105	2-0	1-1	52	T48	62	67	77	61	76	35	+53
63	Fresno State1-1	+1.2pts	80	1-1	1-1	42	T76	78	74	82	75	75	63	+27
64	Iowa State1-1	+1.1pts	75	1-1	1-1	75	T48	53	64	65	31	61	59	+3
65	Kansas1-1	+0.9pts	100	1-1	1-1	70	T43	60	62	56	48	56	76	+34
66	Boston College1-1	+0.3pts	74	1-1	1-1	48	T70	86	82	73	86	81	97	+18
67	Western Michigan1-1	+0.1pts	46	1-1	2-0	72	T76	70	65	80	70	78	66	-29
68	West Virginia2-0	+0.0pts	120	2-0	1-1	57	T48	64	61	55	73	63	78	+62
69	Air Force1-1	-0.2pts	62	1-1	1-1	63	T70	85	92	94	87	71	81	-5
70	Georgia Tech0-2	-0.3pts	98	0-2	0-2	76	T70	59	59	50	58	64	69	+22
71	Memphis2-1	-0.4pts	70	2-1	2-1	79	T43	69	69	75	66	70	79	-3
72	California1-1	-0.5pts	112	1-1	1-1	67	T48	77	75	53	81	73	80	+47
73	Northwestern1-0	-1.2pts	86	1-0	1-0	103	T48	43	57	29	59	42	48	-1
74	Purdue1-1	-1.2pts	89	1-1	1-1	71	T76	75	70	66	69	77	89	+15
75	San Diego State1-1	-1.3pts	126	1-1	0-2	69	T48	71	72	72	78	72	68	+57
76	Colorado2-0	-1.4pts	90	2-0	1-1	83	T48	67	50	64	72	59	88	+11
77	Navy1-1	-1.6pts	106	1-1	0-2	73	T48	80	90	79	80	74	72	+35
78	North Texas1-1	-1.9pts	1	1-1	2-0	122	T76	76	63	83	52	107	61	-118
79	Toledo1-1	-1.9pts	47	1-1	1-0-1	78	T76	83	76	86	65	85	96	-34
80	Rutgers0-2	-2.7pts	134	0-2	0-2	45	T76	87	98	70	93	80	119	+75
81	Louisiana1-1	-2.8pts	14	1-1	2-0	85	T76	93	85	93	97	93	90	-69
82	App State2-0	-2.9pts	5	2-0	2-0	89	T98	96	83	96	92	104	93	-87
83	UTSA2-0	-3.5pts	99	2-0	2-0	98	T76	65	80	76	68	65	43	+4
84	Stanford1-1	-3.6pts	69	1-1	1-1	95	T76	79	87	71	88	82	56	-22
85	Tulane1-1	-3.6pts	108	1-1	0-2	100	T48	73	71	78	64	88	58	+22
86	Delaware1-1	-3.7pts	26	1-1	2-0	84	T76	102	81	100	110	108	115	-56
87	Arkansas1-1	-4.2pts	130	1-1	0-2	97	69	66	77	63	57	68	73	+45
88	Colorado State2-0	-4.4pts	11	2-0	2-0	112	T76	94	91	92	96	95	91	-94
89	UNLV1-2	-4.5pts	113	1-2	1-2	80	T98	81	88	90	84	79	45	+29
90	Old Dominion1-1	-4.8pts	123	1-1	0-2	81	T48	88	96	95	83	96	77	+46
91	Georgia Southern1-1	-4.8pts	28	1-1	2-0	92	T98	103	100	106	104	92	107	-68
92	Tulsa2-0	-5.2pts	50	2-0	1-1	101	T98	90	79	89	98	83	105	-53
93	Liberty1-1	-5.2pts	116	1-1	0-2	74	T76	99	108	103	90	102	99	+38
94	Louisiana Tech1-1	-5.2pts	41	1-1	2-0	99	T98	97	94	88	94	86	108	-61
95	East Carolina0-2	-5.3pts	109	0-2	0-2	87	T111	82	84	85	76	94	62	+15
96	Coastal Carolina1-1	-5.3pts	38	1-1	2-0	86	T111	111	111	109	105	109	111	-55
97	San José State2-1	-5.4pts	29	2-1	2-1	82	T111	118	117	110	108	115	131	-59
98	Jacksonville State1-2	-5.7pts	72	1-2	1-2	88	T98	106	106	101	116	98	101	-17
99	Hawai'i1-2	-5.9pts	101	1-2	1-2	94	T76	91	101	99	102	87	75	+11
100	UConn1-1	-6.0pts	31	1-1	1-1	107	T98	107	113	98	106	103	106	-75
101	Florida International1-1	-6.0pts	8	1-1	2-0	110	T111	113	109	115	118	112	120	-105
102	Miami (OH)1-1	-6.1pts	118	1-1	1-1	77	T76	105	112	104	101	91	104	+38
103	Georgia State2-0	-6.2pts	3	2-0	2-0	108	T122	117	107	116	111	134	113	-114
104	Washington State0-2	-6.3pts	97	0-2	1-1	115	T76	84	99	81	62	97	84	-14
105	Temple1-1	-6.3pts	39	1-1	2-0	116	T111	98	93	91	107	89	87	-77
106	Arkansas State1-1	-6.6pts	91	1-1	1-1	93	T98	108	105	108	117	100	94	-6
107	Texas State0-2	-6.8pts	92	0-2	0-2	113	T76	92	103	84	91	90	85	-17
108	South Alabama1-1	-7.0pts	25	1-1	2-0	123	T98	104	102	107	99	110	98	-95
109	Florida Atlantic1-1	-7.1pts	71	1-1	1-1	104	T111	109	115	97	112	106	100	-36
110	Kennesaw State1-1	-7.4pts	79	1-1	1-1	105	T76	114	114	114	122	111	116	-21
111	Oregon State0-2	-7.4pts	4	0-2	2-0	134	T76	95	86	87	82	84	121	-125
112	New Mexico State1-2	-7.9pts	37	1-2	2-1	111	—	122	119	119	128	119	130	-75
113	Utah State0-2	-8.1pts	51	0-2	1-1	128	T76	89	95	102	77	99	86	-76
114	Rice1-1	-8.3pts	64	1-1	1-1	106	T111	121	124	118	130	120	114	-46
115	UTEP1-1	-8.3pts	42	1-1	1-1	90	T122	130	129	127	132	122	132	-59
116	Troy2-0	-8.3pts	114	2-0	0-2	109	T98	100	104	111	95	101	95	+6
117	Marshall1-1	-8.7pts	133	1-1	0-2	96	T98	112	121	112	100	113	92	+35
118	Ohio1-1	-8.8pts	104	1-1	1-1	119	T76	110	110	113	89	114	109	-10
119	UAB1-1	-8.8pts	20	1-1	1-1	118	T122	123	125	125	119	127	127	-101
120	Nevada1-1	-9.0pts	12	1-1	1-1	135	T98	101	89	105	103	105	102	-120
121	Missouri State1-1	-9.3pts	52	1-1	1-1	125	T111	120	118	121	115	124	126	-71
122	Southern Miss1-1	-9.4pts	35	1-1	1-1	127	T111	116	97	120	121	123	123	-91
123	Wyoming1-1	-10.2pts	137	1-1	0-2	91	T111	119	130	122	114	117	110	+38
124	Massachusetts2-0	-10.2pts	21	2-0	2-0	117	T98	135	116	136	136	137	134	-97
125	Akron1-1	-10.2pts	45	1-1	2-0	120	T122	128	127	123	135	129	122	-79
126	Eastern Michigan1-2	-10.7pts	110	1-2	1-2	114	—	125	133	126	126	121	117	-5
127	Central Michigan1-1	-10.8pts	132	1-1	0-2	102	T111	124	134	124	127	125	103	+28
128	Ball State1-1	-12.4pts	66	1-1	1-1	126	T122	132	131	133	131	131	128	-62
129	Buffalo1-1	-12.8pts	119	1-1	0-2	124	T122	127	122	130	124	118	129	-6
130	Middle Tennessee1-1	-13.2pts	58	1-1	2-0	133	T122	131	126	129	123	132	135	-75
131	Western Kentucky0-2	-13.6pts	128	0-2	0-2	129	T122	115	120	117	109	116	125	-2
132	Sam Houston0-2	-14.5pts	13	0-2	2-0	136	—	133	123	132	129	130	138	-123
133	Kent State1-1	-14.6pts	85	1-1	1-1	131	T122	134	136	135	137	133	112	-46
134	Charlotte0-2	-14.6pts	55	0-2	1-1	130	—	136	128	137	133	136	136	-79
135	Sacramento State1-2	-15.2pts	103	1-2	1-2	121	—	138	138	138	138	135	137	-19
136	UL Monroe0-2	-17.7pts	121	0-2	1-1	132	—	137	137	134	134	138	133	-14
137	Northern Illinois0-2	-17.9pts	94	0-2	0-2	138	—	126	132	128	120	126	118	-44
138	Bowling Green0-2	-18.4pts	122	0-2	0-2	137	—	129	135	131	125	128	124	-15

Results 13.3%Betting markets 50.6%Analytics models 36.1%

1Notre Dame · 2-0+20.6pts
~~vs Expected~~84~~Lines~~3~~Futures~~T2~~Models~~2~~FPI~~3~~Sagarin~~2~~FEI~~3~~SP+~~3~~DRatings~~6
Results #84 · market #1 · models #2 · results vs market +83
2Ohio State · 1-1+17.9pts
~~vs Expected~~60~~Lines~~12~~Futures~~1~~Models~~1~~FPI~~1~~Sagarin~~1~~FEI~~1~~SP+~~2~~DRatings~~4
Results #60 · market #9 · models #1 · results vs market +51
3Miami · 2-0+17.8pts
~~vs Expected~~15~~Lines~~9~~Futures~~5~~Models~~6~~FPI~~5~~Sagarin~~7~~FEI~~9~~SP+~~4~~DRatings~~3
Results #15 · market #7 · models #6 · results vs market +8
4Texas · 2-0+17.3pts
~~vs Expected~~67~~Lines~~8~~Futures~~T2~~Models~~5~~FPI~~2~~Sagarin~~4~~FEI~~7~~SP+~~6~~DRatings~~5
Results #67 · market #5 · models #5 · results vs market +62
5USC · 3-0+17.3pts
~~vs Expected~~95~~Lines~~1~~Futures~~13~~Models~~11~~FPI~~12~~Sagarin~~12~~FEI~~8~~SP+~~12~~DRatings~~14
Results #95 · market #2 · models #11 · results vs market +93
6Georgia · 2-0+16.9pts
~~vs Expected~~49~~Lines~~14~~Futures~~4~~Models~~3~~FPI~~4~~Sagarin~~6~~FEI~~2~~SP+~~1~~DRatings~~2
Results #49 · market #11 · models #3 · results vs market +38
7Alabama · 2-0+16.8pts
~~vs Expected~~23~~Lines~~6~~Futures~~12~~Models~~7~~FPI~~7~~Sagarin~~10~~FEI~~5~~SP+~~10~~DRatings~~12
Results #23 · market #6 · models #7 · results vs market +17
8LSU · 2-0+16.8pts
~~vs Expected~~7~~Lines~~7~~Futures~~7~~Models~~10~~FPI~~9~~Sagarin~~9~~FEI~~20~~SP+~~8~~DRatings~~11
Results #7 · market #8 · models #10 · results vs market -1
9Oregon · 1-1+15.5pts
~~vs Expected~~136~~Lines~~2~~Futures~~8~~Models~~9~~FPI~~13~~Sagarin~~5~~FEI~~12~~SP+~~9~~DRatings~~8
Results #136 · market #3 · models #9 · results vs market +133
10Oklahoma · 1-1+14.5pts
~~vs Expected~~102~~Lines~~4~~Futures~~14~~Models~~12~~FPI~~11~~Sagarin~~11~~FEI~~14~~SP+~~14~~DRatings~~20
Results #102 · market #4 · models #12 · results vs market +98
11Texas A&M · 2-0+14.5pts
~~vs Expected~~65~~Lines~~10~~Futures~~10~~Models~~8~~FPI~~8~~Sagarin~~8~~FEI~~11~~SP+~~7~~DRatings~~9
Results #65 · market #12 · models #8 · results vs market +53
12Penn State · 2-0+12.3pts
~~vs Expected~~57~~Lines~~11~~Futures~~16~~Models~~16~~FPI~~14~~Sagarin~~18~~FEI~~10~~SP+~~16~~DRatings~~24
Results #57 · market #13 · models #16 · results vs market +44
13Indiana · 2-0+12.0pts
~~vs Expected~~125~~Lines~~21~~Futures~~6~~Models~~4~~FPI~~6~~Sagarin~~3~~FEI~~4~~SP+~~5~~DRatings~~1
Results #125 · market #16 · models #4 · results vs market +109
14Michigan · 2-0+11.6pts
~~vs Expected~~107~~Lines~~5~~Futures~~18~~Models~~19~~FPI~~22~~Sagarin~~13~~FEI~~16~~SP+~~25~~DRatings~~18
Results #107 · market #10 · models #19 · results vs market +97
15Tennessee · 2-0+11.1pts
~~vs Expected~~82~~Lines~~13~~Futures~~15~~Models~~15~~FPI~~10~~Sagarin~~17~~FEI~~15~~SP+~~11~~DRatings~~25
Results #82 · market #14 · models #15 · results vs market +68
16Mississippi State · 2-0+9.9pts
~~vs Expected~~2~~Lines~~24~~Futures~~T28~~Models~~32~~FPI~~27~~Sagarin~~31~~FEI~~29~~SP+~~37~~DRatings~~41
Results #2 · market #25 · models #32 · results vs market -23
17Pittsburgh · 2-0+9.7pts
~~vs Expected~~10~~Lines~~17~~Futures~~T33~~Models~~31~~FPI~~29~~Sagarin~~32~~FEI~~28~~SP+~~36~~DRatings~~33
Results #10 · market #19 · models #31 · results vs market -9
18Utah · 2-0+9.3pts
~~vs Expected~~17~~Lines~~38~~Futures~~T21~~Models~~17~~FPI~~19~~Sagarin~~26~~FEI~~6~~SP+~~22~~DRatings~~19
Results #17 · market #33 · models #17 · results vs market -16
19Florida · 2-0+9.2pts
~~vs Expected~~77~~Lines~~18~~Futures~~17~~Models~~18~~FPI~~15~~Sagarin~~16~~FEI~~26~~SP+~~13~~DRatings~~29
Results #77 · market #17 · models #18 · results vs market +60
20Ole Miss · 2-0+9.1pts
~~vs Expected~~127~~Lines~~15~~Futures~~11~~Models~~14~~FPI~~17~~Sagarin~~14~~FEI~~13~~SP+~~20~~DRatings~~10
Results #127 · market #15 · models #14 · results vs market +112
21SMU · 2-0+9.1pts
~~vs Expected~~22~~Lines~~30~~Futures~~T21~~Models~~21~~FPI~~24~~Sagarin~~24~~FEI~~32~~SP+~~19~~DRatings~~13
Results #22 · market #27 · models #21 · results vs market -5
22Kansas State · 2-0+8.8pts
~~vs Expected~~6~~Lines~~39~~Futures~~T33~~Models~~25~~FPI~~30~~Sagarin~~33~~FEI~~19~~SP+~~24~~DRatings~~22
Results #6 · market #38 · models #25 · results vs market -32
23UCLA · 2-0+8.4pts
~~vs Expected~~33~~Lines~~19~~Futures~~T33~~Models~~34~~FPI~~38~~Sagarin~~30~~FEI~~42~~SP+~~38~~DRatings~~34
Results #33 · market #23 · models #34 · results vs market +10
24Missouri · 2-0+8.1pts
~~vs Expected~~78~~Lines~~20~~Futures~~T21~~Models~~23~~FPI~~26~~Sagarin~~22~~FEI~~23~~SP+~~21~~DRatings~~27
Results #78 · market #20 · models #23 · results vs market +58
25Virginia · 2-0+7.9pts
~~vs Expected~~27~~Lines~~35~~Futures~~T30~~Models~~29~~FPI~~25~~Sagarin~~36~~FEI~~35~~SP+~~29~~DRatings~~21
Results #27 · market #35 · models #29 · results vs market -8
26Nebraska · 2-0+7.9pts
~~vs Expected~~24~~Lines~~33~~Futures~~T38~~Models~~30~~FPI~~20~~Sagarin~~28~~FEI~~33~~SP+~~27~~DRatings~~39
Results #24 · market #36 · models #30 · results vs market -12
27Auburn · 2-0+7.7pts
~~vs Expected~~83~~Lines~~22~~Futures~~T19~~Models~~27~~FPI~~23~~Sagarin~~23~~FEI~~27~~SP+~~30~~DRatings~~30
Results #83 · market #22 · models #27 · results vs market +61
28Iowa · 2-0+7.7pts
~~vs Expected~~76~~Lines~~26~~Futures~~T24~~Models~~22~~FPI~~32~~Sagarin~~19~~FEI~~17~~SP+~~26~~DRatings~~17
Results #76 · market #24 · models #22 · results vs market +52
29South Carolina · 2-0+7.6pts
~~vs Expected~~54~~Lines~~32~~Futures~~T24~~Models~~28~~FPI~~21~~Sagarin~~20~~FEI~~24~~SP+~~17~~DRatings~~55
Results #54 · market #28 · models #28 · results vs market +26
30BYU · 2-0+7.6pts
~~vs Expected~~81~~Lines~~37~~Futures~~T19~~Models~~20~~FPI~~18~~Sagarin~~21~~FEI~~21~~SP+~~18~~DRatings~~15
Results #81 · market #29 · models #20 · results vs market +52
31Virginia Tech · 2-0+7.3pts
~~vs Expected~~48~~Lines~~25~~Futures~~T30~~Models~~37~~FPI~~31~~Sagarin~~39~~FEI~~56~~SP+~~28~~DRatings~~31
Results #48 · market #26 · models #37 · results vs market +22
32Louisville · 1-1+6.6pts
~~vs Expected~~56~~Lines~~47~~Futures~~T24~~Models~~24~~FPI~~28~~Sagarin~~27~~FEI~~25~~SP+~~23~~DRatings~~23
Results #56 · market #42 · models #24 · results vs market +14
33Texas Tech · 2-0+6.2pts
~~vs Expected~~138~~Lines~~36~~Futures~~9~~Models~~13~~FPI~~16~~Sagarin~~15~~FEI~~18~~SP+~~15~~DRatings~~7
Results #138 · market #21 · models #13 · results vs market +117
34Washington · 2-0+6.1pts
~~vs Expected~~131~~Lines~~16~~Futures~~27~~Models~~26~~FPI~~44~~Sagarin~~25~~FEI~~22~~SP+~~33~~DRatings~~16
Results #131 · market #18 · models #26 · results vs market +113
35Cincinnati · 2-0+5.6pts
~~vs Expected~~32~~Lines~~41~~Futures~~T48~~Models~~44~~FPI~~34~~Sagarin~~57~~FEI~~40~~SP+~~45~~DRatings~~65
Results #32 · market #41 · models #44 · results vs market -9
36TCU · 1-1+5.6pts
~~vs Expected~~87~~Lines~~28~~Futures~~T43~~Models~~39~~FPI~~41~~Sagarin~~47~~FEI~~39~~SP+~~32~~DRatings~~40
Results #87 · market #34 · models #39 · results vs market +53
37Arizona State · 1-1+5.5pts
~~vs Expected~~19~~Lines~~50~~Futures~~40~~Models~~46~~FPI~~47~~Sagarin~~43~~FEI~~47~~SP+~~43~~DRatings~~46
Results #19 · market #45 · models #46 · results vs market -26
38Maryland · 2-0+5.4pts
~~vs Expected~~9~~Lines~~51~~Futures~~T48~~Models~~49~~FPI~~45~~Sagarin~~49~~FEI~~50~~SP+~~39~~DRatings~~49
Results #9 · market #50 · models #49 · results vs market -41
39Baylor · 1-1+4.8pts
~~vs Expected~~30~~Lines~~46~~Futures~~T48~~Models~~48~~FPI~~35~~Sagarin~~48~~FEI~~46~~SP+~~46~~DRatings~~57
Results #30 · market #46 · models #48 · results vs market -16
40Vanderbilt · 2-0+4.7pts
~~vs Expected~~117~~Lines~~34~~Futures~~T30~~Models~~33~~FPI~~39~~Sagarin~~41~~FEI~~34~~SP+~~35~~DRatings~~26
Results #117 · market #31 · models #33 · results vs market +86
41Houston · 2-0+4.5pts
~~vs Expected~~68~~Lines~~64~~Futures~~T28~~Models~~35~~FPI~~33~~Sagarin~~35~~FEI~~51~~SP+~~31~~DRatings~~36
Results #68 · market #48 · models #35 · results vs market +20
42UCF · 1-1+4.4pts
~~vs Expected~~53~~Lines~~43~~Futures~~T48~~Models~~56~~FPI~~48~~Sagarin~~52~~FEI~~60~~SP+~~53~~DRatings~~71
Results #53 · market #43 · models #56 · results vs market +10
43Boise State · 1-1+4.3pts
~~vs Expected~~43~~Lines~~65~~Futures~~36~~Models~~41~~FPI~~36~~Sagarin~~60~~FEI~~37~~SP+~~48~~DRatings~~54
Results #43 · market #54 · models #41 · results vs market -11
44North Dakota State · 3-0+4.1pts
~~vs Expected~~61~~Lines~~29~~Futures~~42~~Models~~72~~FPI~~66~~Sagarin~~67~~FEI~~113~~SP+~~57~~DRatings~~70
Results #61 · market #30 · models #72 · results vs market +31
45Duke · 2-0+4.1pts
~~vs Expected~~44~~Lines~~60~~Futures~~47~~Models~~42~~FPI~~40~~Sagarin~~54~~FEI~~41~~SP+~~49~~DRatings~~44
Results #44 · market #57 · models #42 · results vs market -13
46Illinois · 1-1+4.0pts
~~vs Expected~~124~~Lines~~23~~Futures~~T48~~Models~~38~~FPI~~49~~Sagarin~~38~~FEI~~30~~SP+~~47~~DRatings~~32
Results #124 · market #32 · models #38 · results vs market +92
47New Mexico · 2-0+4.0pts
~~vs Expected~~16~~Lines~~58~~Futures~~T48~~Models~~58~~FPI~~55~~Sagarin~~68~~FEI~~79~~SP+~~54~~DRatings~~37
Results #16 · market #60 · models #58 · results vs market -44
48Arizona · 1-1+3.9pts
~~vs Expected~~88~~Lines~~61~~Futures~~37~~Models~~36~~FPI~~43~~Sagarin~~44~~FEI~~38~~SP+~~34~~DRatings~~28
Results #88 · market #49 · models #36 · results vs market +39
49NC State · 1-1+3.9pts
~~vs Expected~~63~~Lines~~49~~Futures~~T48~~Models~~50~~FPI~~58~~Sagarin~~46~~FEI~~54~~SP+~~41~~DRatings~~42
Results #63 · market #47 · models #50 · results vs market +16
50James Madison · 2-0+3.3pts
~~vs Expected~~34~~Lines~~66~~Futures~~T48~~Models~~52~~FPI~~68~~Sagarin~~69~~FEI~~44~~SP+~~58~~DRatings~~38
Results #34 · market #64 · models #52 · results vs market -30
51Oklahoma State · 1-1+3.2pts
~~vs Expected~~59~~Lines~~62~~Futures~~T38~~Models~~57~~FPI~~54~~Sagarin~~51~~FEI~~71~~SP+~~50~~DRatings~~60
Results #59 · market #51 · models #57 · results vs market +8
52Michigan State · 2-0+3.1pts
~~vs Expected~~36~~Lines~~55~~Futures~~T70~~Models~~55~~FPI~~53~~Sagarin~~59~~FEI~~55~~SP+~~60~~DRatings~~67
Results #36 · market #62 · models #55 · results vs market -26
53Florida State · 1-1+3.1pts
~~vs Expected~~129~~Lines~~27~~Futures~~T70~~Models~~40~~FPI~~37~~Sagarin~~45~~FEI~~36~~SP+~~44~~DRatings~~52
Results #129 · market #39 · models #40 · results vs market +90
54Clemson · 1-1+2.7pts
~~vs Expected~~135~~Lines~~31~~Futures~~T43~~Models~~47~~FPI~~46~~Sagarin~~40~~FEI~~53~~SP+~~40~~DRatings~~53
Results #135 · market #37 · models #47 · results vs market +98
55Wisconsin · 1-1+2.6pts
~~vs Expected~~115~~Lines~~44~~Futures~~T48~~Models~~51~~FPI~~56~~Sagarin~~34~~FEI~~43~~SP+~~66~~DRatings~~50
Results #115 · market #44 · models #51 · results vs market +71
56Kentucky · 1-1+2.5pts
~~vs Expected~~93~~Lines~~68~~Futures~~41~~Models~~45~~FPI~~51~~Sagarin~~37~~FEI~~45~~SP+~~52~~DRatings~~47
Results #93 · market #61 · models #45 · results vs market +32
57Minnesota · 1-1+2.4pts
~~vs Expected~~111~~Lines~~40~~Futures~~T48~~Models~~61~~FPI~~73~~Sagarin~~42~~FEI~~63~~SP+~~55~~DRatings~~74
Results #111 · market #40 · models #61 · results vs market +71
58North Carolina · 2-0+2.2pts
~~vs Expected~~73~~Lines~~54~~Futures~~T48~~Models~~63~~FPI~~42~~Sagarin~~61~~FEI~~74~~SP+~~51~~DRatings~~82
Results #73 · market #55 · models #63 · results vs market +18
59Army · 1-1+1.7pts
~~vs Expected~~40~~Lines~~53~~Futures~~T76~~Models~~68~~FPI~~78~~Sagarin~~74~~FEI~~67~~SP+~~69~~DRatings~~64
Results #40 · market #68 · models #68 · results vs market -28
60Wake Forest · 2-0+1.7pts
~~vs Expected~~96~~Lines~~56~~Futures~~T70~~Models~~54~~FPI~~52~~Sagarin~~58~~FEI~~49~~SP+~~62~~DRatings~~51
Results #96 · market #63 · models #54 · results vs market +33
61Syracuse · 1-1+1.7pts
~~vs Expected~~18~~Lines~~59~~Futures~~T76~~Models~~74~~FPI~~60~~Sagarin~~62~~FEI~~85~~SP+~~67~~DRatings~~83
Results #18 · market #70 · models #74 · results vs market -52
62South Florida · 2-0+1.4pts
~~vs Expected~~105~~Lines~~52~~Futures~~T48~~Models~~62~~FPI~~67~~Sagarin~~77~~FEI~~61~~SP+~~76~~DRatings~~35
Results #105 · market #52 · models #62 · results vs market +53
63Fresno State · 1-1+1.2pts
~~vs Expected~~80~~Lines~~42~~Futures~~T76~~Models~~78~~FPI~~74~~Sagarin~~82~~FEI~~75~~SP+~~75~~DRatings~~63
Results #80 · market #53 · models #78 · results vs market +27
64Iowa State · 1-1+1.1pts
~~vs Expected~~75~~Lines~~75~~Futures~~T48~~Models~~53~~FPI~~64~~Sagarin~~65~~FEI~~31~~SP+~~61~~DRatings~~59
Results #75 · market #72 · models #53 · results vs market +3
65Kansas · 1-1+0.9pts
~~vs Expected~~100~~Lines~~70~~Futures~~T43~~Models~~60~~FPI~~62~~Sagarin~~56~~FEI~~48~~SP+~~56~~DRatings~~76
Results #100 · market #66 · models #60 · results vs market +34
66Boston College · 1-1+0.3pts
~~vs Expected~~74~~Lines~~48~~Futures~~T70~~Models~~86~~FPI~~82~~Sagarin~~73~~FEI~~86~~SP+~~81~~DRatings~~97
Results #74 · market #56 · models #86 · results vs market +18
67Western Michigan · 1-1+0.1pts
~~vs Expected~~46~~Lines~~72~~Futures~~T76~~Models~~70~~FPI~~65~~Sagarin~~80~~FEI~~70~~SP+~~78~~DRatings~~66
Results #46 · market #75 · models #70 · results vs market -29
68West Virginia · 2-0+0.0pts
~~vs Expected~~120~~Lines~~57~~Futures~~T48~~Models~~64~~FPI~~61~~Sagarin~~55~~FEI~~73~~SP+~~63~~DRatings~~78
Results #120 · market #58 · models #64 · results vs market +62
69Air Force · 1-1-0.2pts
~~vs Expected~~62~~Lines~~63~~Futures~~T70~~Models~~85~~FPI~~92~~Sagarin~~94~~FEI~~87~~SP+~~71~~DRatings~~81
Results #62 · market #67 · models #85 · results vs market -5
70Georgia Tech · 0-2-0.3pts
~~vs Expected~~98~~Lines~~76~~Futures~~T70~~Models~~59~~FPI~~59~~Sagarin~~50~~FEI~~58~~SP+~~64~~DRatings~~69
Results #98 · market #76 · models #59 · results vs market +22
71Memphis · 2-1-0.4pts
~~vs Expected~~70~~Lines~~79~~Futures~~T43~~Models~~69~~FPI~~69~~Sagarin~~75~~FEI~~66~~SP+~~70~~DRatings~~79
Results #70 · market #73 · models #69 · results vs market -3
72California · 1-1-0.5pts
~~vs Expected~~112~~Lines~~67~~Futures~~T48~~Models~~77~~FPI~~75~~Sagarin~~53~~FEI~~81~~SP+~~73~~DRatings~~80
Results #112 · market #65 · models #77 · results vs market +47
73Northwestern · 1-0-1.2pts
~~vs Expected~~86~~Lines~~103~~Futures~~T48~~Models~~43~~FPI~~57~~Sagarin~~29~~FEI~~59~~SP+~~42~~DRatings~~48
Results #86 · market #87 · models #43 · results vs market -1
74Purdue · 1-1-1.2pts
~~vs Expected~~89~~Lines~~71~~Futures~~T76~~Models~~75~~FPI~~70~~Sagarin~~66~~FEI~~69~~SP+~~77~~DRatings~~89
Results #89 · market #74 · models #75 · results vs market +15
75San Diego State · 1-1-1.3pts
~~vs Expected~~126~~Lines~~69~~Futures~~T48~~Models~~71~~FPI~~72~~Sagarin~~72~~FEI~~78~~SP+~~72~~DRatings~~68
Results #126 · market #69 · models #71 · results vs market +57
76Colorado · 2-0-1.4pts
~~vs Expected~~90~~Lines~~83~~Futures~~T48~~Models~~67~~FPI~~50~~Sagarin~~64~~FEI~~72~~SP+~~59~~DRatings~~88
Results #90 · market #79 · models #67 · results vs market +11
77Navy · 1-1-1.6pts
~~vs Expected~~106~~Lines~~73~~Futures~~T48~~Models~~80~~FPI~~90~~Sagarin~~79~~FEI~~80~~SP+~~74~~DRatings~~72
Results #106 · market #71 · models #80 · results vs market +35
78North Texas · 1-1-1.9pts
~~vs Expected~~1~~Lines~~122~~Futures~~T76~~Models~~76~~FPI~~63~~Sagarin~~83~~FEI~~52~~SP+~~107~~DRatings~~61
Results #1 · market #119 · models #76 · results vs market -118
79Toledo · 1-1-1.9pts
~~vs Expected~~47~~Lines~~78~~Futures~~T76~~Models~~83~~FPI~~76~~Sagarin~~86~~FEI~~65~~SP+~~85~~DRatings~~96
Results #47 · market #81 · models #83 · results vs market -34
80Rutgers · 0-2-2.7pts
~~vs Expected~~134~~Lines~~45~~Futures~~T76~~Models~~87~~FPI~~98~~Sagarin~~70~~FEI~~93~~SP+~~80~~DRatings~~119
Results #134 · market #59 · models #87 · results vs market +75
81Louisiana · 1-1-2.8pts
~~vs Expected~~14~~Lines~~85~~Futures~~T76~~Models~~93~~FPI~~85~~Sagarin~~93~~FEI~~97~~SP+~~93~~DRatings~~90
Results #14 · market #83 · models #93 · results vs market -69
82App State · 2-0-2.9pts
~~vs Expected~~5~~Lines~~89~~Futures~~T98~~Models~~96~~FPI~~83~~Sagarin~~96~~FEI~~92~~SP+~~104~~DRatings~~93
Results #5 · market #92 · models #96 · results vs market -87
83UTSA · 2-0-3.5pts
~~vs Expected~~99~~Lines~~98~~Futures~~T76~~Models~~65~~FPI~~80~~Sagarin~~76~~FEI~~68~~SP+~~65~~DRatings~~43
Results #99 · market #95 · models #65 · results vs market +4
84Stanford · 1-1-3.6pts
~~vs Expected~~69~~Lines~~95~~Futures~~T76~~Models~~79~~FPI~~87~~Sagarin~~71~~FEI~~88~~SP+~~82~~DRatings~~56
Results #69 · market #91 · models #79 · results vs market -22
85Tulane · 1-1-3.6pts
~~vs Expected~~108~~Lines~~100~~Futures~~T48~~Models~~73~~FPI~~71~~Sagarin~~78~~FEI~~64~~SP+~~88~~DRatings~~58
Results #108 · market #86 · models #73 · results vs market +22
86Delaware · 1-1-3.7pts
~~vs Expected~~26~~Lines~~84~~Futures~~T76~~Models~~102~~FPI~~81~~Sagarin~~100~~FEI~~110~~SP+~~108~~DRatings~~115
Results #26 · market #82 · models #102 · results vs market -56
87Arkansas · 1-1-4.2pts
~~vs Expected~~130~~Lines~~97~~Futures~~69~~Models~~66~~FPI~~77~~Sagarin~~63~~FEI~~57~~SP+~~68~~DRatings~~73
Results #130 · market #85 · models #66 · results vs market +45
88Colorado State · 2-0-4.4pts
~~vs Expected~~11~~Lines~~112~~Futures~~T76~~Models~~94~~FPI~~91~~Sagarin~~92~~FEI~~96~~SP+~~95~~DRatings~~91
Results #11 · market #105 · models #94 · results vs market -94
89UNLV · 1-2-4.5pts
~~vs Expected~~113~~Lines~~80~~Futures~~T98~~Models~~81~~FPI~~88~~Sagarin~~90~~FEI~~84~~SP+~~79~~DRatings~~45
Results #113 · market #84 · models #81 · results vs market +29
90Old Dominion · 1-1-4.8pts
~~vs Expected~~123~~Lines~~81~~Futures~~T48~~Models~~88~~FPI~~96~~Sagarin~~95~~FEI~~83~~SP+~~96~~DRatings~~77
Results #123 · market #77 · models #88 · results vs market +46
91Georgia Southern · 1-1-4.8pts
~~vs Expected~~28~~Lines~~92~~Futures~~T98~~Models~~103~~FPI~~100~~Sagarin~~106~~FEI~~104~~SP+~~92~~DRatings~~107
Results #28 · market #96 · models #103 · results vs market -68
92Tulsa · 2-0-5.2pts
~~vs Expected~~50~~Lines~~101~~Futures~~T98~~Models~~90~~FPI~~79~~Sagarin~~89~~FEI~~98~~SP+~~83~~DRatings~~105
Results #50 · market #103 · models #90 · results vs market -53
93Liberty · 1-1-5.2pts
~~vs Expected~~116~~Lines~~74~~Futures~~T76~~Models~~99~~FPI~~108~~Sagarin~~103~~FEI~~90~~SP+~~102~~DRatings~~99
Results #116 · market #78 · models #99 · results vs market +38
94Louisiana Tech · 1-1-5.2pts
~~vs Expected~~41~~Lines~~99~~Futures~~T98~~Models~~97~~FPI~~94~~Sagarin~~88~~FEI~~94~~SP+~~86~~DRatings~~108
Results #41 · market #102 · models #97 · results vs market -61
95East Carolina · 0-2-5.3pts
~~vs Expected~~109~~Lines~~87~~Futures~~T111~~Models~~82~~FPI~~84~~Sagarin~~85~~FEI~~76~~SP+~~94~~DRatings~~62
Results #109 · market #94 · models #82 · results vs market +15
96Coastal Carolina · 1-1-5.3pts
~~vs Expected~~38~~Lines~~86~~Futures~~T111~~Models~~111~~FPI~~111~~Sagarin~~109~~FEI~~105~~SP+~~109~~DRatings~~111
Results #38 · market #93 · models #111 · results vs market -55
97San José State · 2-1-5.4pts
~~vs Expected~~29~~Lines~~82~~Futures~~T111~~Models~~118~~FPI~~117~~Sagarin~~110~~FEI~~108~~SP+~~115~~DRatings~~131
Results #29 · market #88 · models #118 · results vs market -59
98Jacksonville State · 1-2-5.7pts
~~vs Expected~~72~~Lines~~88~~Futures~~T98~~Models~~106~~FPI~~106~~Sagarin~~101~~FEI~~116~~SP+~~98~~DRatings~~101
Results #72 · market #89 · models #106 · results vs market -17
99Hawai'i · 1-2-5.9pts
~~vs Expected~~101~~Lines~~94~~Futures~~T76~~Models~~91~~FPI~~101~~Sagarin~~99~~FEI~~102~~SP+~~87~~DRatings~~75
Results #101 · market #90 · models #91 · results vs market +11
100UConn · 1-1-6.0pts
~~vs Expected~~31~~Lines~~107~~Futures~~T98~~Models~~107~~FPI~~113~~Sagarin~~98~~FEI~~106~~SP+~~103~~DRatings~~106
Results #31 · market #106 · models #107 · results vs market -75
101Florida International · 1-1-6.0pts
~~vs Expected~~8~~Lines~~110~~Futures~~T111~~Models~~113~~FPI~~109~~Sagarin~~115~~FEI~~118~~SP+~~112~~DRatings~~120
Results #8 · market #113 · models #113 · results vs market -105
102Miami (OH) · 1-1-6.1pts
~~vs Expected~~118~~Lines~~77~~Futures~~T76~~Models~~105~~FPI~~112~~Sagarin~~104~~FEI~~101~~SP+~~91~~DRatings~~104
Results #118 · market #80 · models #105 · results vs market +38
103Georgia State · 2-0-6.2pts
~~vs Expected~~3~~Lines~~108~~Futures~~T122~~Models~~117~~FPI~~107~~Sagarin~~116~~FEI~~111~~SP+~~134~~DRatings~~113
Results #3 · market #117 · models #117 · results vs market -114
104Washington State · 0-2-6.3pts
~~vs Expected~~97~~Lines~~115~~Futures~~T76~~Models~~84~~FPI~~99~~Sagarin~~81~~FEI~~62~~SP+~~97~~DRatings~~84
Results #97 · market #111 · models #84 · results vs market -14
105Temple · 1-1-6.3pts
~~vs Expected~~39~~Lines~~116~~Futures~~T111~~Models~~98~~FPI~~93~~Sagarin~~91~~FEI~~107~~SP+~~89~~DRatings~~87
Results #39 · market #116 · models #98 · results vs market -77
106Arkansas State · 1-1-6.6pts
~~vs Expected~~91~~Lines~~93~~Futures~~T98~~Models~~108~~FPI~~105~~Sagarin~~108~~FEI~~117~~SP+~~100~~DRatings~~94
Results #91 · market #97 · models #108 · results vs market -6
107Texas State · 0-2-6.8pts
~~vs Expected~~92~~Lines~~113~~Futures~~T76~~Models~~92~~FPI~~103~~Sagarin~~84~~FEI~~91~~SP+~~90~~DRatings~~85
Results #92 · market #109 · models #92 · results vs market -17
108South Alabama · 1-1-7.0pts
~~vs Expected~~25~~Lines~~123~~Futures~~T98~~Models~~104~~FPI~~102~~Sagarin~~107~~FEI~~99~~SP+~~110~~DRatings~~98
Results #25 · market #120 · models #104 · results vs market -95
109Florida Atlantic · 1-1-7.1pts
~~vs Expected~~71~~Lines~~104~~Futures~~T111~~Models~~109~~FPI~~115~~Sagarin~~97~~FEI~~112~~SP+~~106~~DRatings~~100
Results #71 · market #107 · models #109 · results vs market -36
110Kennesaw State · 1-1-7.4pts
~~vs Expected~~79~~Lines~~105~~Futures~~T76~~Models~~114~~FPI~~114~~Sagarin~~114~~FEI~~122~~SP+~~111~~DRatings~~116
Results #79 · market #100 · models #114 · results vs market -21
111Oregon State · 0-2-7.4pts
~~vs Expected~~4~~Lines~~134~~Futures~~T76~~Models~~95~~FPI~~86~~Sagarin~~87~~FEI~~82~~SP+~~84~~DRatings~~121
Results #4 · market #129 · models #95 · results vs market -125
112New Mexico State · 1-2-7.9pts
~~vs Expected~~37~~Lines~~111~~Models~~122~~FPI~~119~~Sagarin~~119~~FEI~~128~~SP+~~119~~DRatings~~130
Results #37 · market #112 · models #122 · results vs market -75
113Utah State · 0-2-8.1pts
~~vs Expected~~51~~Lines~~128~~Futures~~T76~~Models~~89~~FPI~~95~~Sagarin~~102~~FEI~~77~~SP+~~99~~DRatings~~86
Results #51 · market #127 · models #89 · results vs market -76
114Rice · 1-1-8.3pts
~~vs Expected~~64~~Lines~~106~~Futures~~T111~~Models~~121~~FPI~~124~~Sagarin~~118~~FEI~~130~~SP+~~120~~DRatings~~114
Results #64 · market #110 · models #121 · results vs market -46
115UTEP · 1-1-8.3pts
~~vs Expected~~42~~Lines~~90~~Futures~~T122~~Models~~130~~FPI~~129~~Sagarin~~127~~FEI~~132~~SP+~~122~~DRatings~~132
Results #42 · market #101 · models #130 · results vs market -59
116Troy · 2-0-8.3pts
~~vs Expected~~114~~Lines~~109~~Futures~~T98~~Models~~100~~FPI~~104~~Sagarin~~111~~FEI~~95~~SP+~~101~~DRatings~~95
Results #114 · market #108 · models #100 · results vs market +6
117Marshall · 1-1-8.7pts
~~vs Expected~~133~~Lines~~96~~Futures~~T98~~Models~~112~~FPI~~121~~Sagarin~~112~~FEI~~100~~SP+~~113~~DRatings~~92
Results #133 · market #98 · models #112 · results vs market +35
118Ohio · 1-1-8.8pts
~~vs Expected~~104~~Lines~~119~~Futures~~T76~~Models~~110~~FPI~~110~~Sagarin~~113~~FEI~~89~~SP+~~114~~DRatings~~109
Results #104 · market #114 · models #110 · results vs market -10
119UAB · 1-1-8.8pts
~~vs Expected~~20~~Lines~~118~~Futures~~T122~~Models~~123~~FPI~~125~~Sagarin~~125~~FEI~~119~~SP+~~127~~DRatings~~127
Results #20 · market #121 · models #123 · results vs market -101
120Nevada · 1-1-9.0pts
~~vs Expected~~12~~Lines~~135~~Futures~~T98~~Models~~101~~FPI~~89~~Sagarin~~105~~FEI~~103~~SP+~~105~~DRatings~~102
Results #12 · market #132 · models #101 · results vs market -120
121Missouri State · 1-1-9.3pts
~~vs Expected~~52~~Lines~~125~~Futures~~T111~~Models~~120~~FPI~~118~~Sagarin~~121~~FEI~~115~~SP+~~124~~DRatings~~126
Results #52 · market #123 · models #120 · results vs market -71
122Southern Miss · 1-1-9.4pts
~~vs Expected~~35~~Lines~~127~~Futures~~T111~~Models~~116~~FPI~~97~~Sagarin~~120~~FEI~~121~~SP+~~123~~DRatings~~123
Results #35 · market #126 · models #116 · results vs market -91
123Wyoming · 1-1-10.2pts
~~vs Expected~~137~~Lines~~91~~Futures~~T111~~Models~~119~~FPI~~130~~Sagarin~~122~~FEI~~114~~SP+~~117~~DRatings~~110
Results #137 · market #99 · models #119 · results vs market +38
124Massachusetts · 2-0-10.2pts
~~vs Expected~~21~~Lines~~117~~Futures~~T98~~Models~~135~~FPI~~116~~Sagarin~~136~~FEI~~136~~SP+~~137~~DRatings~~134
Results #21 · market #118 · models #135 · results vs market -97
125Akron · 1-1-10.2pts
~~vs Expected~~45~~Lines~~120~~Futures~~T122~~Models~~128~~FPI~~127~~Sagarin~~123~~FEI~~135~~SP+~~129~~DRatings~~122
Results #45 · market #124 · models #128 · results vs market -79
126Eastern Michigan · 1-2-10.7pts
~~vs Expected~~110~~Lines~~114~~Models~~125~~FPI~~133~~Sagarin~~126~~FEI~~126~~SP+~~121~~DRatings~~117
Results #110 · market #115 · models #125 · results vs market -5
127Central Michigan · 1-1-10.8pts
~~vs Expected~~132~~Lines~~102~~Futures~~T111~~Models~~124~~FPI~~134~~Sagarin~~124~~FEI~~127~~SP+~~125~~DRatings~~103
Results #132 · market #104 · models #124 · results vs market +28
128Ball State · 1-1-12.4pts
~~vs Expected~~66~~Lines~~126~~Futures~~T122~~Models~~132~~FPI~~131~~Sagarin~~133~~FEI~~131~~SP+~~131~~DRatings~~128
Results #66 · market #128 · models #132 · results vs market -62
129Buffalo · 1-1-12.8pts
~~vs Expected~~119~~Lines~~124~~Futures~~T122~~Models~~127~~FPI~~122~~Sagarin~~130~~FEI~~124~~SP+~~118~~DRatings~~129
Results #119 · market #125 · models #127 · results vs market -6
130Middle Tennessee · 1-1-13.2pts
~~vs Expected~~58~~Lines~~133~~Futures~~T122~~Models~~131~~FPI~~126~~Sagarin~~129~~FEI~~123~~SP+~~132~~DRatings~~135
Results #58 · market #133 · models #131 · results vs market -75
131Western Kentucky · 0-2-13.6pts
~~vs Expected~~128~~Lines~~129~~Futures~~T122~~Models~~115~~FPI~~120~~Sagarin~~117~~FEI~~109~~SP+~~116~~DRatings~~125
Results #128 · market #130 · models #115 · results vs market -2
132Sam Houston · 0-2-14.5pts
~~vs Expected~~13~~Lines~~136~~Models~~133~~FPI~~123~~Sagarin~~132~~FEI~~129~~SP+~~130~~DRatings~~138
Results #13 · market #136 · models #133 · results vs market -123
133Kent State · 1-1-14.6pts
~~vs Expected~~85~~Lines~~131~~Futures~~T122~~Models~~134~~FPI~~136~~Sagarin~~135~~FEI~~137~~SP+~~133~~DRatings~~112
Results #85 · market #131 · models #134 · results vs market -46
134Charlotte · 0-2-14.6pts
~~vs Expected~~55~~Lines~~130~~Models~~136~~FPI~~128~~Sagarin~~137~~FEI~~133~~SP+~~136~~DRatings~~136
Results #55 · market #134 · models #136 · results vs market -79
135Sacramento State · 1-2-15.2pts
~~vs Expected~~103~~Lines~~121~~Models~~138~~FPI~~138~~Sagarin~~138~~FEI~~138~~SP+~~135~~DRatings~~137
Results #103 · market #122 · models #138 · results vs market -19
136UL Monroe · 0-2-17.7pts
~~vs Expected~~121~~Lines~~132~~Models~~137~~FPI~~137~~Sagarin~~134~~FEI~~134~~SP+~~138~~DRatings~~133
Results #121 · market #135 · models #137 · results vs market -14
137Northern Illinois · 0-2-17.9pts
~~vs Expected~~94~~Lines~~138~~Models~~126~~FPI~~132~~Sagarin~~128~~FEI~~120~~SP+~~126~~DRatings~~118
Results #94 · market #138 · models #126 · results vs market -44
138Bowling Green · 0-2-18.4pts
~~vs Expected~~122~~Lines~~137~~Models~~129~~FPI~~135~~Sagarin~~131~~FEI~~125~~SP+~~128~~DRatings~~124
Results #122 · market #137 · models #129 · results vs market -15

column ranks them higher than the composite lower than the composite widest results-versus-market gap— not ranked by that column

How the rating is built. Every team gets a rating in points better than an average FBS team on a neutral field, from each of three pillars, and the composite is their weighted sum. Results is what actually happened, measured one way: how far above or below the closing line’s expectation each game landed, averaged per game. The line already prices the opponent and the site, so a narrow win over a good team counts for more than a rout of a weak one, and playing an extra game earns nothing by itself. Each game is luck-adjusted first, half the scoreboard and half what the yardage says the margin should have been, then capped at 28 points. Margin and wins were removed from this pillar in September because in the first weeks of a season neither can tell a good opponent from a bad one, so between them they mostly counted games played. Read this column as what-you-did-against-expectation, not as who-you-beat. A team that won every game as a heavy favourite can rank low in it, and a team that lost outright as a four-touchdown underdog can rank high. The composite is the place the three pillars argue that out. Betting markets is what money says: a rating fit to the last three weeks of point spreads, blended with the futures boards. Analytics models is what the models say: every live model, placed on the same points scale by its position against the market. Full-season weights are results 40%, markets 35%, models 25%; results phase in over the first 6 weeks because a September record predicts almost nothing, and a pillar with nothing to say this week hands its share to the others. Results carry 13.3% this week and reach 40% after week 6. There are no media rankings and no human polls in the score. Voters anchor on where a team started the season, reward reputation, and see a fraction of the games they rank; the three pillars here are each accountable to something real, a score, a price, or a measurement. Results vs market is the results rank minus the market rank: a large positive number is a team whose record the market does not yet believe, a large negative one is a favourite that keeps losing. A source is excluded from scoring, and shown struck through, when its data is more than 30 days old or when it describes an earlier week than the one this board is built on.

Back to the current college football consensus, or see the NFL consensus rankings.